UNC Football Catch-all | Bill Belichick Era underway

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I was very happy and excited for the players to get a conference win, no matter how bad Syracuse is. I’m still quite skeptical that the BB experiment will ultimately work out well for UNC (in terms of wins and losses).

I think any debate about how much progress is being made and how good the defense is will take care of itself in the final three games. Those are not great but decent teams. If we can win 2 out of the final 3 (plus Stanford) and get to a bowl, I will feel cautiously optimistic going into the offseason. If we fall flat and look more like we did early on, I’ll continue to hope that major changes are made. I’ll be at the Stanford game next week and cheering for a win in every game though.
Totally agree with all of this. If we assume Stanford is a win at home, then I think that we have to find a minimum of 1 in the last 3 to get to 5-7, in order to feel like decent progress was made. I don't think we should feel good about 4-8, going into the offseason on a 3 game skid, and having lost to our three biggest rivals. So still lots to play for, which is something I wouldn't have thought would be possible 3 weeks ago.
 
I was very happy and excited for the players to get a conference win, no matter how bad Syracuse is. I’m still quite skeptical that the BB experiment will ultimately work out well for UNC (in terms of wins and losses).

I think any debate about how much progress is being made and how good the defense is will take care of itself in the final three games. Those are not great but decent teams. If we can win 2 out of the final 3 (plus Stanford) and get to a bowl, I will feel cautiously optimistic going into the offseason. If we fall flat and look more like we did early on, I’ll continue to hope that major changes are made. I’ll be at the Stanford game next week and cheering for a win in every game though.
I'm not sure why you are not counting Stanford as one of our remaining games. That is not a gimmie by any stretch (although we will be favored).

Duke will likely destroy us (they are playing like one of the best teams in the ACC recently), and I expect State to win comfortably as well. If we can keep either of those games close, it will be significant progress. Wake just beat SMU, so we will be a decided underdog in that game as well.

If we can win 2 of the remaining 4, and keep the other two close, that will be a very good sign for next year. A bowl game seems highly unrealistic unless we get one of the 5-7 slots for graduation rate. And it is not like bowl games really mean anything any more.

I am much more interested in seeing how we perform than whether we win. Wins and losses became pretty irrelevant to me after UCF.
 
Totally agree with all of this. If we assume Stanford is a win at home, then I think that we have to find a minimum of 1 in the last 3 to get to 5-7, in order to feel like decent progress was made. I don't think we should feel good about 4-8, going into the offseason on a 3 game skid, and having lost to our three biggest rivals. So still lots to play for, which is something I wouldn't have thought would be possible 3 weeks ago.
I disagree, given how bad this program looked in the beginning, short of a complete collapse going forward, I think there’s reasonable chance of a much better year next year. (I do hope that they can secure a better OC.)
 
I'm not sure why you are not counting Stanford as one of our remaining games. That is not a gimmie by any stretch (although we will be favored).

Duke will likely destroy us (they are playing like one of the best teams in the ACC recently), and I expect State to win comfortably as well. If we can keep either of those games close, it will be significant progress. Wake just beat SMU, so we will be a decided underdog in that game as well.

If we can win 2 of the remaining 4, and keep the other two close, that will be a very good sign for next year. A bowl game seems highly unrealistic unless we get one of the 5-7 slots for graduation rate. And it is not like bowl games really mean anything any more.

I am much more interested in seeing how we perform than whether we win. Wins and losses became pretty irrelevant to me after UCF.
Assuming that it’s like it was, the biggest benefit of lower-tier bowl games is the extra practice. That would be beneficial, especially considering that the program and players seems to be responding well to more practices.
 
Assuming that it’s like it was, the biggest benefit of lower-tier bowl games is the extra practice. That would be beneficial, especially considering that the program and players seems to be responding well to more practices.
Agreed 100%. And we could treat the game as preseason for next year. In particular, I'd like to see more underclassmen getting playing time moving forward. It was very encouraging to see Hall at left tackle last night, even though it was due to an injury to Lindbergh.
 
I disagree, given how bad this program looked in the beginning, short of a complete collapse going forward, I think there’s reasonable chance of a much better year next year. (I do hope that they can secure a better OC.)
That's fair. I think where we differ is that I'm not willing to have lowered the expectations bar based on how horrific we looked for the first month of the season. That was completely unacceptable in every sense of the word and should be held against Belichick and staff when evaluating this season. But of course, the way that we are now playing should also be a legitimate credit to Belichick and staff. So the final book on this 2025 season as a whole is still yet to be written.

Next year, the schedule is really tough. We play TCU, Clemson, Notre Dame, Louisville, and Miami, in addition to playing at Duke, at Pitt, and at Virginia. We would have to essentially turn the ENTIRE offensive roster over and/or do a complete 180 in terms of offensive philosophy, for me to believe that we have a chance to be legitimately good against that schedule. And as of right now, it's looking and sounding like this staff's plan is to bring in 40-45 high school recruits, which, unless we are planning on sending the vast majority of the non-graduating players on this roster to the waiver wire, limits the number of impact transfer portal additions we can make. I would love to be wrong, but I don't see us winning a bunch of ball games against that slate next year with mostly 18-year-olds contributing.

Let's say we go 4-8 this year, which at *this* particular juncture in time seems the most probable. If we improve *significantly* and go 6-6 or 7-5 against that schedule next year, and we are in year 2 of what is almost assuredly a short stint with a 74-year-old head coach, what have we really accomplished? I truly hope that the folks who made this hire won't be satisfied with just getting back to our "8 wins is pretty good around here" mentality after breaking open the bank for this staff.
 
That's fair. I think where we differ is that I'm not willing to have lowered the expectations bar based on how horrific we looked for the first month of the season. That was completely unacceptable in every sense of the word and should be held against Belichick and staff when evaluating this season. But of course, the way that we are now playing should also be a legitimate credit to Belichick and staff. So the final book on this 2025 season as a whole is still yet to be written.

Next year, the schedule is really tough. We play TCU, Clemson, Notre Dame, Louisville, and Miami, in addition to playing at Duke, at Pitt, and at Virginia. We would have to essentially turn the ENTIRE offensive roster over and/or do a complete 180 in terms of offensive philosophy, for me to believe that we have a chance to be legitimately good against that schedule. And as of right now, it's looking and sounding like this staff's plan is to bring in 40-45 high school recruits, which, unless we are planning on sending the vast majority of the non-graduating players on this roster to the waiver wire, limits the number of impact transfer portal additions we can make. I would love to be wrong, but I don't see us winning a bunch of ball games against that slate next year with mostly 18-year-olds contributing.

Let's say we go 4-8 this year, which at *this* particular juncture in time seems the most probable. If we improve *significantly* and go 6-6 or 7-5 against that schedule next year, and we are in year 2 of what is almost assuredly a short stint with a 74-year-old head coach, what have we really accomplished? I truly hope that the folks who made this hire won't be satisfied with just getting back to our "8 wins is pretty good around here" mentality after breaking open the bank for this staff.
I think it really depends on how we look in those games and how good those teams really are. The TCU, UCF, Clemson beatings cannot continue. As with any team, the key is to see progress.
 
I'm not sure why you are not counting Stanford as one of our remaining games. That is not a gimmie by any stretch (although we will be favored).

Duke will likely destroy us (they are playing like one of the best teams in the ACC recently), and I expect State to win comfortably as well. If we can keep either of those games close, it will be significant progress. Wake just beat SMU, so we will be a decided underdog in that game as well.

If we can win 2 of the remaining 4, and keep the other two close, that will be a very good sign for next year. A bowl game seems highly unrealistic unless we get one of the 5-7 slots for graduation rate. And it is not like bowl games really mean anything any more.

I am much more interested in seeing how we perform than whether we win. Wins and losses became pretty irrelevant to me after UCF.
I guess my feeling is if we lose to Stanford at home, we likely lose the remaining games, and I don’t feel much different than I did prior to the Syracuse game. I agree it’s not an automatic win. But for me it’s a barometer of whether I think there’s a chance to be successful with BB or not.
 
I'm not sure why you are not counting Stanford as one of our remaining games. That is not a gimmie by any stretch (although we will be favored).

Duke will likely destroy us (they are playing like one of the best teams in the ACC recently), and I expect State to win comfortably as well. If we can keep either of those games close, it will be significant progress. Wake just beat SMU, so we will be a decided underdog in that game as well.

If we can win 2 of the remaining 4, and keep the other two close, that will be a very good sign for next year. A bowl game seems highly unrealistic unless we get one of the 5-7 slots for graduation rate. And it is not like bowl games really mean anything any more.

I am much more interested in seeing how we perform than whether we win. Wins and losses became pretty irrelevant to me after UCF.
Duke was beating Clemson 21-7 in Death Valley when I wrote this post. Duke is now down 28-21 to Clemson. So maybe I overestimated Duke.
 


They seem to be liking Gio’s play more lately. 🤷‍♂️

I will give him credit where it's due, too, I think he has improved a bit and I think the offensive staff is also calling pass plays that are in his wheelhouse. The first half against UVA last week, especially, he was doing a really good job in taking exactly what the defense was willing to give- the quick outs, the screens, the short mesh crossing routes, the checkdowns. Unfortunately UVA figured it out and adjusted well and completely eliminated our passing game in the second half.

I'll be very curious to see what the staff does with him for next year. Feels to me like if they weren't planning on him being around next year, he would not have such a long leash this year. It definitely behooves us for him to pan out for us considering the money we've invested in him and considering how very expensive elite portal QBs will be.
 
I will give him credit where it's due, too, I think he has improved a bit and I think the offensive staff is also calling pass plays that are in his wheelhouse. The first half against UVA last week, especially, he was doing a really good job in taking exactly what the defense was willing to give- the quick outs, the screens, the short mesh crossing routes, the checkdowns. Unfortunately UVA figured it out and adjusted well and completely eliminated our passing game in the second half.

I'll be very curious to see what the staff does with him for next year. Feels to me like if they weren't planning on him being around next year, he would not have such a long leash this year. It definitely behooves us for him to pan out for us considering the money we've invested in him and considering how very expensive elite portal QBs will be.
I see no chance he is our qb next year. His play has improved, perhaps because he is healthier or maybe, dare I?, Is being coached up. As for the reason BB sticking with him, I think the coaches feel he is our best chance to win. I agree based on what I have seen.
 
I see no chance he is our qb next year. His play has improved, perhaps because he is healthier or maybe, dare I?, Is being coached up. As for the reason BB sticking with him, I think the coaches feel he is our best chance to win. I agree based on what I have seen.
There is definitely way more than “no chance” that he is our quarterback next year. They’ve invested multiple millions of dollars in him. It would take multiple more millions of dollars to go get a good portal quarterback this offseason, and there are going to be a lot of competitor suitors for what is likely to be not a deep pool of good portal QBs. They keep trotting him out even when Max Johnson is just as serviceable, if not more so. They say they have no intention on playing Baker or Newkirk, even though not doing so may well result in at least one of them hitting the portal. All of that tells me that there is significantly more than a non-zero chance that Gio Lopez is our quarterback next year. And for the record, I’m not even saying that is necessarily the wrong decision by the staff. Believe it or not, I don’t think that everything they do is wrong.
 
There is definitely way more than “no chance” that he is our quarterback next year. They’ve invested multiple millions of dollars in him. It would take multiple more millions of dollars to go get a good portal quarterback this offseason, and there are going to be a lot of competitor suitors for what is likely to be not a deep pool of good portal QBs. They keep trotting him out even when Max Johnson is just as serviceable, if not more so. They say they have no intention on playing Baker or Newkirk, even though not doing so may well result in at least one of them hitting the portal. All of that tells me that there is significantly more than a non-zero chance that Gio Lopez is our quarterback next year. And for the record, I’m not even saying that is necessarily the wrong decision by the staff. Believe it or not, I don’t think that everything they do is wrong.
I don't know exactly how nil works. I assume case by case. The investment according to those on IC I trust is $1 million, not $2 million. I don't know what is committed for next year. I'll amend my comment to this. I see very little chance we got into BB year 2 with him projected starter.
 
There is definitely way more than “no chance” that he is our quarterback next year. They’ve invested multiple millions of dollars in him. It would take multiple more millions of dollars to go get a good portal quarterback this offseason, and there are going to be a lot of competitor suitors for what is likely to be not a deep pool of good portal QBs. They keep trotting him out even when Max Johnson is just as serviceable, if not more so. They say they have no intention on playing Baker or Newkirk, even though not doing so may well result in at least one of them hitting the portal. All of that tells me that there is significantly more than a non-zero chance that Gio Lopez is our quarterback next year. And for the record, I’m not even saying that is necessarily the wrong decision by the staff. Believe it or not, I don’t think that everything they do is wrong.
If he’s on a yearly contract, or they can simply cut him and not owe him money, then it would free up his money to spend on someone else. Captain Obvi I know, but I mention it more so as a question about if anyone knows how his contract is structured.
 
I don't know exactly how nil works. I assume case by case. The investment according to those on IC I trust is $1 million, not $2 million. I don't know what is committed for next year. I'll amend my comment to this. I see very little chance we got into BB year 2 with him projected starter.
Yeah I think that’s all totally reasonable. I do agree that it’s more probable that he isn’t our starting quarterback next year than he is.
 
I don't know exactly how nil works. I assume case by case. The investment according to those on IC I trust is $1 million, not $2 million. I don't know what is committed for next year. I'll amend my comment to this. I see very little chance we got into BB year 2 with him projected starter.
I read by IC it’s around a million per year. But nothing about how it is structured.
 
If he’s on a yearly contract, or they can simply cut him and not owe him money, then it would free up his money to spend on someone else. Captain Obvi I know, but I mention it more so as a question about if anyone knows how his contract is structured.
That’s a great question, I would love to know as well! I’m embarrassed by how little I understand how all of this stuff works anymore.
 
Duke was beating Clemson 21-7 in Death Valley when I wrote this post. Duke is now down 28-21 to Clemson. So maybe I overestimated Duke.
Now 35-35. So the Duke game will be a good gauge of how much we’ve progressed since the Clemson game.
 
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