Pitt Biorhythms, Round 2, Tip @4

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superrific said:
But the math doesn't tell the whole story. What do you think of person's A final response in this hypothetical conversation:

A: Mathematically, UNC has a 20% chance of beating Duke
B: But RJ, Drake, and Seth are injured and not playing.
A: I'm just talking about the math, not situational stuff.

I understand your point in general, but your analysis doesn't tell the whole story. FTR, I think I read some research a while back showing that scoring isn't actually fully random; rather, teams were more likely to score a basket after giving up a three possession swing (i.e. not scoring on previous two possessions; giving up points on three). I don't know where I read it, and it might not be valid any more. Not going to vouch for that, just mention it.
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Better teams will score more points and have bigger runs, no doubt.

There is certainly nuance but I don’t think you can really devalue the point margins on a one or two possession game.
 
Bigs23 said:
Better teams will score more points and have bigger runs, no doubt.

There is certainly nuance but I don’t think you can really devalue the point margins on a one or two possession game.
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What do you mean devalue the point margins? Do you mean that we weren't actually blown out by Kansas despite trailing big time for much of the game? If that's the point, I agree with that 100%. I was just making a comment in the abstract.
 
superrific said:
What do you mean devalue the point margins? Do you mean that we weren't actually blown out by Kansas despite trailing big time for much of the game? If that's the point, I agree with that 100%. I was just making a comment in the abstract.
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I mean that if you lose a close game that you were behind in for most of the game it doesn’t mean you weren’t actually competitive.
 
Bigs23 said:
I mean that if you lose a close game that you were behind in for most of the game it doesn’t mean you weren’t actually competitive.
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Who's saying they weren't competitive at all during those games? But, "competitive", as super points out, is fairly nuanced and is local in natural, not global.

Losing a close game in which you were significantly behind for the majority of the game doesn't mean you were never competitive during the game. It means you weren't competitive for the majority of the game. Why/how you played as you did to get back in it could be for a variety of reasons - one typically being that the other team let their foot off the pedal (lost focus, didn't compete with the same intensity, played players they wouldn't otherwise, etc.).

Once again, no one is arguing that they were not competitive at any point in any of those games. I'm saying that you can't simply look at the "math" (by "math" I assume you mean "final score") and say that they were playing up to KU's potential, for example.

I'll warn again, before letting you have at it, toxic positivity is not beneficial in the long-run, neither is toxic negativity. What is beneficial is to analyze your performance, identify your mistakes, set out plan(s) to prevent them from happening in the future, and practicing those plans and the skill-sets required to carry them out in competition.
 
It’s a nip and tuck game for all of 37 minutes, but the wheels come off at the end. And you wind up losing by 20 because in the final 3 minutes the other team can’t miss from three… and they hit all of their FT’s at the end… your team just can’t buy a bucket and has to keep fouling… were you competitive in that game?

If you’re getting blown out by double digits for 37 minutes but make a run at the end, and lose by 3 pts, with a last second heave to tie the game clangs off the iron… were you competitive in that game?
 
donbosco said:
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Steve Previs was my first favorite Heel that wasn’t a headlining grabbing star. That dive on the floor by Seth Trimble that kept Pitt from recovering that loose ball at around the 9 second mark was exactly the kind of play that made Previs a great teammate and very appreciated by Coach Smith.
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Previs back in 2007

 
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