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Well, at least the DOJ was able to successfully prosecute and convict Hunter Biden so Garland has that feather in his cap...1. SCOTUS could delay that decision as long as it wanted. Remember, Jack Smith showed up to the Supreme Court in late December and we got a decision on the very last day of the term. That was after the DC Circuit issued an expedited ruling. If Jack Smith had showed up six months earlier, the time frame would have been the same.
If Jack Smith had shown up at SCOTUS a year earlier, SCOTUS could have stayed the lower court's proceeding and then set the case for argument in the next term.
The point is that the Court can almost infinitely manipulate its own schedule. Given that it ran out the clock as long as necessary, there's no reason to think they wouldn't have delayed it by that much.
Oh, and keep in mind, SCOTUS could come back after remand and say, "Chutkan was wrong; these acts are all official [and/or the evidence about them inadmissible] and the indictment must be dismissed." You're assuming a favorable disposition for the remaining appeals, but that is very much not a given. In fact, I'd say it's unlikely.
2. You're also ignoring the follow-up. The DC judge could have sorted out the charges . . . and then Trump would have appealed that. That would go to DC Circuit, and there wouldn't be a quick turnaround because the legal issues are highly unsettled (unlike the original immunity claim). If the appeals court found fault (remember: there are Trumpy judges who could be drawn from the panel, and in addition, Chutkan could make mistakes that any judge would correct), it would send the case back to Chutkan, then back to the DC Circuit, etc. Even if Chutkan would be upheld on appeal, SCOTUS would review. Again, that wouldn't be quick. You'd have to add at least a year -- at least -- to your timeline.
And then there's the Jack Smith appointment issue, which wouldn't be addressed until ***after*** the immunity stuff is sorted out.
3. To put it differently, if Kamala had won, the case would likely not to go to trial in 2025. Given where the case was left, there's probably at least two years more of bullshit from the immunity decision to sort through. We'd be looking at a trial in mid 2026 at the earliest. Other lawyers can offer their own estimates, but I doubt it will vary much from what I have.
If the Supreme Court wanted Trump on the ballot, it could make that happen regardless of anything Garland does.
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