2026 Midterm Elections

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No doubt Page is just as MAGA as Berger, but Berger losing is still huge for anybody who cares about public ed and state workers in general, imo. As the most powerful person in the state senate for many, many years Berger has been one of the main roadblocks (if not the biggest) to teacher and state worker pay raises and lots of other anti-worker measures in this state. He's been one of the main drivers of vouchers and charters and deliberately financially starving public school districts across the state. And whatever one thinks of his agenda, Berger has proven over and over to be a smart, resourceful, and ruthless legislative leader in getting what he wants. As a rookie legislator Page will have almost none of the power or influence that Berger has, although no doubt his votes will be just as regressive and reactionary as Berger's have been.
 
No doubt Page is just as MAGA as Berger, but Berger losing is still huge for anybody who cares about public ed and state workers in general, imo. As the most powerful person in the state senate for many, many years Berger has been one of the main roadblocks (if not the biggest) to teacher and state worker pay raises and lots of other anti-worker measures in this state. He's been one of the main drivers of vouchers and charters and starving public school districts across the state. And whatever one thinks of agenda, Berger has proven over and over to be a smart, resourceful, and ruthless legislative leader in getting what he wants. As a rookie legislator Page will have almost none of the power or influence that Berger has, although no doubt his votes will be just as regressive and reactionary as Berger's have been.
Maybe our state legislature can finally pass a budget on time without that asshole gumming things up.
 
The SAVE Act passes and the midterms are gonna be a mess 😐

Will require eliminating the filibuster. I’ll be surprised if that happens a but it’s not impossible.
 
Even if this bill were to somehow pass it would immediately be challenged in courts and probably blocked for several years
So many issues with the voter registration requirements plus the new requirements would start immediately and with no funding for announcing and instructing the changes to inform the public.
 
Even if this bill were to somehow pass it would immediately be challenged in courts and probably blocked for several years
Yeah, that's what I've been thinking. Even if it passes it will definitely be challenged in federal court almost immediately by a wide variety of voter right groups, and will likely be struck down as unconstitutional (which it is) by lower federal courts. The question is whether a GOP-majority federal appeals court or the Supreme Court will uphold the law. It seems clear that a good many GOP politicians, like Cornyn in Texas, see this bill as their best chance to guarantee victory in November and secure long-term GOP majorities in Congress and state legislatures, so there will be a lot of pressure on GOP judges to uphold the law if it passes.
 
Yeah, that's what I've been thinking. Even if it passes it will definitely be challenged in federal court almost immediately by a wide variety of voter right groups, and will likely be struck down as unconstitutional (which it is) by lower federal courts. The question is whether a GOP-majority federal appeals court or the Supreme Court will uphold the law. It seems clear that a good many GOP politicians, like Cornyn in Texas, see this bill as their best chance to guarantee victory in November and secure long-term GOP majorities in Congress and state legislatures, so there will be a lot of pressure on GOP judges to uphold the law if it passes.
1. If the Supreme Court were to allow this law to take effect, it would be a gross stain on its legacy; it would almost certainly result in court expansion (if that fate is not yet inevitable); and it could lead to severe violence. I think the Court knows that. What it will do, who knows.

2. If the law passes, I have a feeling that there will be lawsuits ready to drop the day of or the next day, and they will be filed in DC or CA and they will be styled as a class action. The 5th Circuit will be left out of the game.

It would go:

1. unconstitutional at district court level
2a. unconstitutional at appeals court or;
2b. Trumpd draws a favorable panel, who gives him a victory but the appeals court will reverse en banc, and then
3. Supreme Court . . . and who knows. If they stay the lower court ruling pending appeal, that's the nuclear scenario. They would be saying that the injury to the government in not being able to suppress votes in violation of virtually all equal protection principles and federalism principles would outweigh the voters' interests in casting votes and that's pretty much the end of democracy so they will have to tread carefully.
 
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