2025 & 2026 Elections | Blue Wave 2025 results

[MOUNTAINH33L]

I have enjoyed watching MAGA melt down today. Warms me heart!

 

[SnoopRob]

I think it's progress that he's aware there was an election yesterday and apparently knows the results.

Good for him.

 

[Icky Mettle]

It's not my district, but based on all the signs I saw on the way to SouthPark, I'd have thought Bokhari was a shoe-in. I guess people were tired of her snark.

I voted for a Republican for an at-large seat but he lost anyway.

The Owens signs outnumbered the Bokhari signs in my neighborhood around Park Road Shipping Center, but yeah things start skewing more to the right as you get into SourhPark (she also lives over that way so she has a lot of friends there)..

I also voted for Peacock.

 

[StrangePackage]

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This is the man who suggested we euthanize the homeless, correct?

 

[NYCBlueBlood]

I'm curious to know how many people changed their vote from Pub in 2024 to Dem in 2025 vs. whether Dems voters were just more motivated to show up for this particular off-year election.

 

[Icky Mettle]

Good to see John Rocker has reformed himself into an empathetic, caring, inclusive human being.

The camel comment shows he is so dumb he doesn’t know how to even direct his bigotry toward the applicable nationality/ethnic group.

 

[finesse]

I'm curious to know how many people changed their vote from Pub in 2024 to Dem in 2025 vs. whether Dems voters were just more motivated to show up for this particular off-year election.

I'd be more interested in number of new voters. Getting the previously uninterested involved will mean more in the long run than how the current pile is split up. Not the best election to judge more seldom has there been the same kind of motivation.

 

[finesse]

The camel comment shows he is so dumb he doesn’t know how to even direct his bigotry toward the applicable nationality/ethnic group.

Doesn't matter if your comments are in any way correct if they contain enough meanness and hate.

 

[Geisterfahrer]

I have a note of caution for the justifiable Democratic exuberance about the results last night — using the top line Democratic margin in the VA governor's race likely overstates the blue shift from 2024 to 2025. The GOP put up a very weak candidate and Trump couldn’t even be bothered to provide her one of his dozens of generic Truth Social endorsements.

On the flip side, the Dems had a damaged candidate for AG who probably couldn’t have won absent a blue tsunami in the state. I don’t know what the data scientists would say but my instinct based on decades of close poll watching is that we should look at the Lt Gov race (or the average margin of victory for the three candidates) rather than just the top line to get a better sense of the blue shift adjusted for local candidate issues.

Spanberger +15
Hashmi +11
Jones + 5.5

Avg margin + 10.5

So the average margin and Hashmi margin are really close — I would peg that as the Virginia blue shift. D +10.5 or +11. That is still significantly better than the 2017 shift after Trump’s first election.

in 2016, Clinton was +5

in 2017 Northum was +9, LtGov +5 and AG +5.5 [avg +6.5]

in 2020, Biden was +10

In 2021, Youngkin was +2, Sears and Miyares were +1

in 2024, Harris was +6

There are multiple national data points underlying the exuberance but one data point stands out: Trump’s favorability rating matters and electoral consequences will follow.

 

[UNCatTech]

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Maybe Jones can make a Kilmeade level apology?

 

[aGDevil2k]

You better swim faster, sweetheart!

 

[aGDevil2k]

BTW other than the texts, what has Jay Jones done wrong that make some (including some here) call him a dirtbag and despicable?