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Months ago, the French Minister of Health warned all hospitals in France to prepare for a mass casualty event, basically prepare for war in Europe. Recently, the French Chief of Defense warned about France being willing to lose its children in some kind of mass conflict. This has given me great cause for concern. Thought Trump was going to help Ukraine more when he seemed willing to give them Tomahawk missiles. Now, it seems Trump is trying to force Ukraine to take a deal that would only encourage Russia (and other powerful bad actors) to take what they want by force. Seems like Trump wants to focus on illegal/improper immigration in the US and start a conflict with Venezuela/Colombia and sit back while NATO deals with Russia. An expanded/updated Monroe Doctrine.The axis of evil is forming.
Hopefully small.So I pose the question...what are the chances of Russia and NATO countries being engaged in some kind of widespread conflict in the next year?
Very low I think. Russia's military is pretty spent going a fifth of the way across Ukraine. I can't imagine there is any appetite to start a new war against NATO.Months ago, the French Minister of Health warned all hospitals in France to prepare for a mass casualty event, basically prepare for war in Europe. Recently, the French Chief of Defense warned about France being willing to lose its children in some kind of mass conflict. This has given me great cause for concern. Thought Trump was going to help Ukraine more when he seemed willing to give them Tomahawk missiles. Now, it seems Trump is trying to force Ukraine to take a deal that would only encourage Russia (and other powerful bad actors) to take what they want by force. Seems like Trump wants to focus on illegal/improper immigration in the US and start a conflict with Venezuela/Colombia and sit back while NATO deals with Russia. An expanded/updated Monroe Doctrine.
So I pose the question...what are the chances of Russia and NATO countries being engaged in some kind of widespread conflict in the next year?
Russia's military is in fact getting larger, more efficient, better trained and more effective since they invaded Ukraine. They aren't going to go head to head against NATO anyway. They will continue asymmetric operations in their former satellites, but they aren't pouring through the Fulda Gap anytime soon. They don't have to.Very low I think. Russia's military is pretty spent going a fifth of the way across Ukraine. I can't imagine there is any appetite to start a new war against NATO.
Well you are answering The Russia will start it partVery low I think. Russia's military is pretty spent going a fifth of the way across Ukraine. I can't imagine there is any appetite to start a new war against NATO.
WOW! A "Fulda Gap" sighting. The only thing my unit in the Army practiced the entire time I was in the Army was getting to the Fulda Gap before the Russians did and to retreat slowly enough to allow reinforcement to arrive from elsewhere.Russia's military is in fact getting larger, more efficient, better trained and more effective since they invaded Ukraine. They aren't going to go head to head against NATO anyway. They will continue asymmetric operations in their former satellites, but they aren't pouring through the Fulda Gap anytime soon. They don't have to.
I think we have discussed it before. Fewer and fewer folks even know about it, but the 11th ACR was essentially a tripwire - hold for 10+ minutes to allow NATO to act. The AH-64s had one job - kills tanks until you die. Interestingly, I went up to Fulda last summer. Because I spent so much time in Wurzburg, I go back often and last summer we just decided to take the ICE up for the day. Nice trip.WOW! A "Fulda Gap" sighting. The only thing my unit in the Army practiced the entire time I was in the Army was getting to the Fulda Gap before the Russians did and to retreat slowly enough to allow reinforcement to arrive from elsewhere.