superrific
Legend of ZZL
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I think you don't understand probability, among many other things.I am skeptical of all the gloom and doom I've been hearing. Trump is going to start a nuclear war... Trump is going to end interracial marriage...etc. At some point, folks stop believing that boy when he cries wolf.
And Trump does plenty of crazy things. Let's focus on them instead of predicting that Trump is planning to end vaccines or ADHD meds.
I don't recall anyone saying, "Trump is definitely going to start a nuclear war." But any reasonable person should understand that the odds of a nuclear war have increased massively over the last month. Maybe that's an increase from 0.1% to 1% (a tenfold increase is massive, though not in absolute terms). Maybe it's 0.1% to 10%. Obviously these numbers are made up. Probably the odds of nuclear war are still very low.
But any increase in the probability of nuclear war is really bad. Whatever the likelihood, if it's non-zero it's too high. And Trump has done that.
Nobody has said anything about interracial marriage, which is why you used this example. We are concerned that they are probably going to overturn Obergefell. I mean, multiple Justices have already said they want to do that. But I'm sure you know more than anyone about this situation.