Blue Hopium ONLY info

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
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This election will define the quintessence of our country...

Are we still a country that is a shining city on a hill that appeals to the better angels of our nature ?
or
Are we now a country that is a dark and fearful dystopia preying upon and exploiting our ignoble instincts ?

For the sake of my children and grandchildren I hope and believe we will continue our quest to form a more perfect union.
 
Flashback 2023:

“… An analysis from FiveThirtyEight found that in 38 special elections held so far this year [2023], Democrats have outperformed the partisan lean -- or the relative liberal or conservative history -- of the areas where the races were held by an average of 10%, both romping in parts of the country that typically support the party while cutting down on GOP margins in red cities and counties, too.

For instance, the Democratic candidate in a Wisconsin State Assembly special election last month lost by just 7 points in an area where Republicans have a 22-point edge and where Trump beat Biden by almost 17 points in 2020.

In a New Hampshire special election in May for a state House seat, the Democrat won by 43 points, far beyond the party's estimated 23-point edge in the district.

The data from FiveThirtyEight does not include regularly scheduled off-year elections, including the Wisconsin Supreme Court race earlier this year in which the liberal candidate, now-Justice Janet Protasiewicz, won by 11 points -- in a state famous for its wafer-thin election margins.

"I think when you when you look at things like this, one special election doesn't mean much on its own. But when you start to see real consistency, it can certainly become predictive of the next election cycle," said Ben Nuckels, a Wisconsin Democratic strategist who consulted on Protasiewicz's campaign.

For comparison, according to FiveThirtyEight, Democrats outperformed the weighted partisan lean by about 4% in special elections held between the 2018 midterms and the 2020 elections, when Biden won the White House by 4.5% but Democrats underperformed in House races. …”

abcnews.go.com

Democrats are overperforming in 2023's special elections. Is it a clue for Biden vs. Trump?

An analysis from FiveThirtyEight found that in 38 special elections held so far this year, Democrats have outperformed the partisan lean by an average of 10%
abcnews.go.com abcnews.go.com
 
nycfan said:




Just because Republicans are turning out in higher numbers in early voting doesn’t guaranty they are all voting for Trump. There will be some GOP anti-Trump cross-over.
Click to expand...

EXACTLY. People are acting as if republicans voting early this year means there are more republican voters. No, it means they won’t be voting on Election Day. The number of Haley voters during the primaries show that Trump WILL NOT have full support of the republicans party voters. You can’t tell me that these people who voted for Haley after the fact she withdrew are still going to vote for the turd. They either won’t vote for president or will vote for Harris, both a win for Harris. Fuck maga.
 
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