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2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
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Allegedly, reporters are hearing that national pollsters are seeing initial data with Harris getting a convention bump to a nation +7 lead based on Thursday and Friday data … we’ll see next week or weekend once the numbers are crunched …
 
nycfan said:
Allegedly, reporters are hearing that national pollsters are seeing initial data with Harris getting a convention bump to a nation +7 lead based on Thursday and Friday data … we’ll see next week or weekend once the numbers are crunched …
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And when the RFK jr News gets fully integrated.
 
aGDevil2k said:
I was going to say the same about Gen X... What the hell peers???

And further how the hell is Trump getting 25% of the Black vote?? What is wrong with Black men that they are going with a con man
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don't blame this Gen-xer. At first I was all..."whatever" then "pshhh" then I procrastinated and voted sliding in at the last moment for the win!
 
Geisterfahrer said:
Isn’t Bouzy like the king of Hopium?

ETA: yeah rolling Florida to blue … no.
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He was pretty good in both 2020 and 2022 and in some of the specials. He had a couple of misses, but did better than like Nate Silver.

Weirdly, though, he said that he was being conservative here. Said he's cautious on some of the stuff he's seeing, and he doesn't understand the black male vote situation right now, fully.
 
Calheel said:
Yup. And as I’ve pointed out before, I don’t see Cannabis as helping the democrats the way it might have in the 90s or 00s.

There is a huge MAGA overlap with weed. Having that issue on the ballot in Fla may actually help Trump. It is not remotely like the abortion issue.
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Florida has both on the ballot, though. Where he was saying weed may help is that it brings out the youth vote.
 
aGDevil2k said:
He was pretty good in both 2020 and 2022 and in some of the specials. He had a couple of misses, but did better than like Nate Silver.

Weirdly, though, he said that he was being conservative here. Said he's cautious on some of the stuff he's seeing, and he doesn't understand the black male vote situation right now, fully.
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He thought Dems were going to take the House. That is like going over on the final showdown on Price is Right.

Nate was basically at 227 Republicans, give or take 8-9 either way. But he was at 84% that Republicans would hold on to the House. He was more right than Bouzy.

Bouzy is the Democratic equivalent of Rasmussen.
 
Calheel said:
He thought Dems were going to take the House. That is like going over on the final showdown on Price is Right.

Nate was basically at 227 Republicans, give or take 8-9 either way. But he was at 84% that Republicans would hold on to the House. He was more right than Bouzy.

Bouzy is the Democratic equivalent of Rasmussen.
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I 100% agree Bouzy is way in the blue clouds. But man Nate was all red waving. There's a reason he got booted from his own damn company, and he's struggling big time to maintain credibility. But there are 222 GOP house members - Bouzy was off 3. Nate was off 4, but as always he gives this massive hedge with stat range.
 
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