2026 Midterm Elections - All eyes on Texas tonight

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nycfan said:
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Collins may have won comfortably in the past, but I think things are different this year, and the anti-Trump mood is even stronger than it was in Trump's last midterm election in 2018. Having said that, I tend to agree that Platner can beat her, and perhaps by a comfortable margin, but that Mills would be 50/50 at best and likely would lose to Collins. People in both parties clearly seem to be favoring anti-establishment outsiders, which Platner certainly is, while Mills will be easily portrayed by Republicans as just another aging, bland, establishment-backed Democrat who will bring more of the same 'ol, same 'ol to DC politics- she seems like the Cheri Beasley of Maine Democratic politics. A nice lady but boring and a status quo candidate in a definitely anti-status quo time. Maybe that's not fair, but that's how MAGAs will message it and they're very good at that sort of thing.
 
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GOP Primary challenges from the right haven’t got a ton of national attention this cycle, but the turnout and results in special elections in the South suggest there could be a countercyclical MAGA surge in these races (and in the many open seat races from retirements):

 
nycfan said:
GOP Primary challenges from the right haven’t got a ton of national attention this cycle, but the turnout and results in special elections in the South suggest there could be a countercyclical MAGA surge in these races (and in the many open seat races from retirements):

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Practically speaking, going after Dan Crenshaw from his right is probably the best strategic option.
 
Mulberry Heel said:
Collins may have won comfortably in the past, but I think things are different this year, and the anti-Trump mood is even stronger than it was in Trump's last midterm election in 2018. Having said that, I tend to agree that Platner can beat her, and perhaps by a comfortable margin, but that Mills would be 50/50 at best and likely would lose to Collins. People in both parties clearly seem to be favoring anti-establishment outsiders, which Platner certainly is, while Mills will be easily portrayed by Republicans as just another aging, bland, establishment-backed Democrat who will bring more of the same 'ol, same 'ol to DC politics- she seems like the Cheri Beasley of Maine Democratic politics. A nice lady but boring and a status quo candidate in a definitely anti-status quo time. Maybe that's not fair, but that's how MAGAs will message it and they're very good at that sort of thing.
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If I'm a Mainer and given the choice between two aging nominees who share essentially the same political views, I would think maybe I should vote for Collins because she has at least the advantage of seniority in a GQPer majority Senate and would bring more bennies to our state.

Platner is a change candidate. Collins and Mills are no change candidates.

Change or no change; that is the question.
 
heelinhell said:
If I'm a Mainer and given the choice between two aging nominees who share essentially the same political views, I would think maybe I should vote for Collins because she has at least the advantage of seniority in a GQPer majority Senate and would bring more bennies to our state.

Platner is a change candidate. Collins and Mills are no change candidates.

Change or no change; that is the question.
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No, the question is whether the Maine senator will confirm Trump nominees or not. The question is whether the Maine senator will push back against lawbreaking and corruption. The question is literally whether Schumer or Thune calls the shots in the Senate, or if Schumer retires, the next in line.

the importance of electing a "good Dem" versus a "bad Dem" pales in comparison to the importance of electing a Dem period.

I don't think you're very well tuned into political realities. You're supporting Jasmine Crockett, IIRC. I like her, but she has a much smaller chance of being elected than Talerico. This is a chance to flip a Texas seat that we haven't had in a long time. Blowing it on a candidate who is likely to lose seems stupid.
 
If you’re concerned with electing Democrats, the obvious choices are Platner in Maine and Talarico in Texas. There’s no comparison between Crockett and Platner.
 
superrific said:
No, the question is whether the Maine senator will confirm Trump nominees or not. The question is whether the Maine senator will push back against lawbreaking and corruption. The question is literally whether Schumer or Thune calls the shots in the Senate, or if Schumer retires, the next in line.

the importance of electing a "good Dem" versus a "bad Dem" pales in comparison to the importance of electing a Dem period.

I don't think you're very well tuned into political realities. You're supporting Jasmine Crockett, IIRC. I like her, but she has a much smaller chance of being elected than Talerico. This is a chance to flip a Texas seat that we haven't had in a long time. Blowing it on a candidate who is likely to lose seems stupid.
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I have never been accused of not being well tuned into political realities, but I will take that criticism under advisement.

I do support Jasmine but would be perfectly happy with Talarico . The latest polls show Jasmine and Talarico running about the same against the GQPer candidates.

Though you have responded to my Maine Senate race post, you haven't offered your opinion on who you think is the better Dem candidate in the Maine Senate election. I would very much welcome your opinion:)
 
superrific said:
No, the question is whether the Maine senator will confirm Trump nominees or not. The question is whether the Maine senator will push back against lawbreaking and corruption. The question is literally whether Schumer or Thune calls the shots in the Senate, or if Schumer retires, the next in line.

the importance of electing a "good Dem" versus a "bad Dem" pales in comparison to the importance of electing a Dem period.

I don't think you're very well tuned into political realities. You're supporting Jasmine Crockett, IIRC. I like her, but she has a much smaller chance of being elected than Talerico. This is a chance to flip a Texas seat that we haven't had in a long time. Blowing it on a candidate who is likely to lose seems stupid.
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Are you sure you are addressing someone who votes D?
 
heelinhell said:
Though you have responded to my Maine Senate race post, you haven't offered your opinion on who you think is the better Dem candidate in the Maine Senate election. I would very much welcome your opinion:)
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The better candidate is the one most likely to win. I don't know who that is.
 
superrific said:
The better candidate is the one most likely to win. I don't know who that is.
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I agree with your tautology, but I was asking your opinion about which Dem you think might be the most likely to win in November.

If you have no opinion about who would be the better candidate then I'm a bit perplexed as to why you have weighed in....but that's perfectly ok and no worries from me
 
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