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What's so great about RCV? In theory, it could allow third parties to gain footholds because votes for them won't be "wasted."RCV news
- Idaho. Oregon and Colorado each have a ballot measure this election to adopt Ranked Choice Voting.
- Nevada voted in 2022 to adopt top-5 primary and RCV, but amendments like these must be approved at two successive general elections, so final approval is a ballot measure this yr.
But in practice, it's more likely to give traction to billionaires who can self-fund their candidacy, go around the party apparatus and jump into races as a lark or if they feel like it. I consider it quite likely that Elon Musk could win a Senate election in a lot of states, though he'd probably not win a nomination in most of them. This problem is exacerbated by the way RCV rewards candidates for losing finishes. Let's suppose, for instance, that Musk decided to run for Senate in Texas as an independent. Let's also assume that the Dem actually wins a plurality of votes. And then this happens:
first place votes: Dem 48, Musk 8, Pub 44
second place votes: Musk 40, Pub 35, Dem 25
Last place: Musk 52, Pub 21, Dem 27
Pub wins because all most Pubs go Pub->Musk-> Dem, whereas more Dems go Dem-Pub-Musk.
We talk about the problem of our two-party system being the necessary result of our first-past-the-post election system. And that's real, for sure. But it's ALSO true that, because of our campaign finance "system," the third parties that do pop up are little more than campaigns by rich and/or famous candidates. It's no coincidence that the only significant third party candidate in my lifetime was Ross Perot, a self-financing billionaire. This is a problem we don't usually confront because of the election system, but if we change that system, we have to be prepared for this effect to raise its head.
Already, there's a scourge of bored billionaires who try to buy their way into Congress. McCormick in PA is only the latest example. The saving grace is that they have to go through parties to get that nomination, and it doesn't always work. If not, I would assume we will get a Congress disproportionately filled with weird billionaires.