There is a 0.0% chance that Israel will not retaliate. If negative percentage chances were a thing, I'd say less than 0.0%
Iran Catch-All | US-Iran talks begin
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I suppose the $64 dollar question is whether they will retaliate in basically a token way that avoids a continuing cycle of retaliation or if they go all in.
The April 2024 missile barrage ended with the former.
Yes, that is the real question.
Ddseddse
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The difference was that the April exchange was specifically in retaliation to Israel's missile attack on Iranian soil (the Iranian Embassy in Damascus), and thus from a tit for tat stance a "valid" retaliation.
This last exchange was in response to the attacks on Hezbollah in Lebanon, which did not directly threaten Iranian territory one iota. In Israel this will be viewed as an "illegitimate" retaliation that demands a response.
For better or worse Israel will respond.
Safe and secure in our chairs thousands of miles away these things things can seem like minor differences, but they do matter.
RaiGuy
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This is a crazy story, but Boris Johnson isn't the most trustworthy person. However, it wouldn't be the first time that Israel spies on an "ally"
www.telegraph.co.uk
Bugging device found in my bathroom after Netanyahu visit, claims Boris Johnson
Former PM reveals in memoir that security team found the listening equipment when Israeli prime minister used his personal toilet in 2017
www.telegraph.co.uk
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CNN:
JUST IN: Israel has begun its retaliatory strikes on Iran following an attack from Tehran earlier this month, according to an official familiar. Several explosions were heard in Tehran on Saturday morning local time, according to Iranian state media.
• Earlier, US Air Force F-16 fighter jets arrived in the Middle East from Germany, according to US Central Command, as the region braces for Israel’s anticipated response to Iran’s major missile attack earlier this month.
• Meanwhile, Israel’s military chief has said there was the possibility of a “sharp conclusion” to the war against Hezbollah in Lebanon, as troops have “thoroughly dismantled Hezbollah’s senior chain of command.”
• Talks on a possible deal in Gaza are expected to resume this weekend, though there is little expectation of a breakthrough before the US presidential election, sources tell CNN.
JUST IN: Israel has begun its retaliatory strikes on Iran following an attack from Tehran earlier this month, according to an official familiar. Several explosions were heard in Tehran on Saturday morning local time, according to Iranian state media.
• Earlier, US Air Force F-16 fighter jets arrived in the Middle East from Germany, according to US Central Command, as the region braces for Israel’s anticipated response to Iran’s major missile attack earlier this month.
• Meanwhile, Israel’s military chief has said there was the possibility of a “sharp conclusion” to the war against Hezbollah in Lebanon, as troops have “thoroughly dismantled Hezbollah’s senior chain of command.”
• Talks on a possible deal in Gaza are expected to resume this weekend, though there is little expectation of a breakthrough before the US presidential election, sources tell CNN.
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Heaven and Hell are here on earth created by man
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Meanwhile, in Iran
“… The Baluch regions across the three nations have faced a low-level insurgency by Baluch nationalistsfor more than two decades. Verifying information remains difficult in Iran’s Sistan and Baluchistan, which for decades has been home to violence involving heroin traffickers.
The province is one of the least developed parts of Iran. Relations between the predominantly Sunni Muslim residents of the region and Iran’s Shiite theocracy have long been strained. Typical attacks involve hit-and-run assaults by militants in the region, like the Sunni militant group Jaish al-Adl, that kill a few security officials at a time.
… Meanwhile, the Taliban said they are investigating reports that Afghan migrants had been killed by Iranian security forces in the region earlier in October, an incident that threatened to further strain relations between the nations. …”
Few beyond Western clandestine services ever seem interested in this Iranian backwater of Sunnis.
“… The Baluch regions across the three nations have faced a low-level insurgency by Baluch nationalistsfor more than two decades. Verifying information remains difficult in Iran’s Sistan and Baluchistan, which for decades has been home to violence involving heroin traffickers.
The province is one of the least developed parts of Iran. Relations between the predominantly Sunni Muslim residents of the region and Iran’s Shiite theocracy have long been strained. Typical attacks involve hit-and-run assaults by militants in the region, like the Sunni militant group Jaish al-Adl, that kill a few security officials at a time.
… Meanwhile, the Taliban said they are investigating reports that Afghan migrants had been killed by Iranian security forces in the region earlier in October, an incident that threatened to further strain relations between the nations. …”
Few beyond Western clandestine services ever seem interested in this Iranian backwater of Sunnis.
ZenMode
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Israel strikes Iran in high-stakes retaliation
Israel launched direct strikes against Iran early Saturday, in a high-stakes retaliation to Tehran’s ballistic missile barrage earlier this month. Israel said it hit military targets, which did not include energy infrastructure, according to an Israeli military source.
• Iran has said it is “entitled” to defend itself following the attack, but Iranian media appears to be downplaying the strikes, reporting limited damage at military sites in three provinces. The army said two soldiers were killed.
• A senior US administration official said President Joe Biden encouraged Israel to design its attack against Iran in a way that would deter further escalation. World leaders have been urging the two sides to avoid a wider regional war.
• Meanwhile, Gaza’s health ministry says Israeli forces have detained male staff members during a raid at Kamal Adwan Hospital in the north of the enclave, where the UN human rights chief says Israel is “subjecting an entire population to bombing, siege and risk of starvation.”
Israel launched direct strikes against Iran early Saturday, in a high-stakes retaliation to Tehran’s ballistic missile barrage earlier this month. Israel said it hit military targets, which did not include energy infrastructure, according to an Israeli military source.
• Iran has said it is “entitled” to defend itself following the attack, but Iranian media appears to be downplaying the strikes, reporting limited damage at military sites in three provinces. The army said two soldiers were killed.
• A senior US administration official said President Joe Biden encouraged Israel to design its attack against Iran in a way that would deter further escalation. World leaders have been urging the two sides to avoid a wider regional war.
• Meanwhile, Gaza’s health ministry says Israeli forces have detained male staff members during a raid at Kamal Adwan Hospital in the north of the enclave, where the UN human rights chief says Israel is “subjecting an entire population to bombing, siege and risk of starvation.”
Carolina Fever
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Is it okay to not like all the political parties involved?
RaiGuy
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I am so shocked by this. Like totally shocked 
apple.news
Israeli military dropped bombs in ‘lethal proximity’ of at least 19 Lebanese hospitals, CNN analysis finds — CNN
The ground shook, windows shattered, and the cries of patients filled the air. An Israeli bomb had just struck Beirut’s southern suburbs in yet another near-nightly attack – this time hitting a building across the street from Lebanon’s biggest public hospital.