Israel launches attack on Iran | US bombs Iran nuke sites

ZZLPHeels said:
To be fair, I don't think she is a credible source.
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I think she was accurately stating what our intelligence community had determined. It’s certainly possible Israel learned things we did not know. It’s also entirely possible Trump was just manipulated into engaging the US is another quagmire in the ME. I’m withholding judgment as to the end result for now (and probably for a while), but it seems overwhelming likely that Trump trusted Bibi more than his own intelligence community.
 
ZZLPHeels said:
To be fair, I don't think she is a credible source.
Click to expand...
Like everyone else in the Trump Administration. Incompetence, venality, and dishonesty everywhere you look. There isn’t a credible source in the whole administration. You know it’s bad when complete assholes like Thomas Massie and Marjorie Taylor Greene are the only Republicans speaking any level of truth.
 
What is the over/under on the price of gallon of Gas this 4th of July?
 
From a 2019 essay in Foreign Affairs (I see nothing to adjust in these insights now):

The United States might instead try to engineer the collapse of the Islamic Republic without invading, as it tried in Iraq in the 1990s. But unlike many Middle Eastern countries that have grown unstable in recent years, Iran is not an artificial creation of European colonialism but a millennia-old civilization whose nationalism runs deep. Iranians are not likely to respond to a major war with the United States by blaming their own leadership and trying to overthrow it. Even if they did, the most likely result would be a transition from clerical rule to a military dictatorship headed by the powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. In the worst case, internal collapse would lead to civil war, just as it has with several of Iran’s neighbors, potentially creating terrorist safe havens and enormous refugee flows.


Even short of such worst-case scenarios, any war with Iran would tie down the United States in yet another Middle Eastern conflict for years to come. The war and its aftermath would likely cost hundreds of billions of dollars and hobble not just Trump but future U.S. presidents. Such a commitment would mean the end of the United States’ purported shift to great-power competition with Russia and China.

Ilan Goldenberg

en.majalla.com en.majalla.com
 
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