2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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fsclark1 said:
Most Florida Senate polls have it much closer between Scott and Mucarsel-Powell, including a Florida Atlantic University poll today that has the margin only at +4 for Scott.

That said, I gave up counting on Florida long ago. Tester in MT is the one that really needs to come through.
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Yeah, to get one's hopes up about Florida is foolish, but I will say that the great unknown in Florida this year compared to earlier election years is that Florida is also voting this year on an abortion amendment and that could significantly alter the composition and size of the electorate. In other states - including very red states like Ohio and Kansas - anytime abortion rights amendments or referendums have been on the ballot there has been a large surge of pro-choice voters. If that happens in Florida then Scott and Trump might be in trouble. OTOH, it is Florida and so counting on that to happen is not wise nor realistic.
 


“… Vice President Kamala Harris trails former President Donald Trump by one percentage point in the latest Fox News national survey, 49-50%.

Last month, she was also behind Trump by one point, 48-49% -- as was President Joe Biden, with the same 48-49% result.

… In the expanded presidential ballot, Harris and Trump received 45% each, while support for Kennedy stands at 6%. All others are at 1%. Support for RFK is down from 10% in July and a high of 15% in November 2023. Seven percent of those backing Harris in the head-to-head matchup defect to third-party candidates compared to 9% of those favoring Trump. …”
 
nycfan said:


“… Vice President Kamala Harris trails former President Donald Trump by one percentage point in the latest Fox News national survey, 49-50%.

Last month, she was also behind Trump by one point, 48-49% -- as was President Joe Biden, with the same 48-49% result.

… In the expanded presidential ballot, Harris and Trump received 45% each, while support for Kennedy stands at 6%. All others are at 1%. Support for RFK is down from 10% in July and a high of 15% in November 2023. Seven percent of those backing Harris in the head-to-head matchup defect to third-party candidates compared to 9% of those favoring Trump. …”
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“Fox and Rasmussen are the only reliable polls” - Trump
 
fourheels said:
Had my first colonoscopy a couple of weeks ago. Absolutely horrific prep process. Thankfully off the hook for another 7 years.
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Link: https://www.miamiherald.com/living/liv-columns-blogs/dave-barry/article1928847.html

Dave Berry column from 2008.

Money Quote: MoviPrep is a nuclear laxative. I don’t want to be too graphic, here, but: Have you ever seen a space shuttle launch? This is pretty much the MoviPrep experience, with you as the shuttle. There are times when you wish the commode had a seat belt.
 
nycfan said:


“… Vice President Kamala Harris trails former President Donald Trump by one percentage point in the latest Fox News national survey, 49-50%.

Last month, she was also behind Trump by one point, 48-49% -- as was President Joe Biden, with the same 48-49% result.

… In the expanded presidential ballot, Harris and Trump received 45% each, while support for Kennedy stands at 6%. All others are at 1%. Support for RFK is down from 10% in July and a high of 15% in November 2023. Seven percent of those backing Harris in the head-to-head matchup defect to third-party candidates compared to 9% of those favoring Trump. …”
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No chance Trump ends up with 49 or 50%. I think 47% is his absolute cap.
 
circlesky88 said:
www.wral.com

Harris leads Trump in new poll of NC, in drastic reversal

North Carolina voters have swung to the left by double digits since Kamala Harris took over the Democratic Party's presidential campaign, a new Cook Political Report poll found.
www.wral.com www.wral.com
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I wonder how much of Trump's decline in NC is due to Robinson dragging him down. Most recent polls of the governor's race now show Stein leading, and one poll had him up by double digits. Both Trump and Robinson could still easily win NC, of course, but it does appear that as more and more people learn about Robinson the less they like him, at least outside of the absolute GOP base.
 
Mulberry Heel said:
I wonder how much of Trump's decline in NC is due to Robinson dragging him down. Most recent polls of the governor's race now show Stein leading, and one poll had him up by double digits. Both Trump and Robinson could still easily win NC, of course, but it does appear that as more and more people learn about Robinson the less they like him, at least outside of the absolute GOP base.
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Not sure Robinson can easily win NC.
 
www.aarp.org

In Michigan, Presidential and U.S. Senate Races Extremely Close

<p>Michigan voters 50-plus are the most committed age group for voting in the 2024 election and appear to be on track to decide in the upcoming elections.</p>
www.aarp.org www.aarp.org

Harris and Trump Tied in Head-to-Head Ballot Among Michigan Voters​


"AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) & Impact Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Michigan. The firms interviewed 1,382 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 470 likely voters 50 and older, and an additional oversample of 312 Black likely voters 50 and older. The survey was conducted August 7–11, 2024 via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (37%), as well as SMS to web (38%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Michigan voter list."
AARP.jpeg
 
nycfan said:
www.aarp.org

In Michigan, Presidential and U.S. Senate Races Extremely Close

<p>Michigan voters 50-plus are the most committed age group for voting in the 2024 election and appear to be on track to decide in the upcoming elections.</p>
www.aarp.org www.aarp.org

Harris and Trump Tied in Head-to-Head Ballot Among Michigan Voters​


"AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) & Impact Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Michigan. The firms interviewed 1,382 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 470 likely voters 50 and older, and an additional oversample of 312 Black likely voters 50 and older. The survey was conducted August 7–11, 2024 via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (37%), as well as SMS to web (38%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Michigan voter list."
AARP.jpeg
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Even the boomer crowd is growing tired of Trump.
 
nycfan said:
www.aarp.org

In Michigan, Presidential and U.S. Senate Races Extremely Close

<p>Michigan voters 50-plus are the most committed age group for voting in the 2024 election and appear to be on track to decide in the upcoming elections.</p>
www.aarp.org www.aarp.org

Harris and Trump Tied in Head-to-Head Ballot Among Michigan Voters​


"AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) & Impact Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Michigan. The firms interviewed 1,382 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 470 likely voters 50 and older, and an additional oversample of 312 Black likely voters 50 and older. The survey was conducted August 7–11, 2024 via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (37%), as well as SMS to web (38%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Michigan voter list."
AARP.jpeg
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I dont even understand this poll.

So AARP is saying they are basically tied with 50+?
 
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