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Just imagine if he puts on 50 or 60 lbs of muscle while keeping his athleticism.Wemby is so unique in what he can do at his size. There's never been anyone like him. I think he's on an early trajectory to be in that argument/discussion for best ever.
Probability is not broadly "unknowable" for something like this; it can be somewhat objectively assessed based on known factors.That's unknowable. Not by you, me, or anyone else. If you just want to go with background probabilities -- i.e. there have been X all-NBA players and most of them did not sniff GOAT debate -- I mean fine, but that's ignoring the reasons why Wemby is different.
We could, of course, fall back to the perhaps more boring but much more defensible position that there is no GOAT because players are incomparable over different time periods.
Well, that's what I meant by background probabilities. It's a trivial point to say "most people are not GOAT so anyone's chances of being GOAT are small." If you leave that always-applicable point aside, I would go back to unknowability because Wemby is unique.Probability is not broadly "unknowable" for something like this; it can be somewhat objectively assessed based on known factors.
Wemby certainly has skills that make it possible he could be considered the GOAT one day, but to enter the GOAT discussion he would need to sustain an elite (1st team all-NBA with at least multiple MVPs) level of play for 10+ years, win probably 3+ titles, etc. He is freakishly good, with a package of skills that maybe no one else has ever had, but his chances of being considered the GOAT at the end of his career are still relatively small. Plenty of players - Dr. J, Shaq, Durant, Giannis - have taken the NBA by storm with an insane combination of skill and athleticism that no one else had quite replicated before but are not going to end their careers in the GOAT debate, for various reasons - health, decline, lack of team success, etc. Wemby has yet to win a title and we already know there is reasonable concern about health issues preventing him from ever having the longevity of guys like MJ and Lebron.
Among active (non-Lebron) players, he is in a small group of players who have any remote chance of being considered the GOAT one day. SGA, Jokic, Wemby, and Doncic (in no particular order) are at the top of that list. (If I had to rank that list in order of likelihood to end their career in the GOAT debate, I would rank it Wemby, SGA, Jokic, Doncic.) I'm candidly not sure anyone else is on it, unless you want to throw Cooper Flagg in there because he's so young (but personally I think it's a stretch). Wemby might have something like a 5-10% chance of being in the GOAT discussion when he retires, and that still might be easily the highest chance of any non-Lebron current player.
What I'm saying is that even if you acknowledge that Wemby has a vastly greater chance to be the GOAT than almost every other NBA player, the chances are still very small in a relative sense. 99.9% of current NBA players have 0% chance to be the GOAT. Most of that 0.1% with any chance probably have, like, a 1% chance. Having a 5-10% chance of being the GOAT at age 22 is absolutely astounding and takes an incredible talent like Wemby to even say that.Well, that's what I meant by background probabilities. It's a trivial point to say "most people are not GOAT so anyone's chances of being GOAT are small." If you leave that always-applicable point aside, I would go back to unknowability because Wemby is unique.
I really don't understand how SGA can be included in this discussion. Jokic has a way better claim than he does. Also SGA will hopefully see his effectiveness diminished if they ever decide to call offensive fouls any more, and if he no longer gets to the FT line more than anyone. I hate his game and he's a creation of officiating lenience. Can you imagine if Wade or young Lebron or MJ were allowed to just barrel over defenders and get an and-one? SGA basically commits offensive fouls almost every time he drives or catches the ball. Yuck.
Great win for the HawksLooks like the Hawks will steal one in the Garden.
Hawks have had Jonathan Kuminga on KAT for the last few minutes of the game and I haven’t seen KAT even touch it a single time. Astounding.