Jamison2Carter
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45% is an incredible number given how insane and detestable he is.
2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden
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rodoheel
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Well sure but it qualifies as a landslide in the current electoral environment. And I said that's his ceiling; my personal guess is it ends up more like 43%.
You mean first female president?
aGDevil2k
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Yes sorry
uncjhodges
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There’s a lot of the old school republicans who will be doing a lot of “now that guys crazy” as they vote for Trump but don’t vote for Robinson. Makes themselves feel better. Pretty sure that’s what my in laws are doing
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Yeah when they finally called it for Biden, “disheartening” was not remotely my state of mind.
superrific
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Yard signs are not data. People who have yard signs are typically the most partisan. Sure, Robinson will get 35% of the vote. That's consistent with yard signs.
superrific
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One of those three is really, really not like the other. I mean, come on. Nate is a good guy who has been having some trouble finding a new career now that his election data journalism has become commodified. Sure he says some things that can be really annoying but so does everyone trying to make a living in our attention-driven economy. When it comes to annoying social media personalities, Nate has to be way, way, way down the list.
Can we agree that Joe Rogan would be better placed among those other two?
aGDevil2k
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I absolutely cannot stand Nate Silver. He's not like the others...but he sucks.
superrific
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All right. That's fine. Still, you're talking about the world's loudest dickhead and the world's worst dictator-in-training-and-diapers so the inclusion of Nate -- it's like a Tar Heel fan complaining about Laettner, Singler and Dan Meaghar.
Everytime I see Allred I think he's the D.A. from the new Presumed Innocent. Looks, sounds and has the same mannerisms.
lawtig02
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I have a feeling Texas votes blue in the next presidential election after a comprehensive immigration reform bill is passed. Which is one of the primary reasons Pubs are so unwilling to do that.
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Monmouth:
“… Just under half of registered voters say they will either definitely (41%) or probably (7%) vote for Harris and, in a separate question, similar numbers will definitely (39%) or probably (6%) support Trump.
The “definite” support numbers include voters who have already cast their ballots.
About half say they will definitely not vote for Trump (50%), while about the same number definitely will not vote for Harris (48%).
One change that has occurred since last month is more voters moving from the probable to definite categories.
In September, total candidate support stood at 49% for Harris and 44% for Trump. …”
www.monmouth.edu
“… Just under half of registered voters say they will either definitely (41%) or probably (7%) vote for Harris and, in a separate question, similar numbers will definitely (39%) or probably (6%) support Trump.
The “definite” support numbers include voters who have already cast their ballots.
About half say they will definitely not vote for Trump (50%), while about the same number definitely will not vote for Harris (48%).
One change that has occurred since last month is more voters moving from the probable to definite categories.
In September, total candidate support stood at 49% for Harris and 44% for Trump. …”
‘Stable Uncertainty’ in 2024 Race | Monmouth University Polling Institute
Voters focus on distinct issue areas for each candidate