2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
  • Start date Start date
  • Replies: 5K
  • Views: 184K
  • Politics 
superrific said:
Hey people. 538's forecast just flipped. It went from Kamala with a 53-55% chance to Trump with a 52% chance. This is, of course, mostly meaningless. IT's a 5% shift in odds, which is nothing.

It does seem as though the red wave polls are making a difference in their polling average. Trump does very well among the pollsters with low ratings.
Click to expand...
I know this is reductionist, but we're now at the point where the polls can be ignored. Watch what the candidates are doing. Kamala's in GREAT shape. As is my prediction of her winning NC by 4+ points.
 
lawtig02 said:
I know this is reductionist, but we're now at the point where the polls can be ignored. Watch what the candidates are doing. Kamala's in GREAT shape. As is my prediction of her winning NC by 4+ points.
Click to expand...
My co-worker agrees with you and is convinced it will be a crushing defeat for Trump. I hope you guys are right. Wish I was as confident.
I would agree Kamala continues to do a great job on the trail and Trump continues to be a crazy man.
 
Bovada odds currently:

Trump -165
Harris +140

I took my money out of Bovada when sports gambling became legal in NC (but the sports betting apps don’t have political lines). But if I still had money in Bovada, I would be tempted to place a hefty wager on Kamala at those underdog odds.
 
superrific said:
Hey people. 538's forecast just flipped. It went from Kamala with a 53-55% chance to Trump with a 52% chance. This is, of course, mostly meaningless. IT's a 5% shift in odds, which is nothing.

It does seem as though the red wave polls are making a difference in their polling average. Trump does very well among the pollsters with low ratings.
Click to expand...
I find it hard to really trust most of that right now.
 
05C40 said:
In North Carolina, the vote counts if the challenge is made after the ballot has been removed from the envelope because once separated, there is no way to associate the ballot with the envelope that identifies the voter. If a challenge is received before the envelope and ballot are separated, then the ballot does not count.
Click to expand...
What if the voter votes in person and then dies like an hour later?
 
lawtig02 said:
I know this is reductionist, but we're now at the point where the polls can be ignored. Watch what the candidates are doing. Kamala's in GREAT shape. As is my prediction of her winning NC by 4+ points.
Click to expand...
Well, that would be great but does this extreme optimism have any basis? I mean, Obama won NC by half a point, in a much better overall environment. And then Dems have lost every statewide federal office election. 4+ seems crazy to me.
 
Calheel said:
The vote counts. Why would that even be debatable?
Click to expand...
If the person votes the day before the election and dies, according to OC it wouldn't count. Or maybe he was only talking about absentee ballots? If he's talking about any votes, then it's not self-evident why you would have to live until 9AM or whenever on election day morning, and not 7pm when polls close.
 
superrific said:
If the person votes the day before the election and dies, according to OC it wouldn't count. Or maybe he was only talking about absentee ballots? If he's talking about any votes, then it's not self-evident why you would have to live until 9AM or whenever on election day morning, and not 7pm when polls close.
Click to expand...
Where is this 7 pm thing coming from? Pretty sure you just need to be alive at 12:01 AM.
 
What keeps a candidate from telling his supporters to just murder all the other party after they’ve cast ballots, nullifying them and then blanket pardoning them?
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top