2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[CallMeTyler]

Can we please institute a no Bouzy rule until Nov. 6?

Bouzy’s work speaks for itself. What’s your concern?

 

[Calheel]

Bouzy’s work speaks for itself. What’s your concern?

Exactly. Dude is snake oil.

 

[nycfan]

 

[CallMeTyler]

Exactly. Dude is snake oil.

Oh, I thought you had legitimate issues with his assessments. He was closer than any polling in 2022.

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[Zoo_View]

Crap!

 

[lawtig02]

Crap!

Not really. If you like Trump and Robinson, you’re registering Pub. Most of those independents will vote D.

 

[Calheel]

Oh, I thought you had legitimate issues with his assessments. He was closer than any polling in 2022.

1. No, not even close. He thought Dems would win the House.
2. He has no formal education.
3. He has been a serial scammer his whole adult life.
4. He is a grifting, self-promoter
5. He knows absolutely nothing about polls or elections.
6. Spend five minutes on Google and you can find everything you need to know about this fraudster.

 

[JCTarheel82]

Bouzy is the left-leaning embodiment of Trafalgar.

 

[Zoo_View]

Not really. If you like Trump and Robinson, you’re registering Pub. Most of those independents will vote D.

Based on what?

 

[Calheel]

Bouzy is the left-leaning embodiment of Trafalgar.

No, he is not. Trafalgar is a pollster. It actually conducts real polls (albeit heavily biased polls). Bouzy is just a BS artist that says stuff on Spoutible (his attempt to compete with Twitter).

 

[JCTarheel82]

No, he is not. Trafalgar is a pollster. It actually conducts real polls (albeit heavily biased polls). Bouzy is just a BS artist that says stuff on Spoutible (his attempt to compete with Twitter).

My comment wasn't meant to be that literal. I'm aware that Trafalgar is a pollster while Bouzy is not. I was just making a loose comparison as both traffick biased data to their respective side of the political aisle. Substitute whichever right wing Bouzy equivalent (I'm sure there are at least a few) for Trafalgar if you wish.

 

[BillOfRights]

Maybe weighting toward rural voters adjusts for the electoral college advantage of rural states.

I think these are just popular vote estimates and not probabilities based on the EC.

 

[aGDevil2k]

Can we please institute a no Bouzy rule until Nov. 6?

I mean when Mitchell polls are getting posted....

 

[Calheel]

My comment wasn't meant to be that literal. I'm aware that Trafalgar is a pollster while Bouzy is not. I was just making a loose comparison as both traffick biased data to their respective side of the political aisle. Substitute whichever right wing Bouzy equivalent (I'm sure there are at least a few) for Trafalgar if you wish.

I mean when Mitchell polls are getting posted....

Again there are no Bouzy polls. He is just a BS crypto bro scamming liberals.

 

[theel4life]

Exactly. Dude is snake oil.

Huh?

 

[aGDevil2k]

1. No, not even close. He thought Dems would win the House.

Won't argue about some of the others but he was, in final count, closer than some of the other models that often get cited for reference. He missed on the other side.

But he definitely seems to grift a bit. He gets on his own personal things and gets way too much into social media trolling for my taste. It will be interesting to see what his move is if he really craps out in this election.. Now if he does well....

 

[Calheel]

Huh?

I’d tell you to spend five minutes on Google, but after your post-debate stanning for Biden, I’m worried about your internet discernment.

 

[SnoopRob]

Maybe weighting toward rural voters adjusts for the electoral college advantage of rural states.

That would be terrible polling methodology.

If you want to account for the EC, you do state-level polling in swing states and then forecast the EC. We know that the EC will be closer than the PV, you don't want to tilt any PV predictions around potential EC outcomes.