Approval/Disapproval Polls

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
  • Start date Start date
  • Replies: 2K
  • Views: 80K
  • Politics 
RockyMtnHoo said:
I honestly thought the floor was 35%.
Click to expand...
I still think it is, and that’s 3-4 points lower than his first term floor. I wouldn’t focus too much on the 32% polls. He’d still get at least 45% of the popular vote and 250 electoral votes if the election were held today. Enormous swaths of this country do not have access to truthful information.
 
lawtig02 said:
I still think it is, and that’s 3-4 points lower than his first term floor. I wouldn’t focus too much on the 32% polls. He’d still get at least 45% of the popular vote and 250 electoral votes if the election were held today. Enormous swaths of this country do not have access to truthful information.
Click to expand...
But they do have access to gas pumps.
 
Calheel said:
Public perceptions of brands rarely stay static. Musicians and actors go in and out of favor with the public. What is cool one day, may be lame the next.

Once a critical mass starts to turn against Trump, it will bring others along for the ride. When MAGA folks see people they like and respect suddenly shit-talking the President on Facebook and X, it gives them a permission structure to do the same. Suddenly, their identity is no longer intertwined with supporting the President. And if that movement gains steam, it can be like a freight train heading down the tracks.

Trump intuitively knows this, and that is why he is trying to figure out a way out of Iran as fast as possible. But if gas prices continue to spike over the Spring, he may enter a death spiral that brings his support into the 20s or even the teens.
Click to expand...
This is an astute analysis. MAGA is a movement and mass movements generally have short lifespans. I had relied on this factor to bury trump in the heap pile of history following his loss in ‘20, but Biden’s bumbling presidency combined with a wave of xenophobia and nativism that had yet to crest served to resurrect the movement.

Even assuming Trump is able to taco his way out of Israel’s war, he’ll soon enough find himself back in the Epstein barrel.

So, yes, I am much more optimistic about the path forward because even the dimmest among us have seen the state of the emperor’s clothes.
 
Last edited:
sunnyheel said:
This is an astute analysis. MAGA is a movement and mass movements generally have short lifespans. I had relied on this factor to bury trump in the heap pile of history following his loss in ‘20, but Biden’s bumbling presidency combined with a wave of xenophobia and nativism had yet to crest served to resurrect the movement.

Even assuming Trump is able to taco his way out of Israel’s war, he’ll soon enough find himself back in the Epstein barrel.

So, yes, I am much more optimistic about the path forward because even the dimmest among us have seen the state of the emperor’s clothes.
Click to expand...
There's one person who could have ended this in 2020. I hope his failure to do so is on his epitaph.

1774991828060.png
 
Calheel said:
But they do seek approval of others. If they think Trump has become "uncool" with the people they like, it will cause them to like Trump less.

No different than any other brand that becomes unfashionable. Think of Trump as Krispy Kreme.
Click to expand...
Please retract this. We shall never equate trump with Krispy Kreme.
 
Calheel said:
But they do have access to gas pumps.
Click to expand...
And maybe they will remember these promises....

"During the 2024 presidential election, Donald Trump promised that if he were elected president again, he would reduce the price of a gallon of gas by 50% within a year of taking office. “12 months from January 20th… your gasoline for your car is going to be 50% cheaper,” Trump declared at a speech to the Detroit Economic Club on October 10, 2024. “That’s a big thing.”

On January 20, 2025, the day Trump took office for a second term, the average price for a gallon of gas was $3.12. Had Trump kept his pledge, gas would now cost about $1.57 per gallon.

On Tuesday, the average price of a gallon of gas was $4.02. Instead of the 50% reduction in gas prices that Trump promised, prices have increased by more than 28%.

Trump also promised to drive down other energy costs, including electricity bills and home heating gas, by 50%. “Energy costs, all of it, air conditioning, heating, all of it, including gasoline, will drop by more than 50% within the first 12 months,” Trump pledged during an August 19, 2024, rally in York, Pennsylvania.

Home heating oil has gone from $3.94 per gallon on the day of Trump’s inauguration to $5.57 per gallon today, a 41% increase. Residential electricity costs averaged 15.92 cents per kilowatt-hour in January 2025. Today, Americans are paying an average of 18.05 cents per kilowatt-hour, an increase of 13%.

The sharp increase in energy prices, particularly oil prices, is not the result of misfortune. Rather, it is a direct and predictable consequence of Trump’s policies. Trump made the decision to start a war against Iran without a plan to secure the Strait of Hormuz, a sea passage used by about 20% of the world’s oil supply. Although most oil that travels through the Strait of Hormuz is not imported to the United States, oil trades in a global market, so cutting off a significant percentage of the supply increases costs for everyone.

Trump has pursued these policies even though his pledge to reduce energy prices was not a flip remark but a central plank of his reelection campaign, one he repeated over and over again."

Link
 
farce© said:
And maybe they will remember these promises....

"During the 2024 presidential election, Donald Trump promised that if he were elected president again, he would reduce the price of a gallon of gas by 50% within a year of taking office. “12 months from January 20th… your gasoline for your car is going to be 50% cheaper,” Trump declared at a speech to the Detroit Economic Club on October 10, 2024. “That’s a big thing.”

On January 20, 2025, the day Trump took office for a second term, the average price for a gallon of gas was $3.12. Had Trump kept his pledge, gas would now cost about $1.57 per gallon.

On Tuesday, the average price of a gallon of gas was $4.02. Instead of the 50% reduction in gas prices that Trump promised, prices have increased by more than 28%.

Trump also promised to drive down other energy costs, including electricity bills and home heating gas, by 50%. “Energy costs, all of it, air conditioning, heating, all of it, including gasoline, will drop by more than 50% within the first 12 months,” Trump pledged during an August 19, 2024, rally in York, Pennsylvania.

Home heating oil has gone from $3.94 per gallon on the day of Trump’s inauguration to $5.57 per gallon today, a 41% increase. Residential electricity costs averaged 15.92 cents per kilowatt-hour in January 2025. Today, Americans are paying an average of 18.05 cents per kilowatt-hour, an increase of 13%.

The sharp increase in energy prices, particularly oil prices, is not the result of misfortune. Rather, it is a direct and predictable consequence of Trump’s policies. Trump made the decision to start a war against Iran without a plan to secure the Strait of Hormuz, a sea passage used by about 20% of the world’s oil supply. Although most oil that travels through the Strait of Hormuz is not imported to the United States, oil trades in a global market, so cutting off a significant percentage of the supply increases costs for everyone.

Trump has pursued these policies even though his pledge to reduce energy prices was not a flip remark but a central plank of his reelection campaign, one he repeated over and over again."

Link
Click to expand...
1000006083.jpg
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top