HeelInTheOzarks
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What was the last % chance before Biden dropped out? For some reason I thought it was around 50.
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... and THAT is why he is now on Ignore and will likely remain there indefinitely.This isn't about one thing when it comes to Heelyeah2012, it's about his entire posting history.
I think he was down in the 30sWhat was the last % chance before Biden dropped out? For some reason I thought it was around 50.
On the day that he dropped out it was 51-49 Biden. It had gotten as high as 53-47 Biden, and as low as 47-53 Trump.What was the last % chance before Biden dropped out? For some reason I thought it was around 50.
Yes, but 538 was a huge outlier in that regard. Silver, the Economist, the prediction markets all had it in the 60-40 range or 70-30 range for Trump.On the day that he dropped out it was 51-49 Biden. It had gotten as high as 53-47 Biden, and as low as 47-53 Trump.
Yes, but that was because the model was mostly using economic fundamentals. Those are diminishing in importance in the model over time.What was the last % chance before Biden dropped out? For some reason I thought it was around 50.
Shall we just say, "It didn't look good for Sleepy Joe".Yes, but 538 was a huge outlier in that regard. Silver, the Economist, the prediction markets all had it in the 60-40 range or 70-30 range for Trump.
Because the majority of people that support Dems are different from the majority that support Pubs.If we are talking about Cal Cunningham, he was at the time more well known and more established than Jackson. He has an impressive background, arguably at that point more impressive than Jackson's at the time. Cal has been consistent in his views since he was in college. I can't provide a reason for why he engaged in those texts with that woman, but I can say that he let many people down, most of all his wife, his family and himself. I would also say that in this age you have to be smarter than that and suspect everyone and trust no one. Republicans and foreign meddlers will stop at nothing to achieve their goals.
I will say that I believe that almost everyone deserves a second chance and I think Cal is no exception. From what I know from public sources whatever behavior he engaged in paled in comparison to the immoral behavior of Trump and to think that some NC voters chose to not vote for Cal because of some alleged infidelity but chose to vote for the repeat adulterer in Trump is silly.
Trump gets half of that…especially considering enthusiasm on both sides.21% Black voters say Trump?
And who are the people that are Biden-Trump voters??
Well you can’t have a normal political discussion, agree that Trump is not a good person/candidate/leader but then go vote crazy anyway without being called out.What is the point of this post? This weird badgering of HY2012 makes little sense to me.
Not sure about accuracy of this pollster historically…
Yeah, I can't believe Kennedy is polling at 5%Whoa.
Hope you're right, but I'm sure there are plenty of people in NC who will vote for Trump and not vote for Robinson b/c... well, you know why...Holy SHIT Stein .... that is unreal. If Stein wins that big, Trump will lose NC. There are not that many cross-voters.
Hope this is true. And hope it carries over to the race for President, AG for NC, and the NC Superintendent of Public Instruction. Robinson and Morrow are just as crazy as Trump.Holy SHIT Stein .... that is unreal. If Stein wins that big, Trump will lose NC. There are not that many cross-voters.
Mark Robinson has no shot to win. He’s crazy.Hope you're right, but I'm sure there are plenty of people in NC who will vote for Trump and not vote for Robinson b/c... well, you know why...
You say that, but other than a massive inheritance and a couple of affairs, there's no difference between Trump and Robinson.Mark Robinson has no shot to win. He’s crazy.
The voters disagree. Trump has a better chance than Robinson by far. Trump is in deep trouble himself but I will be way more surprised if Robinson wins.You say that, but other than a massive inheritance and a couple of affairs, there's no difference between Trump and Robinson.