Trump / Musk (other than DOGE) Omnibus Thread

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Voters Want MAGA Lite From Trump, WSJ Poll Finds​

Survey shows Biden leaves office with record-low approval and a badly tarnished party​

GIFT LINK —> https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy...84?st=p8hBrZ&reflink=mobilewebshare_permalink. 🎁

“… That is the central message voters are sending in a new Wall Street Journal poll, which finds that most want a tempered, less assertive set of policies than Trump promised in the most unbridled moments of his campaign. The appetite is for MAGA lite, rather than extra-strength MAGA.

Some 53% want Trump to make significant changes in how government is run once he is inaugurated Monday. But more than 60% oppose one of his central ideas for doing so—replacing thousands of career civil-service workers with people chosen by the president.

More than 60% also oppose eliminating the Education Department, a marquee Trump proposal for paring the federal government. Only 18% would supersede congressional powers and give Trump more authority over federal spending, as he has proposed.

Similarly, the poll finds that, while voters want Trump to build his promised wall along the border with Mexico and address illegal immigration, they also want limits to his plans for sweeping deportations of undocumented immigrants. …”
 

Voters Want MAGA Lite From Trump, WSJ Poll Finds​

Survey shows Biden leaves office with record-low approval and a badly tarnished party​

GIFT LINK —> https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy...84?st=p8hBrZ&reflink=mobilewebshare_permalink. 🎁

“… That is the central message voters are sending in a new Wall Street Journal poll, which finds that most want a tempered, less assertive set of policies than Trump promised in the most unbridled moments of his campaign. The appetite is for MAGA lite, rather than extra-strength MAGA.

Some 53% want Trump to make significant changes in how government is run once he is inaugurated Monday. But more than 60% oppose one of his central ideas for doing so—replacing thousands of career civil-service workers with people chosen by the president.

More than 60% also oppose eliminating the Education Department, a marquee Trump proposal for paring the federal government. Only 18% would supersede congressional powers and give Trump more authority over federal spending, as he has proposed.

Similarly, the poll finds that, while voters want Trump to build his promised wall along the border with Mexico and address illegal immigration, they also want limits to his plans for sweeping deportations of undocumented immigrants. …”
Voters want change, but not the kind he's going to make.

They'll want more change next time. I hope the Democrats will be prepared to actually give it to them.
 

Jake Sullivan — with three days left as White House national security adviser, with wide access to the world's secrets — called us to deliver a chilling, "catastrophic" warning for America and the incoming administration:

  • The next few years will determine whether artificial intelligence leads to catastrophe — and whether China or America prevails in the AI arms race.
Why it matters: Sullivan said in our phone interview that unlike previous dramatic technology advancements (atomic weapons, space, the internet), AI development sits outside of government and security clearances, and in the hands of private companies with the power of nation-states.

  • Underscoring the gravity of his message, Sullivan spoke with an urgency and directness that were rarely heard during his decade-plus in public life. …”
 
“…Somehow, government will have to join forces with these companies to nurture and protect America's early AI edge, and shape the global rules for using potentially God-like powers, he says.

  • U.S. failure to get this right, Sullivan warns, could be "dramatic, and dramatically negative — to include the democratization of extremely powerful and lethal weapons; massive disruption and dislocation of jobs; an avalanche of misinformation."
Staying ahead in the AI arms race makes the Manhattan Project during World War II seem tiny, and conventional national security debates small. It's potentially existential with implications for every nation and company.

  • To distill Sullivan: America must quickly perfect a technology that many believe will be smarter and more capable than humans. We need to do this without decimating U.S. jobs, and inadvertently unleashing something with capabilities we didn't anticipate or prepare for. We need to both beat China on the technology and in shaping and setting global usage and monitoring of it, so bad actors don't use it catastrophically. Oh, and it can only be done with unprecedented government-private sector collaboration — and probably difficult, but vital, cooperation with China.
"There's going to have to be a new model of relationship because of just the sheer capability in the hands of a private actor," Sullivan says. …”
 

Jake Sullivan — with three days left as White House national security adviser, with wide access to the world's secrets — called us to deliver a chilling, "catastrophic" warning for America and the incoming administration:

  • The next few years will determine whether artificial intelligence leads to catastrophe — and whether China or America prevails in the AI arms race.
Why it matters: Sullivan said in our phone interview that unlike previous dramatic technology advancements (atomic weapons, space, the internet), AI development sits outside of government and security clearances, and in the hands of private companies with the power of nation-states.

  • Underscoring the gravity of his message, Sullivan spoke with an urgency and directness that were rarely heard during his decade-plus in public life. …”
When it comes to the LLM models that everyone is familiar with, open AI, Google and Facebook are at the top right now but Alibaba and a company called deepseek, both from China, are very close. I think the path that they are all taking is going to end up a commodity anyway, but I could be wrong and any one of them are a breakthrough away from changing the game. The French of all countries have two really good companies that are also in the conversation.

The US also has some of the best vision based AI companies out there.

Nvidia followed somewhat distantly by Google have the best chips out there. They are American companies while the chips are mostly manufactured in Taiwan.

I suspect the LLM models, example ChatGPT, are going to become pretty commoditized. It will take longer but I suspect the chips will be the same.

The real question is which companies and countries are able to leverage AI most effectively, ie build stuff on top of the commodity.

And of course who knows what any country is developing behind their classified walls.
 
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Support for Trump’s Policies Exceeds Support for Trump​

A new poll found the public is sympathetic to the president-elect’s plans to deport migrants and reduce America’s presence overseas.

“… Americans are more evenly split on whether Mr. Trump should implement tariffs on countries like China and Mexico, which he has vowed to do as a way to reduce reliance on foreign goods. Still, 46 percent say that trade with foreign nations should be subject to increased tariffs.

And a large majority is sympathetic to efforts to strictly limit how doctors can treat children struggling with their gender identity — an issue Mr. Trump and other Republicans made central to their campaigns for office. Seventy-one percent said that no one under 18 should be prescribed puberty-blocking drugs or hormones. The Supreme Court is expected to issue a decision on the matter later this year.

The poll tells the story of a country turning inward, where people are more aligned with Mr. Trump’s “America First” agenda than they were during his first term in office.

For a political figure so divisive — Americans view him more negatively than any other president about to take office in the last 70 years — the level of support for his ideas is striking. Most Americans say the United States has ignored serious problems at home while entangling itself in costly conflicts abroad, the poll found. A majority believe the government is sending too much money to Ukraine. And many are expressing less tolerance of immigrants overall. …”
If Republicans were actually serious about solving our "serious problems at home" it would be one thing, but they're not. Other than passing more tax cuts aimed at the wealthy they're not going to do anything serious about inflation or the high cost of housing and renting (and the resulting explosion of homelessness), growing natural disasters caused by climate change, our crumbling infrastructure, the continued decline of once-prosperous manufacturing towns, the growing gap between the wealthy and everyone else. Hell, they've just placed a bunch of wealthy plutocrats in charge but they're really interested ins solving the "serious problems we have here at home?" LOL.
 
Republicans are going to do pretty much what they damned well want to do - they don't care about polls like these. And it continues to be laughable at all of the Trump voters who are essentially saying, over and over and over, "well, I voted for him to make some changes, but I just hope he doesn't go overboard and actually implement a lot of the stuff that he said he will, or that Project 2025 wants." Some people have to find things out the hard way.
 

A majority believe the government is sending too much money to Ukraine. And many are expressing less tolerance of immigrants overall. …”​


They want us to spend money here until California burns off the map. Then they want to blame DEI and place contingencies on federal funds.

But what most of these mouth breathers don't realize is that California pays more federal taxes than any other state. And without California supplementing the stupid red state they live in/represent they'd be in far worse shape than they already are.
 
Republicans are going to do pretty much what they damned well want to do - they don't care about polls like these. And it continues to be laughable at all of the Trump voters who are essentially saying, over and over and over, "well, I voted for him to make some changes, but I just hope he doesn't go overboard and actually implement a lot of the stuff that he said he will, or that Project 2025 wants." Some people have to find things out the hard way.
I suppose, but some of those numbers are fucking ALARMING, imo. You’re telling me more than 40% of this country favors military invasion of Panama? Fuck off jingoists.
 

Trump launches meme coin, apparently makes more than $25 billion overnight​




Why it matters: The stunning launch of $TRUMP caught the entire industry off-guard, and speaks to both his personal influence and the ascendancy of cryptocurrency in his administration.

  • It also speaks to the nature of the crypto industry that someone could have $25 billion worth of something that literally did not exist 24 hours previously.
Catch up quick: Friday night, while Trump was reportedly hosting a "Crypto Ball" for the industry in Washington, the president-elect launched his own meme-linked cryptocurrency.

  • His website bills it as "the only official Trump meme."
  • While a number of Trump-branded meme coins popped up in recent months, none had his official endorsement until now.
By the numbers: According to CoinGecko price data, $TRUMP rose more than 600% overnight and was trading just over $32 as of 11 a.m. ET Saturday.

According to CoinGecko price data, $TRUMP rose more than 600% overnight and was trading just over $32 as of 11 a.m. ET Saturday.

  • That gives the coin a fully diluted market capitalization just north of $32 billion.
  • The meme website says 80% of the supply is held by Trump Organization affiliate CIC Digital, and a CIC co-owned entity called Fight Fight Fight LLC. ("Fight fight fight" is what Trump said after being shot at a rallyin July.)
  • They are subject to a three-year unlocking schedule, which means they cannot dump all of their holdings at once.
 

Canada’s Plan for a Trade War: Pain for Red States and Trump Allies​

Canadian officials are preparing retaliatory measures if the new U.S. administration imposes tariffs on Canadian imports.


“… The Canadian officials said their choice of goods was meant to be precisely targeted and aimed at political impact. They specifically want to focus on goods made in Republican or swing states, where the pain of tariffs, like pressure on jobs and the bottom lines of local businesses, would affect Trump allies. …”

The Simpsons Canada GIF
 
I suppose, but some of those numbers are fucking ALARMING, imo. You’re telling me more than 40% of this country favors military invasion of Panama? Fuck off jingoists.
At this point I think 40% of Americans would probably be in favor of literally executing all transgenders or launching a nuclear attack on Iran if they thought they could get away with it and if it wouldn't affect them or their families personally. Their adored leader wondered aloud in his first term why we couldn't just nuke hurricanes before they hit land. It's a reflection of where we are as a society. The moment some of these policies starts to hurt them personally they'll turn against them on a dime, although they'll likely never admit they made a mistake or that Republicans are to blame for it.
 
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Canada’s Plan for a Trade War: Pain for Red States and Trump Allies​

Canadian officials are preparing retaliatory measures if the new U.S. administration imposes tariffs on Canadian imports.


“… The Canadian officials said their choice of goods was meant to be precisely targeted and aimed at political impact. They specifically want to focus on goods made in Republican or swing states, where the pain of tariffs, like pressure on jobs and the bottom lines of local businesses, would affect Trump allies. …”

The Simpsons Canada GIF
This is how it always works with retaliatory tariffs, or did pre-Trump. He used retaliatory tariffs to inflict pain on Democrats instead.
 

Trump launches meme coin, apparently makes more than $25 billion overnight​




Why it matters: The stunning launch of $TRUMP caught the entire industry off-guard, and speaks to both his personal influence and the ascendancy of cryptocurrency in his administration.

  • It also speaks to the nature of the crypto industry that someone could have $25 billion worth of something that literally did not exist 24 hours previously.
Catch up quick: Friday night, while Trump was reportedly hosting a "Crypto Ball" for the industry in Washington, the president-elect launched his own meme-linked cryptocurrency.

  • His website bills it as "the only official Trump meme."
  • While a number of Trump-branded meme coins popped up in recent months, none had his official endorsement until now.
By the numbers: According to CoinGecko price data, $TRUMP rose more than 600% overnight and was trading just over $32 as of 11 a.m. ET Saturday.

According to CoinGecko price data, $TRUMP rose more than 600% overnight and was trading just over $32 as of 11 a.m. ET Saturday.

  • That gives the coin a fully diluted market capitalization just north of $32 billion.
  • The meme website says 80% of the supply is held by Trump Organization affiliate CIC Digital, and a CIC co-owned entity called Fight Fight Fight LLC. ("Fight fight fight" is what Trump said after being shot at a rallyin July.)
  • They are subject to a three-year unlocking schedule, which means they cannot dump all of their holdings at once.
Good luck trying to ever realize that $25 billion. By the time any significant amount was offered for sale, the price would crater.

But also, this is a good counter to all those people who try to claim Trump lost money by running for president.
 
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