UNC Football Catch-all | Bill Belichick Era underway

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Zoo_View said:
đź’Ż
Mack needed to go after his 3rd season (6-7, 3-5)……laid an egg in the opener against Virginia Tech…..2-4 in the last 6 games.
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Lots of hype and excitement coming off the Orange Bowl season with Howell returning. Va Tech game was the table setter for the season. Totally unprepared to play that game.
 
Calheel said:
I just don't see the schedule as materially different than in years past.

Let's just look at last year.
Charlotte and Central is basically the same as Charlotte and Richmond.
Minnesota and JMU is easier than TCU and UCF.
Our ACC schedule last year was easier than this year projects to be.
And yet, we were 6-7.

Or look at 2023
App and Campbell about the same as Charlotte and Richmond
Minnesota and SCAR about the same as TCU and UCF
The ACC schedule was about the same, too.

Or we could go on and on. Playing in the ACC Coastal meant fairly easy schedules. Unless we had Clemson or ND, there wasn't much meat on the bone. And this year is basically the same as all those prior years.

I mean if we are playing the 50th easiest schedule or the 60th easiest or the 70th easiest, it really does not make a difference in terms of our overall record. The record will turn much more on injuries, preparation and ability to win evenly matched games.
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The last couple of seasons were worse than normal, with a part of that being that the ACC continues to get a bit worse.

Before that, I’d say our more typical schedule was a couple of games where we were underdogs and a couple more against fringe top-30 teams, with 2-4 games where we’re clear favorites and then 4-6 toss-ups. (I’ll confess that I haven’t done a deep dive into our last 20 years of schedules, but a quick review seems to support that view). That’s very different than this year’s schedule where we face one likely ranked team & 1 fringe top-30 team and it gets worse from there.

And part of why we’re calling some of these games this year toss-ups is because we’re not expected to be terribly good. If we were even a backend of the top-25 team, we’d be fairly reasonable in expecting a 10-win season with a 9-win floor.
 
Zoo_View said:
đź’Ż
Mack needed to go after his 3rd season (6-7, 3-5)……laid an egg in the opener against Virginia Tech…..2-4 in the last 6 games.
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When he was hired I convinced myself that the plan was only for him to be here 3 yrs... reboot recruiting, reboot alumni/fan relations, then retire and hand-off a decently talented roster to younger coach. That would've been a good plan IMO, maybe somebody else could've squeezed more out of a Drake Maye-led team.
 
gregh1 said:
When he was hired I convinced myself that the plan was only for him to be here 3 yrs... reboot recruiting, reboot alumni/fan relations, then retire and hand-off a decently talented roster to younger coach. That wouldn't been a good plan IMO, maybe somebody else could've squeezed more out of a Drake Maye-led team.
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It would have been hard to get less
 
For you ole timers
Belichick's style of speech reminds me of Dick Crum's (ie he is not made for radio Nor TV)
I realize that is not why we pay him 10 mill a year
 
SnoopRob said:
It appears that we're headed toward a future where the SEC & B1G break away with a few additional schools to form a new top tier for CFB. I think that all the teams that are included in that transition will be very excited about CFB, at least in the near to medium term future. For those 40-50 teams, while every team won't really be an NC contender, being in the highest tier will be enough to maintain high interest and momentum.

I think for the G5 programs, where competing for the NC was never consistently (or even occasionally) realistic, that not a lot will change. Football at those schools have often been about conference championships and rivalries and getting back to campus to cheer for your team. It's possible that the popularity of CFB at those schools fall off, but the way that football is perceived at those schools doesn't have to change.

I think the biggest unknown is what is going to happen to the former P5 schools who don't make it into the new SEC/B1G top tier and end up being the new 2nd tier of CFB. A lot of those schools, while not NC contenders on anything like a consistent basis, at least (A) had a reasonable path to being an NC contender if the stars lined up for a year or two and (B) got to play legit NC contenders within conference on an annual basis. If that goes away based on the potential breakaway of the SEC/B1G + a few other schools, I'm not sure how the fans of those schools respond to this change. Do they accept that winning whatever national-level championship is available plus a conference championship is worthwhile and stay engaged in CFB? Or do they see themselves as the victims of all the realignment which has and will occur and simply check out of CFB based on no longer being in the highest tier? I have no idea what fans of these schools left behind by the potential breakaway of the SEC/B1G/other teams do when they are no longer in the top tier of CFB.
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Great post. I pray that NC State is in that last tier you spoke about and I hope they’re stuck there for the rest of my life and for generations to come.
 
CFordUNC said:
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Brett reporting as inside news what has already been known for a year or two now. :ROFLMAO:

I do think that if the SEC/B1G decide to breakaway from everyone else, they can finally force ND to join a conference or be left out of the NC picture. I know ND will kick and scream about it, but I think the two conferences acting in concert can (and will) pull it off. You have to think it'd be the B1G rather than the SEC, although if the two really do merge ND might figure out a way to maintain some measure of independence within the new structure.
 
SnoopRob said:
Brett reporting as inside news what has already been known for a year or two now. :ROFLMAO:

I do think that if the SEC/B1G decide to breakaway from everyone else, they can finally force ND to join a conference or be left out of the NC picture. I know ND will kick and scream about it, but I think the two conferences acting in concert can (and will) pull it off. You have to think it'd be the B1G rather than the SEC, although if the two really do merge ND might figure out a way to maintain some measure of independence within the new structure.
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I don't think the Big10/SEC will ever completely break away from everyone else. They will just continue to take more and more of the pie for themselves. There are too many strong cfb programs to try to make college football a mini-NFL system. It would ultimately leave money on the table to not provide a small seat for the also-rans.
 
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