Nate is on crack.
The 61% chance that Harris wins the popular vote is the one that gets me...
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Nate is on crack.
This would be pleasant“… Morning Consult pollsters surveyed 11,022 likely U.S. voters from Sept. 13-15 in the poll, which had an unweighted margin of error of +/-1 percentage point.
- Morning Consult notes that its survey showing support for Harris at 51% compared to 45% for Trump was a "new record" for the Democratic presidential nominee.
- "Her 51% of support among likely voters, which is also at a record high, is driven largely by her best figures to date among Democrats, Biden 2020 voters, liberals, women, 18- to 34-year-olds and millennials," it said. …”
Bout the same as Hillary had going in. Eyes on the prize.This would be pleasant
I doubt there is nearly the same number of Trump supporters unwilling to admit it as there were in 2016. Currently, most seem to revel in it.Bout the same as Hillary had going in. Eyes on the prize.
Not remotely realistic.We need to get that up to 8-10.
Not so sure. The more it expands, the more likely that Trump goes so apoplectic that fewer and fewer people can ignore it. It's a trend that might even feed on itself.Not remotely realistic.
Barring something really strange happening in the swing states, 6+ on Election Day would probably be safe, and Kamala would be strongly favored at anything above 4. I get what you’re saying about feeling safe though.Not sure that number is feasible given ttump will receive 45% of the vote, even if he strokes out at his next Nuremberg rally.
Eight+ in high quality polls on election day will allow me to watch election night with moderately anxious excitement; anything less than eight and I won't eat, BP up, breath shallow, pacing ... just a whole mess of sympathetic nervous system responses.