2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[mynameisbond]

Absolutely a terrible idea, as are most simple solutions to complex problems.

You may be right, but the current IRS Code is desperately in need of reform and not well enforced. I'd love to hear a better feasible solution.

 

[CFordUNC]

And this is why I'm skeptical of polls

Same here. I am not discounting them entirely, of course, but I'm highly skeptical. Virtually every possible fundamental that needs to be in favor of a winning party...is currently in the favor of the Democrats.

 

[rodoheel]

There aren't people going back and forth. Not 4% of people. It's just random polling and they hope they get it right. They have no idea what turnout is but you aren't seeing the red alarms internally that were leaking out 8 years ago

OK, fair enough, but even when looking at the race and polling holistically Kamala is polling behind where Dems were in 2016.

 

[lightbluenc]

92 also lives in and is surrounded by deep magaville so I'm sure it's hard to comprehend that the population centers aren't nearly as trumpy with signs etc as they were 4 years ago

Same. I'm in an area thats probably 70% red at least. Just didn't want to come off as if I was bashing them or anything. We all worry, just want to repeat what MO said about us turning to worry instead of turning to action.

 

[aGDevil2k]

OK, fair enough, but even when looking at the race and polling holistically Kamala is polling behind where Dems were in 2016.

Perhaps because a growing number of people who vote blue aren't answering phones

 

[Healing]

Perhaps because a growing number of people who vote blue aren't answering phones

I use a third party app and phone app settings to auto silence unknown numbers. The vast majority of those numbers are sequential, out of burbs of Dallas (I have a Dallas area code). I receive 2-8 calls per day, despite blocking each previously missed call. Running a poll has to be a bitch these days.

 

[UNCMSinLS]

OK, fair enough, but even when looking at the race and polling holistically Kamala is polling behind where Dems were in 2016.

I wonder how many right-leaning, right-owned polls are polling Kamala "behind where Dems were in 2016"? Hmm ....

I've said it before. I'll say it again. Polling in this country is garbage. Pay attention to registrations and actual voting - those count. Polls don't.

 

[Enigma94]

I have no idea if the current polls are accurate or not, but I certainly wouldn't compare today's polls to the ones in 2016. There have been tons of updates and modifications made since then.

 

[BillOfRights]

You may be right, but the current IRS Code is desperately in need of reform and not well enforced. I'd love to hear a better feasible solution.

Me, too.

 

[Paine]

Me, too.

I agree that the current system is needlessly complex for the average tax payer. The solution to this is to expand the IRS, including the pilot program they’ve launched where the government prepares your taxes for you.

In order to go after the wealthiest tax cheats, the IRS needs money and manpower. We saw the right-wing freak out when Biden included increased IRS funding in the IRA.

 

[aGDevil2k]

I wonder how many right-leaning, right-owned polls are polling Kamala "behind where Dems were in 2016"? Hmm ....

I've said it before. I'll say it again. Polling in this country is garbage. Pay attention to registrations and actual voting - those count. Polls don't.

That's why I shared the Bouzy data from PA.

Like him or not it's a source of actual voting data for this year

 

[dukeman92]

Fuck off? I'm not mad at you I'm trying to give you options so you aren't worrying geez. I was quoting Michelle Obama who said the same thing, should she fuck off?

You laughed at my post and then told me to "do something"

You did not come off as trying to be helpful. At all.

Worrying about the outcome and actively trying to influence it aren't mutually exclusive.

 

[aGDevil2k]

 

[dukeman92]

92 also lives in and is surrounded by deep magaville so I'm sure it's hard to comprehend that the population centers aren't nearly as trumpy with signs etc as they were 4 years ago

I would say that my county is 75% red

 

[Paine]

The Origin of Student Debt: Reagan Adviser Warned Free College Would Create a Dangerous "Educated Proletariat”

In 1970, Roger Freeman, who also worked for Nixon, revealed the right’s motivation for coming decades of attacks on higher education.

theintercept.com

“In 1970, Ronald Reagan was running for reelection as governor of California. He had first won in 1966 with confrontational rhetoric toward the University of California public college system and executed confrontational policies when in office. In May 1970, Reagan had shut down all 28 UC and Cal State campuses in the midst of student protests against the Vietnam War and the U.S. bombing of Cambodia. On October 29, less than a week before the election, his education adviser Roger A. Freeman spoke at a press conference to defend him.

Freeman’s remarks were reported the next day in the San Francisco Chronicle under the headline “Professor Sees Peril in Education.” According to the Chronicle article, Freeman said, “We are in danger of producing an educated proletariat. … That’s dynamite! We have to be selective on who we allow [to go to college].”

“If not,” Freeman continued, “we will have a large number of highly trained and unemployed people.” Freeman also said — taking a highly idiosyncratic perspective on the cause of fascism —“that’s what happened in Germany. I saw it happen.””

These ghouls know that college education is the road to seeing past a lot of their bullshit. Not a cure all, by any means, but a more educated population would clearly see through at least a portion of the far-right’s bull.

 

[Calheel]

That's why I shared the Bouzy data from PA.

Like him or not it's a source of actual voting data for this year

Ugh! It's not Bouzy data. You shared Bouzy spin. The data is from Pennsylvania and is available here: Elections Data | Voting & Election Information | Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and also from Target Smart, which is available here: The TargetSmart Voter Registration Dashboard - TargetSmart

Bouzy doesn't compare how those numbers compare to 2020, he just notes that D's hold a mail-in vote advantage, which is hardly news. He also notes that the D advantage for returned ballots is higher than the advantage for applied ballots, but simply gives raw percentages, without noting that it is less than 2% of the total vote at this time.

 

[nycfan]

 

[SnoopRob]

 

[theel4life]

Ugh! It's not Bouzy data. You shared Bouzy spin. The data is from Pennsylvania and is available here: Elections Data | Voting & Election Information | Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and also from Target Smart, which is available here: The TargetSmart Voter Registration Dashboard - TargetSmart

Bouzy doesn't compare how those numbers compare to 2020, he just notes that D's hold a mail-in vote advantage, which is hardly news. He also notes that the D advantage for returned ballots is higher than the advantage for applied ballots, but simply gives raw percentages, without noting that it is less than 2% of the total vote at this time.

Oh y has been right about everything so far. The dude is good.

 

[lightbluenc]

You laughed at my post and then told me to "do something"

You did not come off as trying to be helpful. At all.

Worrying about the outcome and actively trying to influence it aren't mutually exclusive.

My bad, its hard to type with intent, so any way it came off as snide or unhelpful, I apologize for. The 'do something' was because its exactly what Michelle Obama said for us to do when we start getting worried about polls and these things. And I agree worrying about it and doing something aren't mutually exclusive. I imagine we are in nearly the same position in terms of where we live demographically, and its disheartening to be completely surrounded by MAGA everywhere.