6 Weeks Out - Post your Predictions

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dukeman92 said:
This is where I’m at. I want to be optimistic but I just can’t.
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Then post your guess of Trump winning if you think it happens. It's all just a guess like NCAA brackets

I think she wins but this country is full of disappointment
 
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aGDevil2k said:
Post your map predictions of the presidential election.

It doesn't have to be perfect. Doesn't mean it can't change 2 weeks away. But this point in time, what do you think? Could be fun to come back and look after the election (or could be sad and depressing)


Make your map, select the map image and copy image to paste here
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Nebraska legislature changes to winner take all and the scale tilts.

1727058587218.png
 
Don't we need to bring this back for final predictions?

1729799466593.png

I know this makes me just like Trump but I just don't see any way that the local nutjobs are going to allow Arizona or Georgia to be lost. Arizona in particular I think you are going to see some real shenanigans with local election certification, etc.
 
HeelInTheOzarks said:
Don't we need to bring this back for final predictions?

1729799466593.png

I know this makes me just like Trump but I just don't see any way that the local nutjobs are going to allow Arizona or Georgia to be lost. Arizona in particular I think you are going to see some real shenanigans with local election certification, etc.
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If I had to pick today, this is the map I would pick as well.
 
HeelInTheOzarks said:
Don't we need to bring this back for final predictions?

1729799466593.png

I know this makes me just like Trump but I just don't see any way that the local nutjobs are going to allow Arizona or Georgia to be lost. Arizona in particular I think you are going to see some real shenanigans with local election certification, etc.
Click to expand...
Completely agree regarding Arizona. Some loon already set a ballot collection box on fire in Maricopa county.
 
HeelYeah2012 said:
The only thing we know for sure is that whichever side loses, its crazies will say the election was rigged. Already happened the previous 2.
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of course the key difference is that one side's "crazies" includes its presidential candidate and party leadership who actually implemented a plan to try to overturn the results of the election before
 
HeelInTheOzarks said:
Don't we need to bring this back for final predictions?

1729799466593.png

I know this makes me just like Trump but I just don't see any way that the local nutjobs are going to allow Arizona or Georgia to be lost. Arizona in particular I think you are going to see some real shenanigans with local election certification, etc.
Click to expand...
I don't know if "nutjobs" are necessary to the story.

Remember: AZ and GA were red states very recently. Before Georgia voted blue in 2020, it hadn't voted for a Dem since 1992, when Clinton *BARELY* edged out Bush 41. And then before that, it was Pubs all the way back to 64, with the exception of local son Jimmy Carter.

AZ is even worse. Somehow it barely went for Clinton in 96. Before that, it hadn't voted for a Dem since Truman.

So Biden won the states barely in 2020, but without more data we have to interpret that as an outlier. Some reversion to the mean should be expected, and that reversion could be Trump winning each state by 1 or 2, which is what polls are showing at the moment. Maybe this is wrong and those states have become more blue than red, but we wouldn't be able to know that until after this election at a minimum.
 
Only thing that matters is the swing states. Personally I think Trump is winning Nevada and Kamala is winning Michigan. That laves five swing states. Gun to head, I would predict that Trump will take all the sun belt states (AZ, GA, NC) and at least one of the blue wall states (probably PA most likely) to win. My heart says Kamala holds the blue wall and takes either NC (Mark Robinson effect?) or GA to put an exclamation point on it.
 
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