2026 Midterm Elections

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D's have to retain seats in GA, MI, NH, MN, flip ME, NC, OH, and one or more of AK, IA, TX, NE. In a sane, rational world, that is possible. In 2026 America, it's wishful thinking.
I mean it IS a lot of “ifs” but it seems like Alaska is very much in play. And nyc posted a virtual tie in Nebraska just above. I don’t have much hope for Texas, but maybe the ICE behavior puts it more in play than in the recent past if Pubs started losing more Hispanic vote.
 
The Nebraska guy is a former Republican and seems to identify most as a Libertarian. He may not formally caucus with the GOP, but I suspect his vote could be bought by Thune.
 
The Nebraska guy is a former Republican and seems to identify most as a Libertarian. He may not formally caucus with the GOP, but I suspect his vote could be bought by Thune.
If a conservative state like Nebraska sends a non-Pub to Washington, even if he leans conservative, the message from his state is/should be we didn’t send someone who will go full MAGA. I guess that’s somewhat better than the alternative.
 
I have no idea what's happened to our generation. My guess is it's mainly older Xers, but that could be me coping. But what the hell is wrong with us?
The older Xers were 18-19 years old in 1984 - Reagan’s “Morning in America” campaign. The older Xers were 18-24 years old when Poppy Bush was elected in 1988.

This was the “high-water mark” of Reagan Era and its policies.

Lee Roberts and John Preyer are in this group of Xers. It’s likely a high percentage of Xers their age believed the BS that was supply side economics and the nonsense that Reagan defeated the Soviet Union.
 
The older Xers were 18-19 years old in 1984 - Reagan’s “Morning in America” campaign. The older Xers were 18-24 years old when Poppy Bush was elected in 1988.

This was the “high-water mark” of Reagan Era and its policies.

Lee Roberts and John Preyer are in this group of Xers. It’s likely a high percentage of Xers their age believed the BS that was supply side economics and the nonsense that Reagan defeated the Soviet Union.
Good point. I'm a young X. Specifically an Xennial or whatever. So we are definitely different than those from the early generation.
 
Good point. I'm a young X. Specifically an Xennial or whatever. So we are definitely different than those from the early generation.
My husband and I are older Xers. Our view is that Gen X is two pretty distinct sub-generations — (x) the olds who were born in the 60s/remember being a kid in the 70s and the younger ones who more recall being kids in the 80s. Whether that has a political break between the two, I don’t know. Our impression has been that the older cohort skews more libertarian than the younger cohort, regardless of the overall left/right tilt otherwise. I think the moderate & conservative libertarians in the older cohort have definitely flocked to MAGA.
 
I have no idea what's happened to our generation. My guess is it's mainly older Xers, but that could be me coping. But what the hell is wrong with us?

I'm likewise on the very tail end of Gen X--I identify with it as an 80s/90s disposition (irony, sarcasm, etc.) but my version of its libertarian leanings went into left-DIY culture (punk & hardcore, don't sellout). I wonder to what extent Gen X has taken a rightward turn because it got burned as the generation stuck between Boomer self-enrichment, on the one hand, and Millennial entrepreneuralism, on the other.
 
Gen X is kinda the forgotten generation - there probably won't be a president from the Gen X generation
Seems way premature/presumptuous to say that. Gavin Newsom, Marco Rubio, Josh Shapiro, and Andy Beshear are all Gen Xers with decent shots at being on the ballot in 2028. Folks like Tucker Carlson (ugh) and Ted Cruz (ugh) are Gen Xers too. And then there are probably 3 more elections after that when a Gen Xer could reasonably be a major party nominee.
 
Gen X (which I am a member of) seems to have taken to the whole "latch key kid, independent don't need anyone else" stereotype of the group, so that probably plays well with the Republican bootstrappy everyone should just take care of themselves ideology.
 
Seems way premature/presumptuous to say that. Gavin Newsom, Marco Rubio, Josh Shapiro, and Andy Beshear are all Gen Xers with decent shots at being on the ballot in 2028. Folks like Tucker Carlson (ugh) and Ted Cruz (ugh) are Gen Xers too. And then there are probably 3 more elections after that when a Gen Xer could reasonably be a major party nominee.
Yeah I should have thought about that more - Cory Booker is also Gen X
 
Gen X (which I am a member of) seems to have taken to the whole "latch key kid, independent don't need anyone else" stereotype of the group, so that probably plays well with the Republican bootstrappy everyone should just take care of themselves ideology.
Except that I know so many that are on some sort of government dole either directly or though a spouse (so many have government health insurance that they would pass out if it were offered to the public) and they think that is totally fine because it's them and they deserve it.
 
Except that I know so many that are on some sort of government dole either directly or though a spouse (so many have government health insurance that they would pass out if it were offered to the public) and they think that is totally fine because it's them and they deserve it.
Agreed. Of course hypocrisy has never been a limiting factor for MAGA. In fact, it's a feature. They'll take the government money and still act like they are making it all on their own steam.
 
D's have to retain seats in GA, MI, NH, MN, flip ME, NC, OH, and one or more of AK, IA, TX, NE. In a sane, rational world, that is possible. In 2026 America, it's wishful thinking.
The only seat that will be hard to retain is GA. The others will be cakewalks. Especially MN lol.

NC is practically a done deal. ME -- I just have a lot of trouble believing Collins will win in this environment, especially with ICE going there now. I don't want to hear about how Mainers are independent or the interior is red or any of that. They usually vote Dem for president and in this environment they will be swept along with the wave.

So in my view, Dems medium-tough keep will be GA (probably a 75% chance, I'd imagine). Win that, and we need two of OH, IA, AK, TX, NE. Definitely doable.

Thing is, in a wave year, the polls are often slow to adjust. I am not worried about the current polls. I'm watching Trump's approval.

Of course, this all assumes free and fair elections, but I don't see the point in talking about anything else.
 
Most NBA and college basketball coaches skew heavily democratic. There are exceptions, like Coach K, Bob Knight, Bruce Pearl, Huggy Bear, and I'd imagine also Nate Oates, the Hurleys, Doherty, -- basically any unhealthy, uptight coach -- but the vast, vast majority are going to be liberal.

I'd guess the opposite for baseball and football.
Even K spoke out against Trump (iirc)
 
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