2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[nycfan]

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[lawtig02]

Harris Maintains Narrow National Lead

Kamala Harris held a marginal 3-percentage-point lead over Donald Trump -- 45% to 42% -- as the two stayed locked in a tight race to win the presidential election, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll found.

politicalwire.com

nyc, can you find the data for this one? 13% of a LV sample not choosing Kamala or Trump makes no sense to me 21 days out from the election. I’m wondering how that group is responding but I can’t find the breakdown.

 

[finesse]

You would certainly hope so. Otherwise, we aren't who we thought we were.

 

[nycfan]

nyc, can you find the data for this one? 13% of a LV sample not choosing Kamala or Trump makes no sense to me 21 days out from the election. I’m wondering how that group is responding but I can’t find the breakdown.

It was released yesterday but as far as I can tell they haven’t released the cross-tabs. The Reuters/Ipsos poll has a history of high undecided totals with their method, though.

“…
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 938 U.S. adults online, nationwide, including 807 registered voters. Among these, 769 were considered the most likely to turn out on Election Day. Among these likely voters, Harris held a 3-percentage-point lead over Trump, 47% to 44%. …”


They had Harris up 46-43 in their earlier October poll and 44-38 in late September.

 

[aGDevil2k]

if I recall, that's not a bad Florida hispanic result, is it? Isn't the Cuban vote usually much more R?

 

[quakerdevil]

if I recall, that's not a bad Florida hispanic result, is it? Isn't the Cuban vote usually much more R?

Yes, the Cuban vote is what's helping keep Florida red

 

[nycfan]

Are “Dobbs Dads” the new Soccer Moms?



There are not a ton of them relative to “Soccer Moms” but in an election as close as this one appears, maybe?

 

[quakerdevil]

Are “Dobbs Dads” the new Soccer Moms?



There are not a ton of them relative to “Soccer Moms” but in an election as close as this one appears, maybe?

Is there a stat on trump did with that demo in 16 and 20?

 

[rodoheel]

Are “Dobbs Dads” the new Soccer Moms?



There are not a ton of them relative to “Soccer Moms” but in an election as close as this one appears, maybe?

Let's get it done, college educated white men!

 

[336Heel]

Let's get it done, college educated white men!

Trying my best.

 

[finesse]

You're gonna have to settle for my high school education but I'll do what I can.

 

[Wheels81]

 

[nycfan]

Is there a stat on trump did with that demo in 16 and 20?

Haven’t found it that granular yet — from Pew’s post 2016 review, which did not break out college educated voters by gender:

“… Overall, whites with a four-year college degree or more education made up 30% of all validated voters. Among these voters, far more (55%) said they voted for Clinton than for Trump (38%). …”

An examination of the 2016 electorate, based on validated voters

One of the biggest challenges facing those who seek to understand U.S. elections is establishing an accurate portrait of the American electorate and the

www.pewresearch.org

 

[lawtig02]

The gender divide is enormous, but it’s hard to look at results like that and not focus on the even larger educational divide. It’s been there for a long time, I know, but it’s still stunning to see.

 

[Awinisawin]

What exactly do these men see in Trump. Can’t wrap my head around it

Signed,

man voting straight D

 

[aGDevil2k]

I am a man who likes the D

 

[quakerdevil]

I am a man who likes the D

Dang you beat me to the joke.