It doesn't seem to be getting much traction. I mean the swift boat stuff was everywhere. I haven't heard anyone talking about this.
2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden
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uncgriff
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The tweet you posted says +9 in NC.
Don't disagree. My point is lack of response. It could simply be pointed out that this was Trump's policy. Ask has he flipped flopped? Put him on defensive or something. There are ways to do it. People get paid to figure out how. These things matter big time in the closing weeks. No response is always noted and bad.
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From the NYT story on their results:
“… Ms. Harris’s position, if anything, may have declined among likely voters since the last Times/Siena College poll, taken in early October. At the time, she had a slight lead over Mr. Trump, 49 percent to 46 percent. The change is within the margin of error, but The Times’s national polling average has registered a tightening in polls over the past few weeks as well, suggesting at the very least that this contest has drawn even closer. …”
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(Cont’d)
“… There are glimmers of hope in this final national poll for both Mr. Trump and Ms. Harris.
For Mr. Trump it is immigration: 15 percent of respondents named immigration as their top issue, up from 12 percent. … Voters by an 11-point margin said they trusted Mr. Trump more than Ms. Harris to deal with immigration.
… The percentage of Americans who said that Mr. Trump, who is 78, is too old to be president remained at 41 percent, essentially unchanged from July even after a series of rambling campaign speeches and appearances led to a swell of questions, including direct criticism from Ms. Harris, about the former president’s mental acuity and fitness.
… [Harris] has narrowed the gap with Mr. Trump on the economy, which remains the top issue for voters. Mr. Trump had a 13-point edge over Ms. Harris on which candidate could better manage the economy in the poll last month. That has shrunk to 6 percentage points.
… Ms. Harris also has a 16-point lead over Mr. Trump on which candidate would do a better job in protecting abortion access. …
About 15 percent of voters described themselves as not fully decided, and Ms. Harris is leading with that group, 42 percent to 32 percent. Two weeks ago, Mr. Trump had a minute edge with undecided or persuadable voters, 36 percent to 35 percent.
… The poll found that the 9 percent of Americans who said they already had voted leaned heavily toward Ms. Harris, 59 percent to 40 percent. That is consistent with the advantage Democrats have historically had in early voting and mail voting, though there are signs this year that Republicans, unlike in 2020, are casting early ballots in unusually heavy numbers. …”
“… There are glimmers of hope in this final national poll for both Mr. Trump and Ms. Harris.
For Mr. Trump it is immigration: 15 percent of respondents named immigration as their top issue, up from 12 percent. … Voters by an 11-point margin said they trusted Mr. Trump more than Ms. Harris to deal with immigration.
… The percentage of Americans who said that Mr. Trump, who is 78, is too old to be president remained at 41 percent, essentially unchanged from July even after a series of rambling campaign speeches and appearances led to a swell of questions, including direct criticism from Ms. Harris, about the former president’s mental acuity and fitness.
… [Harris] has narrowed the gap with Mr. Trump on the economy, which remains the top issue for voters. Mr. Trump had a 13-point edge over Ms. Harris on which candidate could better manage the economy in the poll last month. That has shrunk to 6 percentage points.
… Ms. Harris also has a 16-point lead over Mr. Trump on which candidate would do a better job in protecting abortion access. …
About 15 percent of voters described themselves as not fully decided, and Ms. Harris is leading with that group, 42 percent to 32 percent. Two weeks ago, Mr. Trump had a minute edge with undecided or persuadable voters, 36 percent to 35 percent.
… The poll found that the 9 percent of Americans who said they already had voted leaned heavily toward Ms. Harris, 59 percent to 40 percent. That is consistent with the advantage Democrats have historically had in early voting and mail voting, though there are signs this year that Republicans, unlike in 2020, are casting early ballots in unusually heavy numbers. …”
lawtig02
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Ignore. There are some red wave polls heavily influencing the polling average there. I'm not sure the WSJ poll is red wave per se, but the issues with that one have been well-documented, and that alone makes the average numbers pretty much unreliable.From the NYT story on their results:
“… Ms. Harris’s position, if anything, may have declined among likely voters since the last Times/Siena College poll, taken in early October. At the time, she had a slight lead over Mr. Trump, 49 percent to 46 percent. The change is within the margin of error, but The Times’s national polling average has registered a tightening in polls over the past few weeks as well, suggesting at the very least that this contest has drawn even closer. …”
Good point, you can't respond to all lies. But this one is hurting in the blue wall states. It should be possible to at least turn it around and put Trump on the defensive about a flip flop. But hey maybe Harris campaign has polling showing it doesn't matter. I will allow for that.
fourheels
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Look again. NC is +9.
aGDevil2k
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Well good thing it said +9 in NC
aGDevil2k
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How do you know it's hurting? That ad has been going for months.
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“… Ms. Harris leads Mr. Trump among women by 54 percent to 42 percent, while Mr. Trump leads Ms. Harris among men, 55 percent to 41 percent. …”
If that proves to be accurate, then the gender gap in voting is the whole ballgame. But like everything else, you have to know the gender gap in a particular state — Trump may have a much more significant lead among men in Georgia, say, than in PA, so maybe Harris needs female to make turnout to be 52-48 in PA to win but 55-45 in GA.
If that proves to be accurate, then the gender gap in voting is the whole ballgame. But like everything else, you have to know the gender gap in a particular state — Trump may have a much more significant lead among men in Georgia, say, than in PA, so maybe Harris needs female to make turnout to be 52-48 in PA to win but 55-45 in GA.
It was on Morning Joe this morning. If its not hurting, then great.
lawtig02
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The only responsive ad I would even consider if I were Kamala is one that says something like this --
"Donald Trump has been demonizing the transgender community, many of whom are your neighbors, for years. What he has been doing is ugly, it's dishonest, and it's not who we are as Americans. But one of the few things I agree about with Mr. Trump is that American prisons should follow the law, including by giving transgender inmates access to gender affirming care. That's why his administration was the first one to approve such care in 2018. Ignore what he's saying now. He's just lying again. When it comes down to it, Donald Trump and I agree that transgender Americans should be entitled to health care, just like the rest of us."
"Donald Trump has been demonizing the transgender community, many of whom are your neighbors, for years. What he has been doing is ugly, it's dishonest, and it's not who we are as Americans. But one of the few things I agree about with Mr. Trump is that American prisons should follow the law, including by giving transgender inmates access to gender affirming care. That's why his administration was the first one to approve such care in 2018. Ignore what he's saying now. He's just lying again. When it comes down to it, Donald Trump and I agree that transgender Americans should be entitled to health care, just like the rest of us."
CFordUNC
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So it’s actually +9 in NC and +3 in AZ, but that tweet was kind of hard to read.
uncjhodges
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I’m giving up on Arizona (and nevada though ultimately nevada doesn’t really matter except in weird circumstances). Bunch of people out there betting on the leopard not eating their face
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I hate for Harris to lose any state that is contested, but she is going to lose some. But Arizona is particularly problematic because a Trump win there might drag Kari Lake into the US Senate. But right now, I think, it is Trump +1 over Harris and Gallego +8 over Lake. I guess the people of Arizona have first-hand knowledge of how nuts Lake is.
RockyMtnHoo
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The Swiftboating thing was much different. It was 2004, we were heavy in Afghanistan & Iraq…just about everyone knew someone (family member, friend) who was either in or connected to the military in someway. And although it was starting to fade, there was still a lot of post 9/11 unified support for the effort…at least positive energy for the troops, if not the same positive energy for politicians. For a group that served with Kerry to imply he exaggerated his service, during that time 20 years ago probably swung some folks.
The ridiculous anti-trans ad and the content affects literally almost no one on a personal level. IMO best to ignore this one if I’m Harris.
The ridiculous anti-trans ad and the content affects literally almost no one on a personal level. IMO best to ignore this one if I’m Harris.
