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2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden
- Thread starter nycfan
- Start date
- Replies: 6K
- Views: 183K
- Politics
CallMeTyler
Esteemed Member
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- 603
Oh, I thought you had legitimate issues with his assessments. He was closer than any polling in 2022.
Crap!
lawtig02
Inconceivable Member
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- 3,778
Not really. If you like Trump and Robinson, you’re registering Pub. Most of those independents will vote D.
1. No, not even close. He thought Dems would win the House.
2. He has no formal education.
3. He has been a serial scammer his whole adult life.
4. He is a grifting, self-promoter
5. He knows absolutely nothing about polls or elections.
6. Spend five minutes on Google and you can find everything you need to know about this fraudster.
JCTarheel82
Iconic Member
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- 1,369
Bouzy is the left-leaning embodiment of Trafalgar.
Based on what?
No, he is not. Trafalgar is a pollster. It actually conducts real polls (albeit heavily biased polls). Bouzy is just a BS artist that says stuff on Spoutible (his attempt to compete with Twitter).
JCTarheel82
Iconic Member
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- 1,369
My comment wasn't meant to be that literal. I'm aware that Trafalgar is a pollster while Bouzy is not. I was just making a loose comparison as both traffick biased data to their respective side of the political aisle. Substitute whichever right wing Bouzy equivalent (I'm sure there are at least a few) for Trafalgar if you wish.
BillOfRights
Honored Member
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- 838
I think these are just popular vote estimates and not probabilities based on the EC.
aGDevil2k
Inconceivable Member
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- 3,343
I mean when Mitchell polls are getting posted....
Again there are no Bouzy polls. He is just a BS crypto bro scamming liberals.
theel4life
Iconic Member
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Huh?
aGDevil2k
Inconceivable Member
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Won't argue about some of the others but he was, in final count, closer than some of the other models that often get cited for reference. He missed on the other side.
But he definitely seems to grift a bit. He gets on his own personal things and gets way too much into social media trolling for my taste. It will be interesting to see what his move is if he really craps out in this election.. Now if he does well....
I’d tell you to spend five minutes on Google, but after your post-debate stanning for Biden, I’m worried about your internet discernment.
SnoopRob
Inconceivable Member
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That would be terrible polling methodology.
If you want to account for the EC, you do state-level polling in swing states and then forecast the EC. We know that the EC will be closer than the PV, you don't want to tilt any PV predictions around potential EC outcomes.
aGDevil2k
Inconceivable Member
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Didn't say there were polls.
But Mitchell and others scam for conservatives. They are intentionally building a narrative to empower MAGAs to try to overturn and challenge legit results.
That's way more dangerous than trying to get people to abandon Twitter and donate to another platform
In politics, control is absolutely the key issue. It’s like going over on the final showdown on Price is Right.
538 pegged it at 227 Republicans. Bouzy’s WAG was like 212 Republicans. Bouzy’s guess may have been 1 or 2 closer, but he totally missed on the key issue: control.
In any event, any scammer can throw out guesses that go against the mainstream. That doesn’t give them credibility just because the mainstream was a little off. If it did, then Trafalgar would be the most respected pollster after 2016.
Anyway, this isn’t just about 2022. It is the fact that Bouzy is a scam artist and we would be better to ignore his BS until Nov 6th.