Since this is a new thread on a new board, I will go ahead and give my grand conspiracy theory on illegal immigration in this election cycle. The short version: it's Russia.
I believe there is a concerted effort by Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua (the staunchest allies of Putin in this hemisphere) to de-stabilize the United States by using illegal immigration as a strategic weapon. And I believe MAGA has gladly swallowed the bait. Those three countries Consider the following evidence:
-About 18 months ago, Nicaragua dropped pretty much all visa requirements for a host of countries that are considered net exporters of migrants. Over that period of time we have seen a dramatic spike in charter flights to Managua from various non-traditional locations (Haiti, Cuba,India, Africa, etc). The Ortega regime has turned that business into a cash cow, charging immigrants $200 a piece to pass through the country: they land at the airport and get whisked to the border by bus. We did the rough math on the other board, but its estimated that about 10-15% of the arrivals have come through this gateway (about 180,000 migrants...does not include Nicaraguans heading north). Ortega in his latest declarations, has tipped his hand and said how the US is evil for trying to restrict immigration.
Ortega regime turns Nicaragua into gateway for irregular migration to the United States
-In that same time frame we have seen a surge of Venezuelans leave their country. Historically, the Venezuleans have fled to other LatAm countries (Peru, Colombia and Chile are all estimated to have at least 1 MM Venezuleans each). Maybe the elections in Chile and Colombia spooked the Venezuelans and they changed destination. The Darien Gap in the Panamanian jungle use to be considered the physical barrier that protected North America from mass immigration. In the past 18 months the human traffickers have found ways to conquer this passage and get people across Panama (on to Costa Rica and then the rest of Central America).
-Cuba ebbs and flows in their stance on emigration. When political protests flashed last year, they opened the pressure valve of allowing dissidents to leave (usually through the Nicaragua route).
-All three of these countries see a triple win in generating emigrants: 1) get rid of political dissidents/opposition, 2) boost remittance revenue, 3) drive the US crazy. To this point, there has been no downside for them (though recently the Biden admin has started going after the Nicaraguan regime for human trafficking, but very light, no big stick).
Now on to the other side of the pincer attack, the MAGA. I don't think this is a concerted attack...I just believe the MAGA crowd has taken the bait.
-Battling illegal immigration has been a cornerstone of the Trump platform. He's been pretty consistent on this issue and has treated this as the boogeyman that's coming for your women and jobs. Any crime by an illegal immigrant gets outsized attention. The rise of fascist governments in the 1930's was also built on a theme of natives vs outsiders, where all of a countries ills are laid at the feet of foreigners.
-Its such a great political football for the MAGAGOP, that they will fight tooth and nail not to solve the issue. As long a they have this, they can drum up support. Why have new not had comprehensive immigration reform in more than 20 years? There is no political will on the Republican side to fix it.
-I really do think that the happiest people under Trump were the drug cartels; he created a very profitable revenue stream in the human trafficking business.
-I believe the Russians understand the MAGA psyche very well. We have been hearing about the dangers of illegal immigrants in the US in an augmented way since the beginning of this election cycle (when Trump was telegraphing he was making another run). I would bet that their internet bot army is cranking out a lot of the illegal immigrant content and then letting those sparks catch fire in the MAGA online world.
- I find it curious that Musk really beats the drum on the illegal immigrant issue, augmenting the issue and giving space to right-wing personalities that have hard takes on this issue. Is it a bid to drive engagement in general? Obviously he wants Trump to win the election....he just may be pushing those buttons in support of that objective.