Economic News

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Shush, Cal! Your boy CFUNC is riding 100% equities. I want the markets to soar and Trump to crash!
Yes, it's like betting the don't pass line in craps. You are rooting against the whole table or the whole table is rooting against you.

But until the tariffs are a little more finalized, I am staying in cash. I'll let the rest of you deal with Trump's craziness for the time being.
 
You're probably right. I just don't understand why none of them feel enough pride (or shame?) to try to defend it. If you're still a Pub, you must think this is ok. And if you don't, you have a duty to speak out about it.

It's things like this that drove me away from the GOP years ago, and I know that's true of many people who post here. At some point, you either decide your integrity requires you to stand up against the hypocrisy, or you just jettison your integrity completely. I'm still holding out hope some sufficient percentage of Pubs will decide their integrity is important. The future of this incredible nation depends on it. But idiotically hypocritical things like this are the lowest of the low-hanging fruit, and if they can't find the balls to speak out on these things, I can't imagine where the line actually exists.
Don’t hold your breath. If they haven’t already, they likely never will. The runway for the “let’s just give it a chancers” ran out on J6, and it was blown to smithereens when Trump pardoned all the violent J6ers. Anyone who didn’t cross the line back to reality and human decency back then are simply never gonna come back. They’re gone. Swallowed by the cult. The future of this incredible nation rests on ending this God forsaken cult once and for all. Tragically, time doesn’t seem to be on our side.
 
I'm not rooting for the markets to tank to hurt Trump. I'm rooting for the markets to tank because I am in cash and it is in my strong financial advantage for the markets to be at a lower price point when I get back in.
That's where I am. I missed the Taco Bump. I'm hoping to catch the next ride with our retirement portfolio, which is mostly in cash. I missed a Friday entry to catch today's wave...I think depite Trump's day to day insanity, he'll TACO before the Aug 7 activation of the tariffs.
 

Cash Windfall From Trump’s Tax Law Is Starting to Show Up at Big Companies​

Investors are watching boosts to free cash flow as estimates of tax savings trickle out​


🎁—> https://www.wsj.com/finance/investi...9?st=mLJiCU&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
“…In short, changes like allowing upfront depreciation of assets and immediate expensing of research-and-development expenses will bring swift windfalls to American corporations but also lasting tailwinds. This in turn has provided incremental fuel to stock markets, a counterweight to risks from tariffs and other policy uncertainty.

The cash savings won’t affect reported earnings, which are calculated using different accounting rules than taxes. It won’t all ultimately end up in free cash flow either, because AT&T plans to reinvest much of the savings in new capital projects. But the change is still a positive for the company’s shareholders and valuation, all other things being equal….”
 


IMG_8573.jpeg

The stress people are reporting over grocery inflation seems to be a symptom of more general economic anxiety rather than a spike in grocery inflation.
 


🎁 —> https://www.wsj.com/economy/earning...0?st=s5Si9Y&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

“…
Even before the new cuts, several markers show that households with children are falling behind, though statistics around poverty have been complicated by the upheaval the pandemic brought to jobs and living arrangements, and the unprecedented federal aid distributed in response.

The share of families with children living in poverty jumped to 12.9% in 2023, the most recent year available, after plummeting to a record low of 5.6% in 2021, driven down by temporary pandemic programs like the expanded Child Tax Credit and extra unemployment insurance, according to census data compiled by the Center on Poverty and Social Policy at Columbia University.

Poverty for all ages has inched up, but no other age demographic has seen a sharper rise in poverty between 2021 and 2023 than children, data compiled by the center show. …”
 


🎁 —> https://www.wsj.com/economy/earning...0?st=s5Si9Y&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

“…
Even before the new cuts, several markers show that households with children are falling behind, though statistics around poverty have been complicated by the upheaval the pandemic brought to jobs and living arrangements, and the unprecedented federal aid distributed in response.

The share of families with children living in poverty jumped to 12.9% in 2023, the most recent year available, after plummeting to a record low of 5.6% in 2021, driven down by temporary pandemic programs like the expanded Child Tax Credit and extra unemployment insurance, according to census data compiled by the Center on Poverty and Social Policy at Columbia University.

Poverty for all ages has inched up, but no other age demographic has seen a sharper rise in poverty between 2021 and 2023 than children, data compiled by the center show. …”

“…
Millions more kids live in households that are just barely scraping by. Around 35 million kids—nearly half of all in the U.S.—lived in households under the line that many economists view as the bottom rung of the middle class, according to 2023 census data compiled by Luke Shaefer, a University of Michigan economist who studies child poverty. That number of children is the highest in five years, Shaefer said.

For a family of two adults and two kids, the dividing line is a maximum net income of about $75,000, including government benefits. …”
 
“…
Millions more kids live in households that are just barely scraping by. Around 35 million kids—nearly half of all in the U.S.—lived in households under the line that many economists view as the bottom rung of the middle class, according to 2023 census data compiled by Luke Shaefer, a University of Michigan economist who studies child poverty. That number of children is the highest in five years, Shaefer said.

For a family of two adults and two kids, the dividing line is a maximum net income of about $75,000, including government benefits. …”
“…Low-income earners spend a greater portion of their money on housing and food, which have both seen prices rise dramatically, noted a recent report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Some working families in Broome County are now leaning more on public assistance for help. But if their salaries increase, even slightly, their eligibility for state and federal assistance could be reduced.


Felica Allen, a 39-year-old nursing assistant and single mom, works the graveyard shift in the emergency room at UHS Wilson Medical Center near Binghamton before returning home each morning to care for her four children, ages 3, 12, 14 and 17. A fifth, 22, moved out in September.

Allen’s $20 an hour salary rose last year to $22.90, which amounted in 2024 to about $39,000 for the hours she worked, including bonuses and overtime. That’s more money than she’s ever made and not far above the federal government’s supplemental poverty threshold for her family size.

It still doesn’t come close to covering her expenses, she said, and her financial situation has worsened despite earning more.

… In March, she decided to reduce her official weekly work hours from 32 to 26 so she could get back $220 in food benefits. She has managed to take on extra shifts when they pop up at the hospital, to make up the difference in salary.…”
 
If you voted for Trump for economic reasons, it should be obvious to you now at long last that you don’t understand how the economy works.
Going forward, listen to the experts and not fucking Fox News.
 
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