2 Days out predictions for Electoral College

altmin said:
I will concede the fact that feelings ≠ data. Jim Messina is on MSNBC right now says the data is not backing up the pessimism for Harris.
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He was the one conflicting the Heilimann message on NC the other day (they agree on AZ though)
 
Roe seemed throw a wrench into the polling business which already was wonky due to extreme polarization over the last decade.
 
lawtig02 said:
I'm putting a reminder on my calendar for October 15, 2028 to send giant bottles of Xanax to all the liberals who post here.
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No freaking kidding. I’m actually pretty stunned reading some of the posts this morning. I get that people are nervous, anxious, afraid, etc. but holy smokes.
 
CFordUNC said:
No freaking kidding. I’m actually pretty stunned reading some of the posts this morning. I get that people are nervous, anxious, afraid, etc. but holy smokes.
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A lot of the nervousness was coming from nycfan. She's a transactional lawyer. Being neurotic is part of her job description. The following hypothetical conversation is her job: [I have stylized for effect]

Client: Woo-hoo! When does our deal close?
Atty: We still have to button down issues X, Y and Z
Client: But we agreed on the important deal terms. What are the chances that this x y z bullshit amounts to anything?
Atty: Low
Client: Wrong answer. The answer should be zero
Atty: I'm working on it. It will be zero next week.

It's no wonder why she's sensitive to small changes in forecast.
 
superrific said:
A lot of the nervousness was coming from nycfan. She's a transactional lawyer. Being neurotic is part of her job description. The following hypothetical conversation is her job: [I have stylized for effect]

Client: Woo-hoo! When does our deal close?
Atty: We still have to button down issues X, Y and Z
Client: But we agreed on the important deal terms. What are the chances that this x y z bullshit amounts to anything?
Atty: Low
Client: Wrong answer. The answer should be zero
Atty: I'm working on it. It will be zero next week.

It's no wonder why she's sensitive to small changes in forecast.
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Yeah. I agree. I am a big fan of hers but I definitely think she has contributed to at least a portion of the doom and gloom sentiment on this board. It’s not at all her fault, she is not responsible for the emotions of other grown adults, but I think lots of people take her lead given that she is our most prominent board member.
 
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