Stock Market/Investing/Fin Planning Catch-All

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NVDA and AVGO deservedly get most of the semicondctor love but AMD has been on an even better streqak the past few months
 
This week (july 28-Aug 1 2025(, the S&P 500 reached an all-time closing high of 6388 and all-time intraday high of 6427/

I presume the market (owing to seasonal tendencies) will experience around a 10% correction at some poing during August, September or first half of October. For those who buy based on that sort of dip, the "buy more new shares" point would be around 5760. August and Sept are historically the two worst performing months of the stock market, For Nasdaq 100 I use a 15% drop gauge for that index: those are fairly common, normal and healthy.
 
heelslegup said:
This week (july 28-Aug 1 2025(, the S&P 500 reached an all-time closing high of 6388 and all-time intraday high of 6427/

I presume the market (owing to seasonal tendencies) will experience around a 10% correction at some poing during August, September or first half of October. For those who buy based on that sort of dip, the "buy more new shares" point would be around 5760. August and Sept are historically the two worst performing months of the stock market, For Nasdaq 100 I use a 15% drop gauge for that index: those are fairly common, normal and healthy.
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Since Trump took office the S&P is up 3%, the DOW is down a smidge but essentially flat, and the NASDAQ is up 5%

So over the last 7 months the market is up modestly but Trump hyping these "record highs" is pretty weak sauce, and a 10% correction in the next 3 months will give back most the modest gains.
 
heelslegup said:
This week (july 28-Aug 1 2025(, the S&P 500 reached an all-time closing high of 6388 and all-time intraday high of 6427/

I presume the market (owing to seasonal tendencies) will experience around a 10% correction at some poing during August, September or first half of October. For those who buy based on that sort of dip, the "buy more new shares" point would be around 5760. August and Sept are historically the two worst performing months of the stock market, For Nasdaq 100 I use a 15% drop gauge for that index: those are fairly common, normal and healthy.
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This assumes the next correction will be cyclical.
 
Some key earnings reports this week
Monday PM: AXON, PLTR (not for the faint of heart)
Tuesday PM: AMD, ANET. DVN, SMCI, TOST,
Wednesday AM: DIS, LNTH, MCD, NRG, OSCR, ROK, SHOP
Wednesday PM: ABNB, APP, DASH, DKNG, ELF, FTNT, MCK, O, OXY, UBER

Thursday AM: CEG, DDOG, LLY, LNG
Thursday PML SOUN, TTDm WYNN
 
Kiplinger's advice and stocks to get you through the upcoming recession :

Avoid cyclical stocks
Stick with defensive stocks, eg utilities, consumer staples
Prioritize dividends

Altria ( MO )
Digital Realty Trus ( DLR )
Lloyd's Banking Group ( LYG )
Lockheed Martin ( LMT )
NextEra Energy ( NEE )
 
heelslegup said:
Some key earnings reports this week
Monday PM: AXON, PLTR (not for the faint of heart)
Tuesday PM: AMD, ANET. DVN, SMCI, TOST,
Wednesday AM: DIS, LNTH, MCD, NRG, OSCR, ROK, SHOP
Wednesday PM: ABNB, APP, DASH, DKNG, ELF, FTNT, MCK, O, OXY, UBER

Thursday AM: CEG, DDOG, LLY, LNG
Thursday PML SOUN, TTDm WYNN
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What does not for faint of heart mean regarding pltr. I just bought bunch
 
Re PLTR, means highly volatile and priced to perfection (see retirns below). Though it is in a sweet spot of market (AI for defense esp), any earnings miss or weak future guidance would mean a big drop. Even in normal times, after it goes up a LOT, it tends to retrace 30-40% before going backl up. So buyer beware. If you want to play the earnings, only a small amount in PLTR or an even smaleer amout on the leveraged PLTU since it will likely gain or drop a significant amount. The Kiplinger earnings calendar article a few posts above has a long preview of PLTR earmings.

+104% YTD
+492 1 year
+1394% 3 year
 
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It is amazing how many financial "products" there are out there. "In 2020, the finance and insurance sectors alone contributed 8.3% ($1.7 trillion) to the U.S. GDP." How much of that is based upon an element of gambling (risk/grift)?
 
The key take-aways from earnings this past week is that many retailers continue to struggle as the tariffs start to take hold. WalMart noed that they have started to run out of pre-tariff inventory and now having to restock with costlier tariffed stock. Which means middle and working class will be seeing higher prices.
TJX was a bright spot in retailing. Tariffs do not affect them nearly as much.
There was a brief sell-off and potential buy point for high fliers like PLTR as they dropped 20+% before rebounding. Seotember will likely see a maket drop, probably in the 5-10% range so more buy chances to come.

NVDA will be the big earnings story this upcoming week,
 
Trumo Admin demands and gets 10% stake in Intel as condition for CHIPS act fundiun. Made similar request to Taiwan Semi who told them to pound sand/
Govt gives out hundreds of billions in contracts. Are they going to demaind stock in defense contractors, software providers luike Oracle and Microsft?
Why not just nationalize oil companies and start a sovereign wealh fund like Norway and SAudis: that could actually help fund the gtovt.
Instead of all these twist and turns with tariffs etc, quit giving large corps abd wealthy individuals more and more tax breaks,
 
heelslegup said:
Trumo Admin demands and gets 10% stake in Intel as condition for CHIPS act fundiun. Made similar request to Taiwan Semi who told them to pound sand/
Govt gives out hundreds of billions in contracts. Are they going to demaind stock in defense contractors, software providers luike Oracle and Microsft?
Why not just nationalize oil companies and start a sovereign wealh fund like Norway and SAudis: that could actually help fund the gtovt.
Instead of all these twist and turns with tariffs etc, quit giving large corps abd wealthy individuals more and more tax breaks,
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give him time...

Budapest wasn't built in a day
 
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