Iran War | Political & Economic Impacts

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superrific said:
If you don't like Schumer, I've got bad news for you about Beshear . . .
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Beshear fits the demo but he is so boring. I’d like to take a mishmash of the various potential candidates and create a perfect candidate. But unfortunately, I think we are going to have accept a candidate with some flaws. Hopefully, that candidate will offer enough upside to offset the potential liabilities.
 

Of all the MAGA Vulcan Fox fantasy thinking going on right now (seizing a 50 mile barrier along the Iranian coastline, escorting tankers, establishing puppets via the Kurds & Balochs) I think this is the silliest. The idea of sending in 1,000+ operators on helicopters plus their 3x in Rangers 500km into Iranian territory to take on a tunnel complex that is likely completely unmapped (although rumors are Kidon has blueprints) and filled with completely unknown numbers of IRGC. The Iranians will know as soon as they arrive, if not sooner, and be able to throw drones/artillery at them. Oh yeah and then, should they somehow complete the insane mission, they have to get out.
 

Trump administration underestimated Iran war’s impact on Strait of Hormuz​



“… While key officials from the Departments of Energy and Treasury were present for some of the official planning meetings about the operation before it started, sources said, the agency analysis and forecasts that would be integral elements of the decision-making process in past administrations were secondary considerations.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Energy Secretary Chris Wright have been key players throughout the planning and execution stages of the conflict, the sources acknowledged. But Trump’s preference of leaning on a tight circle of close advisers in his national security decision making had the effect of sidelining interagency debate over the potential economic fallout if Iran were to respond to US-Israeli strikes by closing the strait.

And now it may be weeks before the administration’s efforts to alleviate the intensifying economic fallout take hold, officials said Thursday, including high-risk naval escorts of oil tankers through the strait that the Pentagon believes are currently too dangerous to conduct. The president, meanwhile, has continued to downplay the tumult in energy markets.

The reality in the strait has left diplomatic counterparts, former US economic and energy officials and industry executives who spoke with CNN in a state of confusion and disbelief.…”
 
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