Stock Market/Investing/Fin Planning Catch-All

  • Thread starter Thread starter heelslegup
  • Start date Start date
  • Replies: 474
  • Views: 12K
  • Off-Topic 
1moretimeagain said:
I’m not that worried about tariffs because it’s easily reversed if need be. I’m much more concerned about the autocratic actions.
Click to expand...
It's not that easily reversed. I mean, if he calls them off next week, maybe. But if they go on for a year or two, the damage will be lasting.

But I see your point. They are more restorable than democracy.
 
I've never tried to time the market and I'm not gonna start now. I think the most likely scenario if there is a true rout, is he backs off and strikes a deal to save face. He will then say he started high on tariffs as a negotiating move and ended up where he wanted to all along. And stocks will quickly recover as it becomes more obvious he is a paper tiger.

It's obvious right now a lot of people are looking for reasons to sell and are antsy. But lately any time there is a mild selloff, like 3% or whatever over some overreaction, it's right back up in a week. I mean look at what happened in the Nasdaq with the Deepseek stuff, then it looked like it would hit its peak again on Friday until the tariff stuff spooked people.

I got in a panic last time he was elected, but still didn't sell, and everything was fine until Covid. And that selloff recovered quickly. Maybe I'm just too optimistic but overall this economy is doing fine. I just don't see any reason for a sustained selloff. I'm also 15 years from what I would consider a normal retirement age, although ideally I'd like to officially retire in ten, but I've got some time to ride out a few dips.
 
Last edited:
These fucking crypto mooks still don't seem to get that crypto is just a high beta NASDAQ tracker. All that bullshit about storing value and all the CO2 produced and energy consumed just to make a bad version of QQQQ.
 
LosPollosHermanos said:
I've never tried to time the market and I'm not gonna start now. I think the most likely scenario if there is a true rout, is he backs off and strikes a deal to save face. He will then say he started high on tariffs as a negotiating move and ended up where he wanted to all along. And stocks will quickly recover as it becomes more obvious he is a paper tiger.
Click to expand...
Ideally our trading partners will not let him off the hook.
 
The more modest trade wars in Trump 1 had five effects
1) Consumers paid a reported $70 billion in extra costs from tariffs being passed down
2) Trump personally negotiated the new Mexico, Canada and US trade agme and he personally named it USMCA, He now claims we have a horrible trade agreemen with Mexico and CAnada: maybe he should get someone else to negotiate for him
3) China retalitaed by stopping purchases of US ag products. US had to subsidize peronal and corporate farms to a reporter $60 billion
4) China and US signed a frivolous new ag purchase agmt which has been essenially ignored
5) A significant number of small and mid-sise family farmers went out of business

So expect same this go-round: collatewral damage, and Trump signing all sorts of worthless agreem4nts and claimign victory, Same playbook he used when filing for business bankrupties several times before becoming president
 
LosPollosHermanos said:
I've never tried to time the market and I'm not gonna start now. I think the most likely scenario if there is a true rout, is he backs off and strikes a deal to save face. He will then say he started high on tariffs as a negotiating move and ended up where he wanted to all along. And stocks will quickly recover as it becomes more obvious he is a paper tiger.

It's obvious right now a lot of people are looking for reasons to sell and are antsy. But lately any time there is a mild selloff, like 3% or whatever over some overreaction, it's right back up in a week. I mean look at what happened in the Nasdaq with the Deepseek stuff, then it looked like it would hit its peak again on Friday until the tariff stuff spooked people.

I got in a panic last time he was elected, but still didn't sell, and everything was fine until Covid. And that selloff recovered quickly. Maybe I'm just too optimistic but overall this economy is doing fine. I just don't see any reason for a sustained selloff. I'm also 15 years from what I would consider a normal retirement age, although ideally I'd like to officially retire in ten, but I've got some time to ride out a few dips.
Click to expand...
I stayed fully invested through all that and have never believed in timing the market. But this is different. Elon and his henchmen now control the system for payments to vendors at the Treasury dept and Elon will now decide who gets paid. The cash flow of a lot of companies and organizations will be negatively impacted. The people who know how to run the system are gone and the system is being purposely wrecked. This is different.
 
Buy when other people are sellng and sell when other people are buying. Not that I do either, because I just let it sit there. But this seems like one of those situations where a lot of the littles are gonna panic sell and a lot of the bigs are gonna get a nice discount.
 
LosPollosHermanos said:
Buy when other people are sellng and sell when other people are buying. Not that I do either, because I just let it sit there. But this seems like one of those situations where a lot of the littles are gonna panic sell and a lot of the bigs are gonna get a nice discount.
Click to expand...
Buy the dip!
 
LosPollosHermanos said:
Buy when other people are sellng and sell when other people are buying. Not that I do either, because I just let it sit there. But this seems like one of those situations where a lot of the littles are gonna panic sell and a lot of the bigs are gonna get a nice discount.
Click to expand...

Which may be the intent...
 
theel4life said:
Eat it up MAGA.
University Of North Carolina Eating GIF by UNC Tar Heels
Click to expand...
Maga isn't invested in the stock market, except the Mercer grads. If you're looking for some short term schadenfraude you need to target our resident Good Germans in the tech and accounting.

You dunk on maga with grocery store gifs.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top