2024 Presidential Election | ELECTION DAY 2024

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lawtig02 said:
There are a lot of reasons I’m very optimistic about Kamala’s chances, but this one is just about the top of the list.
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Well, we'll see. It's not clear just how much a ground game helps. Can it erase two tenths of a percent in a poll? Probably. Can it make up for two points? Highly doubtful.

Given a choice between ground game and a systemic polling error, I'd much rather have the latter.
 
aGDevil2k said:
A good ground game can make polling "errors" happen
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Of course, though it's hard to quantify.

I just had a door knocker a few minutes ago. There is a certain effectiveness to it. I'm what you would call a very likely voter (and I've never voted for a Pub in my life), but there's a non-zero chance I skip voting. Maybe I will be feeling crappy on election day, or there will be long lines, or whatever. But now I've told these guys, "you don't have to worry about me, I'm as solid as they come" and shit, if I don't vote, I will feel like I let those guys down. So the probability of me voting increased. Maybe only from 98% to 99%, but it's something. And if I was more like 85%, I could see it lifting me to 95%.
 

Sleepwalking Our Way to Fascism​


A reference to Slouching Towards Bethlehem??
 
Kraftyheel89 said:
With all the garbage political mail the past few weeks, I actually received something very useful today. It is from NC State Board of Elections with info about the statewide judicial candidates.

For those yet to receive it, or tossed it out, I found some very shocking stats in the last few pages. NC has more than 7.6 million registered voters. Here is the breakdown that was very surprising to me.

31.6% registered Dems
29.9% registered Pubs
37.6% unaffiliated.

Now I've been unaffiliated for 5 years now after the Pub party died and sold out to the fraud mad man. And I am sure there are plenty of young people that don't know enough to pick a party, as well as low info and rare voters.

But there is NO WAY that almostv38% are unaffiliated. Not when the state usually votes Red, and certainly not when a criminal fraud con man currently leads the state. It would be an upset, perhaps not a shocking one, but a pretty big upset if Harris wins NC. Only Obama could do it with huge turnout from one side.
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My wife and I were registered unaffliated for years, voted blue but didn't want to broadcast our political affliliation living and working very very red Harnett and Iredell counties. We changed to Democratic this year because fuck it. My 18 year old daughter registered unaffiliated for the same reasons and she'll vote blue.
 
Pulling hard for NC to do the right thing. Can’t do anything about Michigan, PA, Wisconsin, Georgia or Nevada..
But we have a vote here in the Tar Heel State.
My wife has been boots on the ground here, canvassing. I’ve given $ to campaigns. Put up signs in our yard (only to be stolen in the dead of night during hurricane blackout.) Doing what we can do.
But hopefully we can give some electoral votes to Harris, and get Jackson, Stein and Mo Green over the finish line. If we can do those things, regardless of what happens nationally, I’ll be proud of my Tar Heel brethren.
 
superrific said:
Of course, though it's hard to quantify.

I just had a door knocker a few minutes ago. There is a certain effectiveness to it. I'm what you would call a very likely voter (and I've never voted for a Pub in my life), but there's a non-zero chance I skip voting. Maybe I will be feeling crappy on election day, or there will be long lines, or whatever. But now I've told these guys, "you don't have to worry about me, I'm as solid as they come" and shit, if I don't vote, I will feel like I let those guys down. So the probability of me voting increased. Maybe only from 98% to 99%, but it's something. And if I was more like 85%, I could see it lifting me to 95%.
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I view ground as way more than canvassing. Events, attractive mobilization etc... Those things really can matter
 
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