2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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lawtig02 said:
I know this is reductionist, but we're now at the point where the polls can be ignored. Watch what the candidates are doing. Kamala's in GREAT shape. As is my prediction of her winning NC by 4+ points.
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Well, that would be great but does this extreme optimism have any basis? I mean, Obama won NC by half a point, in a much better overall environment. And then Dems have lost every statewide federal office election. 4+ seems crazy to me.
 
Calheel said:
The vote counts. Why would that even be debatable?
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If the person votes the day before the election and dies, according to OC it wouldn't count. Or maybe he was only talking about absentee ballots? If he's talking about any votes, then it's not self-evident why you would have to live until 9AM or whenever on election day morning, and not 7pm when polls close.
 
superrific said:
If the person votes the day before the election and dies, according to OC it wouldn't count. Or maybe he was only talking about absentee ballots? If he's talking about any votes, then it's not self-evident why you would have to live until 9AM or whenever on election day morning, and not 7pm when polls close.
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Where is this 7 pm thing coming from? Pretty sure you just need to be alive at 12:01 AM.
 
What keeps a candidate from telling his supporters to just murder all the other party after they’ve cast ballots, nullifying them and then blanket pardoning them?
 
nycfan said:
She was +7 in their last poll
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Which doesn't necessarily mean much. It's true that the poll is likely to be biased the same way, but margin of error still applies.

The polls are tightening a bit. I don't know why. What about Trump's behavior the last two weeks is causing people to like him more?

It's mind-boggling that the election could be decided by a) people who don't understand economics at all and thus b) think the president controls the economy and c) forget that the economy wasn't actually particularly good under Trump.
 
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