The Weather Thread

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
  • Start date Start date
  • Replies: 2K
  • Views: 56K
  • Off-Topic 
For Charlotte





Track #1: The "Mostly Snow" SolutionStatus: UNLIKELY / RULING IT OUTI have put a big red X on this one for a reason.The Update: The hope for a "mostly snow" event in Charlotte is effectively gone. The cold air just isn't going to suppress the storm far enough south to keep us all white.The Reality. If you were hoping for a winter wonderland with minimal power issues, this sadly isn't the track we are taking.

Track #2: The "Glacier" Surface (Snow to Ice)**Status: STILL A CHANCE**Don't write this one off completely yet.The Trend: While not the *primary* driver right now, we are watching for any wobble back this way.The Impact: If the storm trends slightly back to this track, we end up with that nasty "layer cake" of precipitation—snow transitioning to sleet and then freezing rain. It creates a rock-hard, glacier-like surface on the roads.

Track #3: The Crippling Ice Storm (All Ice/sleet)Status: MOST LIKELY RIGHT NOWThis is the trend we need to take seriously.The Update: All the guidance is pushing this solution. The "warm nose" of air aloft is surging in, turning snowflakes into rain, which then freezes on contact with the surface.The Danger: This isn't a travel headache; it's an infrastructure headache. This track maximizes freezing rain accumulation, which means a high risk of tree damage and power outages. This is the "Crippling Storm" scenario I warned about.

Bottom line: The trend is your friend (or enemy, in this case). We are moving away from snow and toward a significant icing event. Prepare for power outages now, just in case.
 
sringwal said:
Really happy to live three blocks from the police/fire stations. Our road is usually the second in Burlington cleared, and the first to get power back to.
Click to expand...
For years when I lived in Heritage Hills the Chair of the County Commisionsers, Wilhoit or some such , lived there-and we got such treatment
 
aGDevil2k said:
I know how bad 0.25" of freezing rain is.

I cannot imagine what over a fucking INCH of freezing rain is like.
Click to expand...
The North American Ice Storm of 1998 brought 2+ inches of ice.

Hit Upstate NY, VT, NH, and Maine in the US; and, it hit eastern Ontario, southern Quebec, Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick.

Many were without power for a month.

Canada deployed 16,000 military personnel; its largest deployment since the Korean War.

30+ people died in the US and Canada.

Anyone who lived in the area in 1998 still talks about that storm.
 
aGDevil2k said:
Ummmm - they really just put up a graphic saying 0.5-0.75" of ice in the Triangle, and OVER 0.75" in Charlotte and Fayetteville.

Let's all say our Hail Trumps that he changes the weather with a sharpie back
Click to expand...

sringwal said:
Really happy to live three blocks from the police/fire stations. Our road is usually the second in Burlington cleared, and the first to get power back to.
Click to expand...
Front street, or Davis?
 
The american WX folks seem to be less suicidal right now - leaning to more sleet than freezing rain for NC. I hope that's true. I havent looked at anything, though the weather channel's latest DID show more purple sleet vs freezing rain.
 
Patb78 said:
Front street, or Davis?
Click to expand...
Front. I'm right next to the house that burned down a couple years ago. We'd have lost our home as well, probably with me inside it, had it taken any longer than it did for the fire department to show up. As it was, several of our windows cracked from the heat.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top