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I have my doubts that even Trump wants to die on this hill. Yes, he will refuse to follow a court order he doesn't like at some point, but it works better when the position is popular. Telling the courts to fuck off when you are doing the least popular thing imaginable is dumb.You think Trump would let OMB comply with a court order to release the funds?
Oh, you poor, sweet, naive child.
If you listen carefully, she didn't say that Vought would be taking calls from organizations. Rather, he would be taking calls from other federal agencies. The actual beneficiaries have no input.So Russ Vought is going to handle all the funding calls on a case by case basis himself (if/when he is actually confirmed)? That’s the process?
Trump will tell the courts to fuck off on this one. He wants complete control of the purse.I have my doubts that even Trump wants to die on this hill. Yes, he will refuse to follow a court order he doesn't like at some point, but it works better when the position is popular. Telling the courts to fuck off when you are doing the least popular thing imaginable is dumb.
In Oklahoma when my parents were in school they would go on a break when the cotton was ready for picking. Both grew up on farms and were working in the fields at 6-7.It was not that long ago that they wouldn't even start the school year in the fall until the tobacco crop has been harvested.
100% guarantee that the minute Trump tries to defy the Supreme Court, the Court will decide that presidential immunity doesn't apply -- and would probably put a limit on the pardon power too.Trump will tell the courts to fuck off on this one. He wants complete control of the purse.
It is just a temporary pause anyway. So he will start the funding whenever he feels like it and after he can say it accomplished something - just like with Colombia.
If he acts sooner, it will be because of public pressure. It will have zero to do with anything a court says.
There is absolutely no remedy the court would have to enforce its order. If it holds the federal government in contempt, Trump will just laugh. If they try to imprison government officials, Trump won’t let them (and would pardon in any event). There is no way a court has the power to compel any spending by Trump.
If you are not careful, temporary pauses at this scale could cause permanent economic damage.Trump will tell the courts to fuck off on this one. He wants complete control of the purse.
It is just a temporary pause anyway. So he will start the funding whenever he feels like it and after he can say it accomplished something - just like with Colombia.
If he acts sooner, it will be because of public pressure. It will have zero to do with anything a court says.
There is absolutely no remedy the court would have to enforce its order. If it holds the federal government in contempt, Trump will just laugh. If they try to imprison government officials, Trump won’t let them (and would pardon in any event). There is no way a court has the power to compel any spending by Trump.
I think there is a significant percentage of the MAGA base (and ultimately, pleasing them is what motivates him most of all) that is itching for a constitutional fight. I think Trump would think that a constitutional fight would improve his standing with the base -- that he would look like a "fighter" standing up to the deep state.100% guarantee that the minute Trump tries to defy the Supreme Court, the Court will decide that presidential immunity doesn't apply -- and would probably put a limit on the pardon power too.
Above all, this Supreme Court cares about its power. Just like Trump. I don't think they are going to roll over so easily.
If you think he might yield to public pressure, wouldn't that apply to following the court order as well? I could see him refusing to accept a ruling that, for instance, states that not respecting a person's gender violates the 8th. But if the pressure could be enough to change his mind now, the court order will only add more pressure.
Guess we will find out. It just seems to me that their style is to defy court orders on populist positions. Maybe he will refuse to renew ABC affiliates their licenses and defy a court order requiring him to do so. That could play well with the base. They are less likely to cheer him if he's fucking them over when defying the court.I think there is a significant percentage of the MAGA base (and ultimately, pleasing them is what motivates him most of all) that is itching for a constitutional fight. I think Trump would think that a constitutional fight would improve his standing with the base -- that he would look like a "fighter" standing up to the deep state.
Far from creating pressure on Trump, I think a court order he could defy would give him PR he wants.
But a license renewal doesn't need to be enforced. The court can just deem it renewed and refuse to enforce any penalties imposed by the executive.Guess we will find out. It just seems to me that their style is to defy court orders on populist positions. Maybe he will refuse to renew ABC affiliates their licenses and defy a court order requiring him to do so. That could play well with the base. They are less likely to cheer him if he's fucking them over when defying the court.
Now, let's see if that administrative stay is actually implemented. I remain dubious.Administrative stay issued by Federal Court until Monday, blocking implementation of pause.
Doesn't matter much for the people who need help today. Relief funding for WNC is on hold right now. Really sorry for my WNC neighbors who need help. Hope you can remember who did this.Administrative stay issued by Federal Court until Monday, blocking implementation of pause.
There are other types of orders that also need to be enforced. Treatment of prisoners or detainees, for instance. I don't think we disagree in principle here, just on whether this will be the test case. You might be right.But a license renewal doesn't need to be enforced. The court can just deem it renewed and refuse to enforce any penalties imposed by the executive.
Spending money needs to be enforced. So it is the ideal type of court order to flout.