I pretty much ride or die with Silver. Reocgnizing what he is providing is essentially an elaborate estimation based on what the polls are telling us know. So as of now, I am .... cautiously optimistic. Which is a huge turnaround from pre-RNC when I thought the election was a fait accomplis for the Donald.
That said, given the advantages of the Republican electoral coalition, this election will be decided closely across multiple states by the voters who show up to the polls in these battleground states. Unless it is possible that this election gets even crazier...and there is yet another Black Swan type event tossed into the mix.