2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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Washington Post:

“…
The Post’s Democracy team has your full download here. But a couple of points worth pulling out:
  • Democrats in Arizona are far behind their pace from four years ago, while Republicans are on a similar pace.
  • Nevada Republicans voting early in person have outnumbered Democrats, which is a reversal from four years ago.
  • Turnout appears strong in North Carolina, which should hearten Republicans who were concerned about the Hurricane Helene recovery harming turnout in the disproportionately Republican areas that were hit hardest.
There are some major caveats, including that Democratic-leaning young people tend to vote later in the process. And it’s early. But at least for now, it’s looking as if the Republican Party’s attempts to push their voters to adopt these methods — despite Trump’s baselessly linking them to widespread voter fraud — could be paying dividends. …”

GIFT LINK —> https://wapo.st/48fgRGX

“… A recent YouGov survey blind-tested more than 100 policy proposals — without saying which candidate favored them — and found that nearly all of Harris’s had majority support. By contrast, around half of Trump’s proposals did not. …”

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Icky Mettle said:
In 2016, I seriously thought that we would see red states turn blue due to Trump being the worst major party nominee we have had in modern American history, if not ever. That’s how naive I was. Naive about red states turning blue, that is (or even swing states going red). Not naive about how horrible of a candidate he was. I was right on the money with that.
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I had a damn playlist ready to celebrate the first female VP. It was going to be a chill night. Then the needle. The fucking needle.
 
nycfan said:
Washington Post:

“…
The Post’s Democracy team has your full download here. But a couple of points worth pulling out:
  • Democrats in Arizona are far behind their pace from four years ago, while Republicans are on a similar pace.
  • Nevada Republicans voting early in person have outnumbered Democrats, which is a reversal from four years ago.
  • Turnout appears strong in North Carolina, which should hearten Republicans who were concerned about the Hurricane Helene recovery harming turnout in the disproportionately Republican areas that were hit hardest.
There are some major caveats, including that Democratic-leaning young people tend to vote later in the process. And it’s early. But at least for now, it’s looking as if the Republican Party’s attempts to push their voters to adopt these methods — despite Trump’s baselessly linking them to widespread voter fraud — could be paying dividends. …”

GIFT LINK —> https://wapo.st/48fgRGX

“… A recent YouGov survey blind-tested more than 100 policy proposals — without saying which candidate favored them — and found that nearly all of Harris’s had majority support. By contrast, around half of Trump’s proposals did not. …”

IMG_3313.jpeg
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My Lord.

It's not dividends...it's just a shift. GOP voters are now voting early. But that means they wont dominate election day voting as much. The way these articles are written...if he wins, these "let's treat Trump and the GOP like equal players" media folks should be the first ones he jails
 
aGDevil2k said:
My Lord.

It's not dividends...it's just a shift. GOP voters are now voting early. But that means they wont dominate election day voting as much. The way these articles are written...if he wins, these "let's treat Trump and the GOP like equal players" media folks should be the first ones he jails
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The GOP will have the most early votes, the most mail in votes, the most absentee votes and the most election day votes. It's science.
 
heelinhell said:
www.rawstory.com

'That's a real problem!' Experts expose 'potentially serious' issue with polling data

Donald Trump's recent momentum shift could in fact be an illusion, according to some experts.Trump has recently overtaken Vice President Kamala Harris in certain states' polling averages, but the data also include a huge number of GOP-leaning polls that could potentially tip the scales.The...
www.rawstory.com www.rawstory.com
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Should Harris win, these polls will no doubt be used to support election fraud claims and any other anti-democratic response of Trump and the Rs to losing the election. It's not just part of the pre-election game, it will be part of the post-election game.
 
uncjhodges said:
People are just so fucking stupid.
If Trump wins, i’ll just be disillusioned by the US. Just hurtling towards fascism being led by the dumbest fucking buffoons
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It wouldnt bother me as much if those buffoons were the only ones that suffered, got jailed, etc. Would serve them right.
 
nycfan said:
Washington Post:

“…
The Post’s Democracy team has your full download here. But a couple of points worth pulling out:
  • Democrats in Arizona are far behind their pace from four years ago, while Republicans are on a similar pace.
  • Nevada Republicans voting early in person have outnumbered Democrats, which is a reversal from four years ago.
  • Turnout appears strong in North Carolina, which should hearten Republicans who were concerned about the Hurricane Helene recovery harming turnout in the disproportionately Republican areas that were hit hardest.
There are some major caveats, including that Democratic-leaning young people tend to vote later in the process. And it’s early. But at least for now, it’s looking as if the Republican Party’s attempts to push their voters to adopt these methods — despite Trump’s baselessly linking them to widespread voter fraud — could be paying dividends. …”

GIFT LINK —> https://wapo.st/48fgRGX

“… A recent YouGov survey blind-tested more than 100 policy proposals — without saying which candidate favored them — and found that nearly all of Harris’s had majority support. By contrast, around half of Trump’s proposals did not. …”
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This bullshit is everywhere If early voting trends hold, Trump will be president: Halperin
"GOP is voting early! Dems cant catch up on election day!" So they think magically GOP voters are duplicating and can do both early AND keep their old trends of election day voting? I mean why is this a thing right now?
 
uncjhodges said:
People are just so fucking stupid.
If Trump wins, i’ll just be disillusioned by the US. Just hurtling towards fascism being led by the dumbest fucking buffoons
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The level of stupid has increased over the years.

2016 voters - Despite knowing how bad Trump was, and myself voting for Hillary, I’ll kinda give these folks a pass. Anyone can be fooled once…especially if they were lifelong Pubs and thought the office might make him more Presidential.

2020 voters - Didn’t see how anyone could do it after how he behaved for 4 years, after COVID, after the house-of-cards that was his economy started to fall. Way less sympathy than for the 2016 voters.

2024 voters - Worst of the worst. Jan 6. His cognitive decline on full display. His affection for dictatorships and the destruction of democracy on full display. If he wins, and our democracy doesn’t survive, history will judge the people who ignored all the clear red flags, and voted for him a 3rd time anyway.
 
nycfan said:
Washington Post:

“…
The Post’s Democracy team has your full download here. But a couple of points worth pulling out:
  • Democrats in Arizona are far behind their pace from four years ago, while Republicans are on a similar pace.
  • Nevada Republicans voting early in person have outnumbered Democrats, which is a reversal from four years ago.
  • Turnout appears strong in North Carolina, which should hearten Republicans who were concerned about the Hurricane Helene recovery harming turnout in the disproportionately Republican areas that were hit hardest.
There are some major caveats, including that Democratic-leaning young people tend to vote later in the process. And it’s early. But at least for now, it’s looking as if the Republican Party’s attempts to push their voters to adopt these methods — despite Trump’s baselessly linking them to widespread voter fraud — could be paying dividends. …”

GIFT LINK —> https://wapo.st/48fgRGX

“… A recent YouGov survey blind-tested more than 100 policy proposals — without saying which candidate favored them — and found that nearly all of Harris’s had majority support. By contrast, around half of Trump’s proposals did not. …”

IMG_3313.jpeg
Click to expand...
That YOUGOV survey is something else. I mean, it's really nothing new when it comes to what party's policies are more widely preferred. But when you factor in tribalism, disinformation, a right-wing echo chamber...., we end up with a nail bitter election with the party supporting the least popular policies having a really good chance of winning. SMDH
 
Icky Mettle said:
I drove back and forth between Charlotte and Raleigh yesterday. On the way home back to Charlotte, I took 64 and 49. There were a number of homes along the way that still had Mark Robinson signs out front. One even had a a big Mark Robinson flag that was connected to one of the posts holding up a big Trump banner.

I also saw a number of signs that said “Robinson/Weatherman” (“Robinson” on the top / “Weatherman” on the bottom.) I wonder what Hal Weatherman thinks of that sign.

For the record, I have not seen a single Mark Robinson sign in Charlotte.
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I haven't seen support for him waiver one iota here in the east. Robinson signs litter my hometown.
 
dukeman92 said:
I haven't seen support for him waiver one iota here in the east. Robinson signs litter my hometown.
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Robinson is going to get crushed in the major metro areas. Like Icky said about Charlotte, you will barely see a Robinson sign in Greensboro. IMO his ceiling is 45% of the vote.
 
About that percentage are either cynical or believe that God's using the unworthy to do his will.

Hard to reach a group like that They either don't believe in anything or believe everything.
 
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