2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[lawtig02]

Need to see that pop vote get up to 4 points before I start feeling comfy.

Maybe it gets to the same place, but I’m more focused on Kamala’s number. I think she probably wins with 50%. 51% would be close to a lock.

 

[Zoo_View]

Need to see that pop vote get up to 4 points before I start feeling comfy.

Need to see the Electoral Vote majority confirmed in January and Kamala Harris sworn in before I start feeling comfy.

 

[aGDevil2k]

Kamala Harris takes nine point lead over Donald Trump in Wisconsin poll

Harris leads Trump with 51 percent of the vote compared to 42 percent among respondents in Wisconsin, according to a survey.

www.newsweek.com

Donald Trump at risk of losing Florida, poll suggests

Trump leads Kamala Harris by just 5 points in Florida, according to a new poll.

www.newsweek.com

 

[mpaer]

Kamala Harris takes nine point lead over Donald Trump in Wisconsin poll

Harris leads Trump with 51 percent of the vote compared to 42 percent among respondents in Wisconsin, according to a survey.

www.newsweek.com

Donald Trump at risk of losing Florida, poll suggests

Trump leads Kamala Harris by just 5 points in Florida, according to a new poll.

www.newsweek.com

Go badgers Go

 

[Wheels81]

 

[CFordUNC]

Well, well, well!

 

[superrific]

Well, well, well!

Yawn. Who is the opponent? These "favorables/unfavorables" polls don't have a lot of predictive power for Senate races, I think.

 

[altmin]

Well, well, well!

Not a good poll for Kamla Harris or Tim Walz

 

[Geisterfahrer]

Not a good poll for Tim Walz

It’s Florida, who cares.

 

[lawtig02]

Yawn. Who is the opponent? These "favorables/unfavorables" polls don't have a lot of predictive power for Senate races, I think.

Does look like Scott’s lead may be getting shakier. Not much polling in the last month though.

Florida : U.S. Senate : 2024 Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

 

[lawtig02]

Not a good poll for Kamla Harris or Tim Walz

Those numbers are actually fine for both of them in Florida. Walz especially. He’s just mostly unknown still, which means he has a ton of room to increase his approvals.

 

[CFordUNC]

The fact that the Trump campaign and Republicans in general are having to play defense in all of Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Texas, and Georgia is a big problem for them.

 

[lawtig02]

The fact that the Trump campaign and Republicans in general are having to play defense in all of Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Texas, and Georgia is a big problem for them.

And that it’s starting to look like they wasted a ton of money in Wisconsin and Michigan. The main state for EVERYONE to be watching right now is Pennsylvania. I’d love to see Kamala with a lead outside the MOE there by the end of the month.

 

[CFordUNC]

And that it’s starting to look like they wasted a ton of money in Wisconsin and Michigan. The main state for EVERYONE to be watching right now is Pennsylvania. I’d love to see Kamala with a lead outside the MOE there by the end of the month.

Totally agree. Can’t imagine that Trump’s comments about union workers last night helps him any in Pennsylvania, where there are almost 800,000 union members.

 

[rodoheel]

And that it’s starting to look like they wasted a ton of money in Wisconsin and Michigan. The main state for EVERYONE to be watching right now is Pennsylvania. I’d love to see Kamala with a lead outside the MOE there by the end of the month.

By my math, if Dems win PA, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan, they can lose AZ, NV, and Georgia and still get to 270. Right?

 

[lawtig02]

By my math, if Dems win PA, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan, they can lose AZ, NV, and Georgia and still get to 270. Right?

As long as they get that one Nebraska vote, yes.

 

[theel4life]

 

[hedge]

There is a lot of time between now and November. A lot of time for either campaign to mess up.

You gotta think Trump is the runaway betting favorite on the "which campaign is more likely to mess up b/w now and November" card...

 

[WaynetheDrain]

By my math, if Dems win PA, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan, they can lose AZ, NV, and Georgia and still get to 270. Right?

Correct. As long as she also gets that one vote out of Nebraska, she wins 270-268.

 

[Rock]