From reporting this morning, we shouldn't be surprised if Trump cancels the tariffs sometime this afternoon. If so, he'll declare it as a massive win even if nothing really changes, just like Colombia. It's government by terrorism. I can't imagine why anyone abroad would ever believe a word that comes out of his mouth.
Actually, I think the Candian tariffs are much more likely to go on for a while. Trump has already gotten what he wants from Mexico. They're going to play along with his border charade and engage in further discussions later from which Trump is likely to extract some concessions even if they are minor.
However, with Canada, I do think he really does want to absorb Canada into the US. He has never come close to saying that Mexico, Greenland, or even the Panama Canal Zone should be the 51st state, only Canada. There is no easy 'win parameter' with Canada and he has clearly stated what the desired end result, is: expansion of US territory to include Canada.
On the other hand, this may all just be distraction for what Musk is doing with Doge assuming you believe that Musk is following Curtis Yarvin's plan for reinventing the US into a dictatorship/monarchy/startup with a CEO (Trump) and a Board of Directors (Thiel, Andressen, Horowitz and other billionaires) as some believe is already ongoing.
Butterfly Revolution Step 1: Campaign on Autocracy
Butterfly Revolution Step 2: Purge the Bureaucracy
Butterfly Revolution Step 3: Ignore the Courts
Butterfly Revolution Step 4: Co-Opt the Congress
Butterfly Revolution Step 5: Centralise Police and Powers
Butterfly Revolution Step 6: Shut Down Elite Media and Academic Institutions
Butterfly Revolution Step 7: Turn Out the People