2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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I’ve got to think that Kari Lake is going to be a drag on Trump in Arizona. I suppose it could happen, but I have a hard time thinking someone would vote for Trump but also decide that Lake is a bridge too far.
There are polls out showing state Democratic candidates leading by double digits in many of these battleground states, including NC and the governor's race. I doubt that there is that much difference between these senate/gubernatorial races and the presidential race in those states. If Gallego leads Lake by 15 points in AZ then it is unlikely that Harris only leads Trump by 1 point, imo. Either these state races are closer than they appear, or Harris has a larger lead than the 1 to 3 points the polls are currently showing.
 

This is great news, but this is the question I still have about not just this poll, but all these polls. The article states that this was conducted via landline and cell phone. I have to believe that landline responses would lean more heavily to rural republicans. And everyone I talk to have stated that they absolutely do NOT respond to random calls on cell phones. In my head, I’m feeling like - if anything - the nature of the sample would have a tendency to OVER-EMPHASIZE potential conservative voters, which would make the reality of the situation even better than these results show.

That’s my hope anyway, and I choose to believe that. 😆
 
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