Economic News

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The schadenfreude in me can't wait for this thread to merge with FAFO. I know it will be painful for all, including me and my pocketbook, but I want the monied folk who only voted for trump for lower taxes and the MAGA who only wanted "cheap prices" to feel the pain in their bank accounts too. Am I really wishing for a recession or inflation or high prices and no jobs...? but here we are...
Honestly, economic pain was inevitable the moment Dear Leader got a second term. It's no accident that the last time we had a jobs report this bad was Trump's last full month of office - December 2020.
 
4 straight months (and counting) of manuf job losses
Unpossible! I've been hearing since 2016 from my Trumper relatives and people I know in my old foothills hometown that Dear Leader was going to bring back all of their old factory jobs and those furniture plants and textile mills would reopen as if by magic. Instead Trump's policies are actually going to cost us even more manufacturing jobs than would otherwise be the case. But good luck convincing any of them of that - they'll go down on the SS Trump insisting that they're not sinking at all.
 
Unpossible! I've been hearing since 2016 from my Trumper relatives and people I know in my old foothills hometown that Dear Leader was going to bring back all of their old factory jobs and those furniture plants and textile mills would reopen as if by magic. Instead Trump's policies are actually going to cost us even more manufacturing jobs than would otherwise be the case. But good luck convincing any of them of that - they'll go down on the SS Trump insisting that they're not sinking at all.

They really, really believed he was going to bring their job world back? You know, the magic of Trump was that he could make countless promises (not backed up by a plan) and his voters would believe it simply because they understood his central promise to them. "That he was going to fight for them". Its too bad his resume of being a con man and a fraud didn't get noticed.
 

The U.S. could tumble into recession before seeing Trump’s promised golden age​

The U.S. economy is at risk of entering a recession before President Trump’s promised golden age, with weak job growth and high inflation blamed on his policies.

🎁—> https://wapo.st/45TW0cA

“… Whether you blame President Donald Trump’s unorthodox tariff and immigration policies or a slow-footed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell, the federal government is not doing the economy any favors these days.

The United States began the year having grown at an annual rate of 2.4 percent in the final three months of 2024. Hiring was robust: employers added 323,000 jobs in December.
Fast forward to today and the news is less cheery. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said the economy added only 22,000 jobs in August, meaning the labor market has basically stalled since the president kicked off his historic “Liberation Day” tariff offensive in April. Some on Wall Street are mulling the likelihood of a recession.

… Administration officials dismiss that possibility out of hand. But, outside of recessionary periods, the U.S. has not seen hiring this weak relative to the size of the economy in more than 60 years, Jason Furman, a former adviser to President Barack Obama, posted on X.

Trump and his advisers were quick to point the finger at the Fed or the BLS while urging Americans to be patient. In an interview with CNBC, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said the economy could dazzle again in as soon as “six months.”

The president himself began laying the groundwork for that argument one day earlier, saying that “in a year from now,” the employment picture will be brilliant, thanks to new investments in artificial intelligence and other marvels….”
 

The U.S. could tumble into recession before seeing Trump’s promised golden age​

The U.S. economy is at risk of entering a recession before President Trump’s promised golden age, with weak job growth and high inflation blamed on his policies.

🎁—> https://wapo.st/45TW0cA

“… Whether you blame President Donald Trump’s unorthodox tariff and immigration policies or a slow-footed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell, the federal government is not doing the economy any favors these days.

The United States began the year having grown at an annual rate of 2.4 percent in the final three months of 2024. Hiring was robust: employers added 323,000 jobs in December.
Fast forward to today and the news is less cheery. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said the economy added only 22,000 jobs in August, meaning the labor market has basically stalled since the president kicked off his historic “Liberation Day” tariff offensive in April. Some on Wall Street are mulling the likelihood of a recession.

… Administration officials dismiss that possibility out of hand. But, outside of recessionary periods, the U.S. has not seen hiring this weak relative to the size of the economy in more than 60 years, Jason Furman, a former adviser to President Barack Obama, posted on X.

Trump and his advisers were quick to point the finger at the Fed or the BLS while urging Americans to be patient. In an interview with CNBC, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said the economy could dazzle again in as soon as “six months.”

The president himself began laying the groundwork for that argument one day earlier, saying that “in a year from now,” the employment picture will be brilliant, thanks to new investments in artificial intelligence and other marvels….”
“… To be sure, Trump warned voters earlier this year to brace for a painful transition as he retools the economy for a manufacturing-rich “golden age.” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent likewise said in March that the economy must endure a “detox period” as it weans itself from an excessive reliance on government jobs.

Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, told CNBC on Friday that he expects the preliminary August jobs figure to be revised upward, as often happens. Each month, the government estimates the number of employed Americans by surveying a random sample of businesses. Their answers do not always arrive on time for the initial estimate, leading to revisions that can result in large numerical changes.

Estimates produced in August, when many people are on vacation, have undershot actual job totals by an average of 40,000 positions over the past decade, Goldman Sachs said on Thursday.…”
 
Unpossible! I've been hearing since 2016 from my Trumper relatives and people I know in my old foothills hometown that Dear Leader was going to bring back all of their old factory jobs and those furniture plants and textile mills would reopen as if by magic. Instead Trump's policies are actually going to cost us even more manufacturing jobs than would otherwise be the case. But good luck convincing any of them of that - they'll go down on the SS Trump insisting that they're not sinking at all.
Anyone who thinks the textile jobs that have been lost over the last 60 or so years are coming back doesn’t know anything about the textile industry.
 
Anyone who thinks the textile jobs that have been lost over the last 60 or so years are coming back doesn’t know anything about the textile industry.
Agreed, but good luck convincing rural and small-town NC MAGAs of that. I think many of them honestly believe that Dear Leader is going to bring back those jobs, and all evidence to the contrary be damned. It certainly fits the MAGA profile though, of people who prefer feelings over facts and beliefs over evidence and ignorance over education.
 


BESSENT: It's been a couple of months. We can't snap our fingers and have factories built

WELKER: The economy did add nearly 500,000 manufacturing jobs under President Biden

BESSENT: Most of the jobs created under the Biden administration went to illegal aliens
 


BESSENT: It's been a couple of months. We can't snap our fingers and have factories built

WELKER: The economy did add nearly 500,000 manufacturing jobs under President Biden

BESSENT: Most of the jobs created under the Biden administration went to illegal aliens



BESSENT: It's been a couple of months. We can't snap our fingers and have factories built

WELKER: The economy did add nearly 500,000 manufacturing jobs under President Biden

BESSENT: Most of the jobs created under the Biden administration went to illegal aliens

and once we get our BLS guy confirmed he will wipe out those 500,000 manufacturing jobs created under Biden with a downward revision

inch by inch, step by step
 
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