Approval/Disapproval Polls

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sringwal said:
I'm not sure that it will, but I've also been tracking a couple of odd trends in polling lately. For example, 538 has two different sets of polls on Trump, one for "approval rating" and one for favorability. Why? I don't know. What's the difference? I'm not sure. But but sets of data exist, and they are showing different data.

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projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Donald Trump : Favorability Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Donald Trump : Approval Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
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I think that's fairly typical with Trump. There's a bunch of people who think he's a world-class asshole but still approve of what he's doing.
 
lawtig02 said:
I think that's fairly typical with Trump. There's a bunch of people who think he's a world-class asshole but still approve of what he's doing.
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Which checks out; at the same time, having both is new for 538. I'm intrigued to see why the switch occurred.
 
Silence Dogood said:
Somehow the least popular president, but received the most votes for an incumbent and just swept the swing states, ill use common sense on this one.
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And still got less than 50% of the vote and in terms of percentages he's way, way down the list of incumbents. Common sense would indicate that he's actually not all that popular, but you do you.
 
Mulberry Heel said:
And still got less than 50% of the vote and in terms of percentages he's way, way down the list of incumbents. Common sense would indicate that he's actually not all that popular, but you do you.
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Based on total votes, increases in demographics, swing states Rs haven't won in a long time I'll use common sense. You focus on percentages, I'll focus on big picture!
 
Silence Dogood said:
Based on total votes, increases in demographics, swing states Rs haven't won in a long time I'll use common sense. You focus on percentages, I'll focus on big picture!
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States? The only state Trump picked up from 2016 was Nevada. And watch how badly Republicans get trounced in Nevada in 2028 after the "no tax on tips" pledge turns out to be a lie.
 
www.theguardian.com

Most Americans say economy is getting worse but Republican views do backflip

Harris poll finds 51% of Americans think US economy is worsening with views on Trump tariffs split on party lines
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com

The majority of Americans believe the economy is getting worse rather than better, even as Republican views on the nation’s finances have performed a dramatic backflip since Donald Trump’s re-election, according to an exclusive poll conducted for the Guardian.

One month into Trump’s second presidency, a Harris poll found that 51% of Americans now believe that the US economy is worsening, while just 20% said it was improving and 29% said it was the same.


The poll, conducted this month, presents a worrying picture for Trump’s administration but also highlights the strength of his support and how his election has triggered a dizzying swing in voters’ views of the economy.

  • 39% of Republicans now believe the US economy is improving compared with just 8% last May. Over a quarter, 26%, believe it is worsening compared to 70% last May.
  • 69% of Democrats now believe the US economy is getting worse compared with 36% last May; 11% think it is getting better compared with 32% last May.
  • Independent voters’ views have shifted the least with 12% believing the economy is improving (11% last May) and 56% thinking it is getting worse (59% last May).
Official figures show little change in the nation’s finances. Unemployment remains low, stock markets are high and the rate of inflation has slowed. But many Americans still wrongly believe the US is in a recession.

About 43% of Republicans currently believe that the US is in a recession, down from 67% in May last year. The rebound in Republican sentiment marks a noticeable shift compared with independents, 53% of whom thought the US was in recession last May compared with 46% now, and Democrats (49% now v. 50% in May ).
 
Observing Trump since his Inauguration, it's pretty obvious that he's going to govern without giving a $%^ about his approval ratings. Even for Trump, he's letting it rip, with no guardrails. He's going to accomplish all that he can during this two year window before the Dems take the House. Clearly that's why DOGE is acting with such breakneck speed. Trump likely knows there's virtually no way the Rs keep the House even if he were to govern in a vanilla Romney-like manner so why not go for it?
 
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