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Israel launches attack on Iran | US bombs Iran nuke sites

Purple Nurple said:
Oh wow Thank you for not deeming me hopelessly stupid.

Yes. Trump decided to bomb them. Don’t you think that somewhere in that calculus he was assured of the result of such an attack. I’ve read/seen for years about the MOAB and their capabilities. That didn’t pan out.

Turns out Russia doesn’t have a mighty military that will just roll over its neighbors. The USA can’t just drop bombs and obliterate the objective.

Seems like a black eye for both with regard to their military prowess.
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1. Well, most of our conservative posters aspire to mere hopeless stupidity, so yeah it's a low bar. Didn't mean to offend.
2. I think that Trump does not get any information that is remotely accurate. He has made it super-clear that he's only willing to listen to what he wants to hear. So, no, I do not think that he was "assured" of the result in any rational meaning of that term.
3. Hegseth probably told him that it would work 100%. This is what happens, right? Hegseth's position was precarious because, as has been reported, he's been pissing a lot of people off with his incompetence, vanity and inexperience. So from Hegseth's view, the bombing was a way to save his job. The most important thing was getting it to happen. If it was a success, then he's a hero. If it isn't, if he overpromised, well he's out the door anyway.

This is, of course, a dynamic that any sports fan knows: the coach or GM on the hot seat makes risky moves to shoot for the moon, because failure doesn't matter given that they would lose their jobs anyway. Good managers know how to address these situations.

I doubt Trump even thinks about the motivations of his underlings at all, and certainly cannot take them into account when making assessments.

4. I really do not think this is a black eye on the military. It was Trump. And of course he didn't think about the strategic element at all. Before now, that big bomb was really scary and it was a stick in our arsenal. It's still scary, but it's a little less scary than it was. Which is why it should have been deployed only in an emergency situation, allowing the US to retain the strategic ambiguity as to our capabilities. Instead Trump blew it on Bibi's vanity project.

It's these small things that fully expose Trump for the idiot he is.
 

“… Mohammadi said the Iranian regime is using the post-conflict climate to increase pressure on civil society activists, political prisoners, and dissidents.

In response to Iranian officials’ claims of “victory” in the war, Mohammadi said: “I simply don’t believe it. War weakens the tools that help bring democracy and human rights, like civil society.”…”
 

China and Russia Keep Their Distance From Iran During Crisis​

Some U.S. officials talked about an “axis” of authoritarian nations, but the American and Israeli war with Iran has exposed the limits of that idea.


“… It appeared that the four countries were united by anger, authoritarianism and animus against the United States and its allies.

But Iran’s sales of drones and ballistic missiles to Russia for its war and oil shipped to China did not pay off when it mattered, raising doubts about unity among the nations.

None of the other three states rushed to aid Iran during its war with Israel or when U.S. forces bombed Iranian nuclear sites. China and Russia, by far the two most powerful countries among the four, issued pro forma denunciations of the American actions but did not lift a finger to materially help Iran.…”
 

A Defiant Iran Draws on the Lessons of an Earlier War​

The brutal fight against Saddam Hussein’s Iraq four decades ago shaped the recent war and guides Iran’s next steps​


🎁 —> https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-ea...e?st=ZasS8X&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

“…
While battered, Iran has remained defiant, most recently by ending cooperation with international nuclear inspectors, a move that closes the world’s window on of its program.

After the U.S. bombed Iran’s core nuclear facilities, the regime vowed to keep its nuclear program going. Abdolrahim Mousavi, the new chief of staff of Iran’s armed forces, said Iran “won’t back down.” Israel had killed his predecessor days earlier.

The pronouncements reflect wartime bravado. Israel’s campaign, in which it quickly established dominance in Iran’s skies and simultaneously hit many nuclear scientists and military leaders, demonstrated its overwhelming military superiority and the extensive penetration of the regime by its spies.

Iran launched a major crackdown once the shooting stopped to reassert its domestic control….”
 
Purple Nurple said:
Oh wow Thank you for not deeming me hopelessly stupid.

Yes. Trump decided to bomb them. Don’t you think that somewhere in that calculus he was assured of the result of such an attack. I’ve read/seen for years about the MOAB and their capabilities. That didn’t pan out.

Turns out Russia doesn’t have a mighty military that will just roll over its neighbors. The USA can’t just drop bombs and obliterate the objective.

Seems like a black eye for both with regard to their military prowess.
Click to expand...
For the second time I will point out that MOAB is not a bomb you would use against a fortified bunker. It is not intended to be a bunker buster type bomb. It is design to spread out the explosive force not concentrate and it like you would need to destroy a bunker.

They did not use MOAB in Iran because it would be a dumb weapon to use.

Apparently you didn’t read nearly enough about MOAB.
 
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