2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[BlueSmoke]

I am not happy with this poll, but not because its wrong. Wisconsin is the state I've been worried about because of its very tight senate race. This poll showing Trump up , is another concern.

 

[lightbluenc]

This is the path to a Trump victory that I continue to worry about: that his hyper-online campaign focusing on Musk, RFK, and the blogging manosphere turns out unprecedented numbers of low-propensity voters (males who are young and/or not college educated) and they are enough to propel him to close wins in several swing states. That was the campaign’s big strategic swing. And IMO this election is basically going to be a referendum on whether you can win a campaign largely premised on online disinformation that can not only win over those low-propensity voters but also get them to vote.

This is literally my exact same fear.

A campaign full of energized people online, that don’t canvass, that aren’t at events, that just will vote to troll America.

 

[Focker]

This is literally my exact same fear.

A campaign full of energized people online, that don’t canvass, that aren’t at events, that just will vote to troll America.

I think this only works when the other side isn't energized (eg, Dems in 2016).

*fingers crossed*

 

[rodoheel]

This is literally my exact same fear.

A campaign full of energized people online, that don’t canvass, that aren’t at events, that just will vote to troll America.

Here’s an example of this;



If you don’t know anything about the “executed” squirrel Elon is talking about, congratulations: you’re a normal person. But Elon Musk has been posting about it all day!

 

[Mulberry Heel]

This is literally my exact same fear.

A campaign full of energized people online, that don’t canvass, that aren’t at events, that just will vote to troll America.

I think that's the main reason his cult will turn out in droves to vote for him. Whatever they may claim, it's not because they agree with his policies (what policies - he's all over the place and contradicts himself constantly), they're voting for him so they can troll the libs and watch them cry after he wins. I've seen Trumpers on Facebook who still post videos of Hillary supporters crying the day after the 2016 election, and it still brings them great joy. If Trump wins on Tuesday it'll be a disaster for the country, but they don't care, as they will have achieved their goal of being able to troll liberals on social media and message boards the day after. It's what they do and who they are now.

 

[nycfan]

 

[HintonJamesHeel]

I think Harris will win NC. I live here and driving around the country, I’m stunned how many Harris signs there are. There were never this for Clinton or Biden.

 

[Faucette]

Harris is not winning Iowa. That is only one poll, another poll shows Trump with a comfortable lead.

 

[Bigs23]

Harris is not winning Iowa. That is only one poll, another poll shows Trump with a comfortable lead.

Yes, but it’s THE poll in Iowa.

I don’t expect her to win Iowa but even being close there spells doom for trump.

 

[HintonJamesHeel]

Yes, but it’s THE poll in Iowa.

I don’t expect her to win Iowa but even being close there spells doom for trump.

Final Selzer poll findings (and the actual result)
2022 Senate: R+12 (R+12)
2020 President: R+7 (R+8)
2020 Senate: R+4 (R+7)
2018 Governor: D+2 (R+3)
2016 President: R+7 (R+9)
2014 Senate: R+7 (R+8)
2012 President: D+5 (D+6)

It’s happening.

 

[heelinhell]

"Guys there's something happening"

'Something happening': MI Dem says what she's seeing in her rural town left her 'shocked'

The 2024 electoral vote count will likely come down to whoever wins the three so-called "Blue Wall" states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And one Michigan voter says she's experiencing some unusual behavior in her swing county.The Daily Beast's Michael Daly recently spoke with Leelanau...

www.rawstory.com

 

[mynameisbond]

Here’s an example of this;



If you don’t know anything about the “executed” squirrel Elon is talking about, congratulations: you’re a normal person. But Elon Musk has been posting about it all day!

#wtaf

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

Final Sienna/NYT swing state polls:

 

[nycfan]

 

[Illithor]

This is literally my exact same fear.

A campaign full of energized people online, that don’t canvass, that aren’t at events, that just will vote to troll America.

My expectation is they won’t actually show up to vote.

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[HeelingAg]

For all y'all proclaiming the election will be a breeze, the polls sure are keeping up the drama.

 

[finesse]

For all y'all proclaiming the election will be a breeze, the polls sure are keeping up the drama.

Yes, but a lot of them are creeping in that direction as well. I still believe that any "hidden" vote this year will be predominantly women for Harris.