2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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RockyMtnHoo said:
Me either. There are Harris voters, MAGA’s, and people who don’t want to publicly admit they’ll vote for Trump but will.
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I want to believe there are still voters out there that she can reach. But I certainly understand the frustration “undecided” voters invoke. I’ve said this before, whatever you haven’t seen or heard from her you’ve certainly seen from him. He’s disqualified himself numerous times regardless of any fine policy details she’s failed to convey.
 
Again, Trump is trying to flood the media airwaves with as much as he can. Doesn't matter if its good, bad or ugly. As long as he drowns at Harris, then he accomplishes his goal. The media still eats it up after all these years, but many Americans are just tired of it.
 
lightbluenc said:
Again, Trump is trying to flood the media airwaves with as much as he can. Doesn't matter if its good, bad or ugly. As long as he drowns at Harris, then he accomplishes his goal. The media still eats it up after all these years, but many Americans are just tired of it.
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He does not have the enthusiasm. That's the difference between now and 2016.
 
aGDevil2k said:
I think he's saying the polls aren't. Two polls likely influenced things... Quinnipiac and CNN. But then there were two very strong ones the last day or two that made those look odd. I do not believe at all that she could lose the popular vote .. And that's what Q showed

There may be no rhyme or reason. I don't know that you can conclude she needs to "fix" something.

But I'm glad that people aren't going to just rest and think it's a slam dunk
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Outliers are why the polls are weighted and averaged. This isn't just 2 polls. This is multiple polls and state-level polls, too.

As far as the national average, on
Sept 18, Harris was ahead 52.3% to 47.7% (+4.6)
Sept 19, 51.9 to 48.1 (+3.8)
Sept 20, 51.8 to 48.2 (+3.6)
Sept 21, 51.8 to 48.2 (+3.6)
Sept 22, 52.0 to 48.0 (+4.0)
Sept 23, 51.6 to 48.4 (+3.2)
Sept 24, 51.4 to 48.6 (+2.8)

Add in state polling movement in swing states, and all the momentum from the debate has dissipated. I don't need to know what they're doing, but I hope and pray they're doing something to address that.
 
uncjhodges said:
Not familiar with the pollster but seems they have an A rating. That Florida number is staggering
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Reproductive rights are on the ballot in Florida. Marijuana is on the ballot in Florida. With a hurricane bearing down, insurance through the roof, and an absent governor who spent too much time campaigning for President, Florida could be ripe.
 
dukeman92 said:
I want to believe there are still voters out there that she can reach. But I certainly understand the frustration “undecided” voters invoke. I’ve said this before, whatever you haven’t seen or heard from her you’ve certainly seen from him. He’s disqualified himself numerous times regardless of any fine policy details she’s failed to convey.
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There are people who just don't pay attention to any of that. They see inflation when they want to buy something, think the President has something to do with gas and grocery prices, and will spend less time thinking about politics in the next 6 weeks than they will their fantasy football team or the latest streaming series. They know more about the hottest recruit or Kartrashian scandal than the candidates policy positions.

Are they persuadable? Will they vote?

All elections are alike in some ways. All elections are different in some ways. Frighteningly, this one is closer than any in our lifetimes.
 
BillOfRights said:
Outliers are why the polls are weighted and averaged. This isn't just 2 polls. This is multiple polls and state-level polls, too.

As far as the national average, on
Sept 18, Harris was ahead 52.3% to 47.7% (+4.6)
Sept 19, 51.9 to 48.1 (+3.8)
Sept 20, 51.8 to 48.2 (+3.6)
Sept 21, 51.8 to 48.2 (+3.6)
Sept 22, 52.0 to 48.0 (+4.0)
Sept 23, 51.6 to 48.4 (+3.2)
Sept 24, 51.4 to 48.6 (+2.8)

Add in state polling movement in swing states, and all the momentum from the debate has dissipated. I don't need to know what they're doing, but I hope and pray they're doing something to address that.
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Address WHAT is the point?

Your concern would be valid if we knew polls were worth a damn. There legit may not be anything that's changed...

And remember, the GOP intentionally permeates polls with red-heavy ones to have the narrative that the election was stolen
 
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dukeman92 said:
I want to believe there are still voters out there that she can reach. But I certainly understand the frustration “undecided” voters invoke. I’ve said this before, whatever you haven’t seen or heard from her you’ve certainly seen from him. He’s disqualified himself numerous times regardless of any fine policy details she’s failed to convey.
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It’s all about getting them to vote now.
 
BillOfRights said:
Outliers are why the polls are weighted and averaged. This isn't just 2 polls. This is multiple polls and state-level polls, too.
Click to expand...

BillOfRights said:
As far as the national average, on
Sept 18, Harris was ahead 52.3% to 47.7% (+4.6)
Sept 19, 51.9 to 48.1 (+3.8)
Sept 20, 51.8 to 48.2 (+3.6)
Sept 21, 51.8 to 48.2 (+3.6)
Sept 22, 52.0 to 48.0 (+4.0)
Sept 23, 51.6 to 48.4 (+3.2)
Sept 24, 51.4 to 48.6 (+2.8)

Add in state polling movement in swing states, and all the momentum from the debate has dissipated. I don't need to know what they're doing, but I hope and pray they're doing something to address that.
Click to expand...
Check back on Friday.
 

"... A new CNN poll showed that a majority of the Republican Party now agrees that “an increasing number of people of many different races, ethnic groups, and nationalities in the U.S.” is mostly threatening (55 percent) rather than enriching (45 percent) to American culture.

This represents a sharp rise from 2019, when just 21 percent of Republicans said that this increasing racial and ethnic diversity was threatening. Back then, Republicans said by a 48-point margin that it was actually more enriching than threatening.

It’s also up significantly even from just last year. A CNN poll in March 2023 found 41 percent of Republicans viewed this increasing diversity as threatening...."
 
(cont'd)

"... Over the span, there’s also been a rise in this sentiment among independents — from 11 percent in 2019 to 32 percent today. But that appears to owe mostly to Republican-leaning ones.

The percentage of Democratic-leaning voters (including independents) who embrace the idea that this diversity is threatening to American culture has ticked up only slightly, from 6 percent to 13 percent. Democrats only have gone from 7 to 11 percent. And 86 percent of Democratic-leaning voters continue to say that this form of diversity is mostly enriching. ..."
 
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