Approval/Disapproval Polls

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Centerpiece said:
OK, OK, enough of the tit for tat - apologies for derailing the thread - and apologies to Zoo_View for my jack-assery. I meant no harm and I'm obviously clueless and ignorant on the ways of Trump's Reality TV show, or any thoughts of remorse the producer(s) may or may not have had.

So back on topic:
As of the latest reports in Newsweek -
New YouGov/Economist polling, conducted between June 20-23 among 1,590 adults, shows that just 30 percent of Americans hold a very or somewhat favorable view of Democrats in Congress, while 62 percent view them unfavorably. That net rating of –32 marks a sharp slide from the start of President Trump's second term, when the favorability of congressional Democrats stood at -15 points.

Democratic pollster Matt McDermott called the results "striking," but dismissed any suggestion that they should be a cause for concern for Democrats... even though:

Congress Democrats See Favorability Ratings Hit Four-Year Low -​

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If Congressional Dems saw that poll and wondered why 62% viewed them unfavorably...

GQPers universally view you unfavorably because you are Dems even if you were to find a cure for cancer and bring world peace.

Dems approve of you remaining true to advocating for protecting and improving the lives of working and middle class Americans.
Many Dems disapprove of you being wussies in your reluctance to vigorously oppose Trump and Congressional GOPers as they continue to pave the way to an American autocracy.
 
Zoo_View said:
A majority of Americans hate Congress and like their own Representative or Senator. This has been the case for YEARS.

Few know what the Democratic or Republican Parties do today.

Some/many expect “the Democrats” to “do something.” Who are “the Democrats?” There is no Democratic leader. There won’t be until someone becomes the 2028 nominee.
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I think the Democrats decided to do nothing other than sit back and give Trump enough rope to hang himself. How's that working for them? As you say, many expect the Dems to "do something" besides just sit back - and obviously the approval ratings reflect that. But does that poll linked include some Republicans and Independents weighing in? Yes, it does. So it stands to reason they may give the Dems bad marks just because...

In that same YouGov poll conducted on June 27-30, 1,642 adults were polled. 527 were registered Democrats; 663 were Independents and the other 452 were confessed Republicans. Of the Dems polled: 66% gave a favorable review of the Dems in Congress. Of the Independents only 20% rated the Dems favorably. The Pubs? Obviously they gave a thumbs down (89% of the 452). All told and added up, the Dems in Congress received an UNFAVORABLE rating in that particular poll of 1600 people, making note of the fact that only 527 were actual Democrats.

You can skew the numbers any which way you want to make it seem like your side is "winning" or the other side is "losing". Same with the Trump favorability ratings. He is still highly favored in Pub-land.

I don't put a lot of stock in these polls. As a registered Independent myself, I would probably give the Dems in Congress a low rating too simply because you can count me as one who wishes they would "do something". Although I have no idea exactly what that "something" should be other than to vote against everything the Trump admin wants - and I believe that's what they've been doing in lock-step.

Should I give the Dems bad marks for voting as they do? Why am I giving them the thumbs down? What should they be doing in order for this Unaffiliated voter to give them high marks?
 

Trump’s mass deportation is backfiring​



“… The most recent polling on this comes from Gallup, where the findings are worse than those of any poll in Trump’s second term.

The nearly monthlong survey conducted in June found Americans disapproved of Trump’s handling of immigration by a wide margin: 62% to 35%. And more than twice as many Americans strongly disapproved (45%) as strongly approved (21%)….”

www.gelliottmorris.com

Trump Approval Rating & Political, Economic Data Portal

This page contains interactive graphics and data downloads for Strength In Numbers’ political data trackers, including an average of Donald Trump’s presidential job approval rating, an index of U.S.
www.gelliottmorris.com www.gelliottmorris.com

From the G. Elliott Morris newsletter:

IMG_7982.jpeg
 
nycfan said:

Trump’s mass deportation is backfiring​



“… The most recent polling on this comes from Gallup, where the findings are worse than those of any poll in Trump’s second term.

The nearly monthlong survey conducted in June found Americans disapproved of Trump’s handling of immigration by a wide margin: 62% to 35%. And more than twice as many Americans strongly disapproved (45%) as strongly approved (21%)….”

www.gelliottmorris.com

Trump Approval Rating & Political, Economic Data Portal

This page contains interactive graphics and data downloads for Strength In Numbers’ political data trackers, including an average of Donald Trump’s presidential job approval rating, an index of U.S.
www.gelliottmorris.com www.gelliottmorris.com

From the G. Elliott Morris newsletter:

IMG_7982.jpeg
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As Biden discovered with the Afghanistan withdrawal, the wheels of public opinion turn slowly, until suddenly they don't. I know the Rams and callas of the world who only get their news from right wing sources think Trump is doing great. I think it's FAR more likely this administration is about to fall off a cliff that will grind our federal government to a halt until AT LEAST January 2029. I just hope we can hang on that long. I worry the discontent in the summer of 2020 is just a shadow of what we're about to experience when the vast majority of Americans turn against an administration that is only interested in consolidating and perpetuating power.
 

Favorable views of Democratic Party lowest in decades: Polling​


Favorable views of the Democratic Party are at their lowest in three decades, a new poll revealed, as the party seeks to regain enthusiasm and power in Congress following significant 2024 election losses.

The CNN poll, released early Thursday, found Democrats garnering just 28 percent favorability — a slight decline from March’s record low of 29 percent. On the other side, the unfavorability came in at 54 percent, with 3 percent saying they had “never heard” of the party and another 16 percent who said they had “no opinion.”

 
In November 2017, the Democratic Party's favorability ratings reached a 25-year low in CNN polling, and part of that was Democratic voters angered at elected Democrats for not fighting back against Trump and Republicans. In the 2018 election Democrats picked up 41 seats and control of the House. However, what the Trump/Republican regime will now do against democracy is beyond prediction.
 
nycfan said:


Atlas Intel had Trump approval right around 50% at the start of his term …

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Atlas asks two similar questions about approval, standard approve/disapprove of the job he is doing but also evaluate the performance of the Trump Administration:

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The disapproval rate is virtually identical for both questions but on the “performance” question he (his Administration more broadly) loses nearly 8 points from his approval (which is “regular” — I guess just a meh/average for performance even if you approve of Trump’s job individually).
 
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nycfan said:
Atlas asks two similar questions about approval, standard approve/disapprove of the job he is doing but also evaluate the performance of the Trump Administration:

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The disapproval rate is virtually identical for both questions but on the “performance” question he (his Administration more broadly) loses nearly 8 points from his approval (which is “regular” — I guess just a meh/average for performance even if you approve of Trump’s job individually).
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Trump job approval details:

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Trump Admin performance crosstabs:

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The gap between approving of Trump individually and viewing his Administration’s performance as excellent or good versus just “regular” is mostly about men:

48.5% of men approve of Trump, but only 38.1% of men view the Administration’s performance as excellent or good.

And it appears the meh ratings are mostly Republicans. 92% of Republicans approve of Trump but on 79% give his administration a good or excellent rating.

And things are awful for Trump with Independents. Only 29% approve of Trump (to 69% disapproval) and 21% think his Administration’s performance is excellent or good (10% say meh and 69% say poor or very poor).
 

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nycfan said:
Trump job approval details:

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Trump Admin performance crosstabs:

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This is a broad, unmitigated disaster for Trump and the GOP in the midterms. The only number that surprises me a bit is approval among Asians. Maybe just a small sample of that demographic? Or has eliminating any semblance of affirmative action made that many in that group essentially single issue voters?
 
Looking at the RCP average of polls concerning Trump's approval regarding major issues and keeping in mind that RCP leans conservative which is reflected in the polls it uses for its average...

The economy : 43%
Foreign Policy: 42%
Immigration: 46%
Inflation: 39% (ouch)
Middle East conflict:40%
Direction of the country: 42%

These are not good numbers considering that 35% of the country would approve of Trump even if he was caught in bed with a dead 14yo girl or a live 14yo boy
 
heelinhell said:
Looking at the RCP average of polls concerning Trump's approval regarding major issues and keeping in mind that RCP leans conservative which is reflected in the polls it uses for its average...

The economy : 43%
Foreign Policy: 42%
Immigration: 46%
Inflation: 39% (ouch)
Middle East conflict:40%
Direction of the country: 42%

These are not good numbers considering that 35% of the country would approve of Trump even if he was caught in bed with a dead 14yo girl and a live 14yo boy
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Slight edit.
 
ZenMode said:

Favorable views of Democratic Party lowest in decades: Polling​


Favorable views of the Democratic Party are at their lowest in three decades, a new poll revealed, as the party seeks to regain enthusiasm and power in Congress following significant 2024 election losses.

The CNN poll, released early Thursday, found Democrats garnering just 28 percent favorability — a slight decline from March’s record low of 29 percent. On the other side, the unfavorability came in at 54 percent, with 3 percent saying they had “never heard” of the party and another 16 percent who said they had “no opinion.”

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And the Republican Party is at 33% favorable in the same poll.
 
BillOfRights said:
And the Republican Party is at 33% favorable in the same poll.
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Race to the bottom...

Maybe both parties will start to be a little more aware in general.

Republicans might stop nominating people who are human pieces of shit. Democrats might stop running dead people.
 
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