Approval/Disapproval Polls

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Still underwater around 4 points or more.
Example: Gallup poll 43% approve 53% disapprove.
Marquette Law School : 54% DISAPPROVE

More Americans disapprove of tax plan than support it.
That’s because the big ugly-ass bill sux



apple.news

President Trump's approval rating: Here's what latest polls show — USA TODAY

Polling averages plot a downward trend for the president since early March, and a consistent 44%-45% approval average over the last month.
apple.news apple.news
 
I don't pay attention to the news & I don't hate him as much this term as I did last term, when I doomscrolled twitter all day long, watched Rachel Maddow, and listened to Pod Save America religiously.

Probably a bunch of his 42% are like me, just not really paying much attention to what is going on.
 
Centerpiece said:
Still underwater around 4 points or more.
Example: Gallup poll 43% approve 53% disapprove.
Marquette Law School : 54% DISAPPROVE

More Americans disapprove of tax plan than support it.
That’s because the big ugly-ass bill sux



apple.news

President Trump's approval rating: Here's what latest polls show — USA TODAY

Polling averages plot a downward trend for the president since early March, and a consistent 44%-45% approval average over the last month.
apple.news apple.news
Click to expand...
www.natesilver.net

How popular is Donald Trump?

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
www.natesilver.net www.natesilver.net

He has gone from -9 to -4 over the last month. His nadir in Trump 1.0 was right after Congress passed his tax bill in December 2017, which was very unpopular at the time. If past is prologue, then he will likely have a similar dip after Congress passes the big, beautiful bill.
 
He's benefitting from three main things right now in my view.

1. People are realizing he's full of shit on tariffs, so while the market fluctuations are making SOMEONE filthy rich, the concerns he'll lead us into a depression are diminishing and the markets are remaining "relatively" stable.
2. Border encounters are way down, which people are interpreting as Trump closing the border. I'm not convinced that's what's actually happening, but if it is, it will be interesting to see what happens once we get a little further into the agricultural season.
3. He smartly kicked Elon and DOGE to the curb. All the "principled" conservatives who were hoping he'd be a good fiscal steward will now be predictably disappointed as he explodes the deficit further with his tax cuts, but DOGE had become extremely unpopular and it's now effectively mothballed.

I for one am very glad that Trump's bark has been much worse than his bite so far. He's still the last person in the world I'd want leading this country, but I do think there's more reason to hope he'll be constrained by public opinion than there was a couple of months ago. That said, our margin for error is about as slim as it could possibly be right now, and it wouldn't take much to send everything spilling over the edge. The odds are extremely high we'll be in a much worse place a year from now than we are at this moment.
 
lawtig02 said:
He's benefitting from three main things right now in my view.

1. People are realizing he's full of shit on tariffs, so while the market fluctuations are making SOMEONE filthy rich, the concerns he'll lead us into a depression are diminishing and the markets are remaining "relatively" stable.
2. Border encounters are way down, which people are interpreting as Trump closing the border. I'm not convinced that's what's actually happening, but if it is, it will be interesting to see what happens once we get a little further into the agricultural season.
3. He smartly kicked Elon and DOGE to the curb. All the "principled" conservatives who were hoping he'd be a good fiscal steward will now be predictably disappointed as he exploded the deficit further with his tax cuts, but DOGE had become extremely unpopular and it's now effectively mothballed.

I for one am very glad that Trump's bark has been much worse than his bite so far. He's still the last person in the world I'd want leading this country, but I do think there's more reason to hope he'll be constrained by public opinion than there was a couple of months ago. That said, our margin for error is about as slim as it could possibly be right now, and it wouldn't take much to send everything spilling over the edge. The odds are extremely high we'll be in a much worse place a year from now than we are at this moment.
Click to expand...
Nate Silver thinks he was just benefitting from a lack of polling.

I'm not at all sure the concerns about the depression should be diminishing. This big beautiful BS is going to create a lot of fiscal pressure, and it would not surprise me if Trump started talking about giving US creditors a haircut.

DOGE is not mothballed. To the contrary, the DOGE cuts are going to start hitting this summer, from what I understand. That's when all those deferred layoffs will become effective, IIRC.
 
superrific said:
Nate Silver thinks he was just benefitting from a lack of polling.

I'm not at all sure the concerns about the depression should be diminishing. This big beautiful BS is going to create a lot of fiscal pressure, and it would not surprise me if Trump started talking about giving US creditors a haircut.

DOGE is not mothballed. To the contrary, the DOGE cuts are going to start hitting this summer, from what I understand. That's when all those deferred layoffs will become effective, IIRC.
Click to expand...
Agree about the BBB. That's one of the many things that could send us spiraling. I just have a feeling something like 20% of Americans have any clue it even exists. Maybe less.
 
Don Quixote Trump
JD or Mike Johnson or Elon are all Sancho (take your pick) or they’re all Sanchos (there are plenty of others who fit)
Melania is Dulcinea or perhaps Camilla.

At any rate, all of the muthafuckers are tilting at windmills and the Don insists on becoming “knighted” so he can continue his illusions of “making America great again”

We’re living in a friggin early 17th century Novella. Hopefully more of a cheap short story, than longer novel. But a cheap farce of a nightmarish dream if nothing else.
 


MAGA mad at AtlasIntel poll results apparently, so next step is a conspiracy theory …

 
RCP right /direction polls

Of 7 polls ( including Rasmussen ) right direction is 44% and wrong direction is 51%

average Trump approval ratings on the issues:
42% approval on economy
43% approval on foreign policy
50% on immigration
39% on inflation
 
heelinhell said:
RCP right /direction polls

Of 7 polls ( including Rasmussen ) right direction is 44% and wrong direction is 51%

average Trump approval ratings on the issues:
42% approval on economy
43% approval on foreign policy
50% on immigration
39% on inflation
Click to expand...
I figure one harvest season and a concomitant rise in food prices will drop the approval on immigration policy. Conscience should but that's not nearly as reliable as money.
 
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